Serie B
Italia
· Season 2025/26
71.40%
1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)
League Table
+ proiezioni fine stagione
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Champion | Promotion | Promotion Playoff | Relegation Playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73–29 | +44 | 78 |
V
V
P
V
P
|
92.34% | 98.29% | 100% | — | — |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57–27 | +30 | 75 |
V
V
V
P
P
|
3.83% | 57.18% | 100% | — | — |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70–34 | +36 | 75 |
V
V
P
V
V
|
3.83% | 44.53% | 100% | — | — |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58–29 | +29 | 69 |
P
V
P
V
V
|
— | — | 100% | — | — |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58–45 | +13 | 59 |
V
P
P
P
P
|
— | — | 100% | — | — |
| 6 | Modena | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47–34 | +13 | 52 |
S
S
P
P
S
|
— | — | 100% | — | — |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43–43 | +0 | 50 |
P
P
V
S
V
|
— | — | 99.80% | — | — |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42–54 | -12 | 46 |
V
V
P
S
S
|
— | — | 57.06% | — | — |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42–52 | -10 | 45 |
P
S
S
P
V
|
— | — | 26.90% | — | — |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46–50 | -4 | 43 |
S
P
S
V
V
|
— | — | 13.56% | — | — |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42–50 | -8 | 43 |
V
S
V
V
S
|
— | — | 2.09% | — | — |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34–47 | -13 | 41 |
P
S
V
V
V
|
— | — | <1% | <1% | — |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37–46 | -9 | 40 |
S
S
P
P
S
|
— | — | — | 10.81% | — |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34–46 | -12 | 40 |
S
V
V
S
S
|
— | — | — | 8.63% | <1% |
| 15 | Virtus Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34–48 | -14 | 39 |
V
P
P
S
V
|
— | — | — | 11.55% | <1% |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44–52 | -8 | 37 |
S
P
S
S
V
|
— | — | — | 62.79% | 14.92% |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50–64 | -14 | 34 |
P
P
S
V
S
|
— | — | — | 69.32% | 22.48% |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33–58 | -25 | 34 |
S
S
S
V
S
|
— | — | — | 9.08% | 90.17% |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34–54 | -20 | 34 |
P
S
V
S
S
|
— | — | — | 20.64% | 79.17% |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40–56 | -16 | 33 |
S
V
S
S
S
|
— | — | — | 6.97% | 92.88% |
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
30 Apr 2026
Upcoming matches
1 May
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
1
28%
X
22%
2
48%
1 May
Bari
Virtus Entella
1
23%
X
29%
2
46%
1 May
Spezia
Venezia
1
20%
X
20%
2
58%
1 May
Padova
Pescara
1
27%
X
28%
2
43%
1 May
Carrarese
Cesena
1
52%
X
28%
2
19%
1 May
Palermo
Catanzaro
1
54%
X
24%
2
20%
1 May
Modena
Reggiana
1
68%
X
20%
2
10%
1 May
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
46%
X
33%
2
19%
1 May
Mantova
Monza
1
39%
X
28%
2
31%
1 May
Empoli
Avellino
1
35%
X
30%
2
34%
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 7 | 55.00% | 57.1% | +2.10% |
| 60–70%% | 9 | 65.00% | 77.8% | +12.80% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 80.0% | -5.00% |
Basato su 21 previsioni verificate · Δ ≤ 5% = ottima calibrazione
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Catanzaro
|
42 | 33.89 | +8.11 |
|
| 2 |
Frosinone
|
53 | 46.57 | +6.43 |
|
| 3 |
Monza
|
42 | 38.99 | +3.01 |
|
| 4 |
Avellino
|
26 | 24.29 | +1.71 |
|
| 5 |
Mantova
|
34 | 32.58 | +1.42 |
|
| 6 |
Palermo
|
41 | 40.24 | +0.76 |
|
| 7 |
Bari
|
22 | 21.70 | +0.30 |
|
| 8 |
Pescara
|
32 | 32.86 | -0.86 |
|
| 9 |
Juve Stabia
|
26 | 26.94 | -0.94 |
|
| 10 |
Sampdoria
|
22 | 23.85 | -1.85 |
|
| 11 |
Venezia
|
52 | 53.97 | -1.97 |
|
| 12 |
Sudtirol
|
20 | 22.88 | -2.88 |
|
| 13 |
Padova
|
17 | 20.04 | -3.04 |
|
| 14 |
Carrarese
|
30 | 33.28 | -3.28 |
|
| 15 |
Empoli
|
31 | 36.06 | -5.06 |
|
| 16 |
Virtus Entella
|
22 | 27.37 | -5.37 |
|
| 17 |
Reggiana
|
14 | 21.33 | -7.33 |
|
| 18 |
Spezia
|
28 | 35.94 | -7.94 |
|
| 19 |
Modena
|
26 | 36.45 | -10.45 |
|
| 20 |
Cesena
|
25 | 37.20 | -12.20 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms