League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
51 (22–82)
pos. ~11.2°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1497
|
▲0% | ||
| 2 |
62 (33–92)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1489
|
▼0% | ||
| 3 |
48 (19–78)
pos. ~13.0°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1500
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
63 (34–92)
pos. ~4.7°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1487
|
▲0% | ||
| 5 |
41 (14–73)
pos. ~17.0°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1507
|
▲1% | ||
| 6 |
52 (23–81)
pos. ~10.5°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1496
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
53 (25–84)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1496
|
▼0% | ||
| 8 |
46 (18–76)
pos. ~14.3°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1502
|
▼1% | ||
| 9 |
50 (21–80)
pos. ~12.1°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
| 10 |
62 (33–96)
pos. ~5.0°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1488
|
▲1% | ||
| 11 |
53 (25–84)
pos. ~10.1°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1496
|
▲0% | ||
| 12 |
49 (22–84)
pos. ~12.4°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
| 13 |
51 (22–82)
pos. ~11.4°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1498
|
▼0% | ||
| 14 |
61 (28–90)
pos. ~5.6°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1489
|
▼1% | ||
| 15 |
56 (26–85)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1493
|
▼0% | ||
| 16 |
50 (22–81)
pos. ~11.7°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1498
|
▲0% | ||
| 17 |
58 (29–91)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1492
|
▲0% | ||
| 18 |
50 (23–79)
pos. ~12.1°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
| 19 |
43 (15–70)
pos. ~15.9°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1505
|
▼0% | ||
| 20 |
50 (20–83)
pos. ~11.8°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1498
|
▼0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 5 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 10 | 55.00% | 40.0% | -15.00% |
| 60–70%% | 15 | 65.00% | 73.3% | +8.30% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 80.0% | -5.00% |
Based on 30 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Serie B?
For Serie B, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Serie B?
Accuracy for Serie B is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Serie B using per-league historical data.
How are Serie B season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.