Premier League

Inghilterra · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26 2024/25

Matchday 4 of 38 11%

League Table

20 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal — Champion	4	4	0	0	8–1	+7	12	V V V V
2	Manchester City — Champions League	4	4	0	0	8–2	+6	12	V V V V
3	Leeds — Champions League	4	2	2	0	7–3	+4	8	V P P V
4	Hull City — Champions League	4	2	2	0	5–2	+3	8	P P V V
5	Brighton — Europa League	4	2	1	1	13–5	+8	7	V P S V
6	Chelsea — Conference League	4	2	1	1	10–9	+1	7	P S V V
7	Brentford	4	1	3	0	7–4	+3	6	P P P V
8	Liverpool	4	1	3	0	6–4	+2	6	P V P P
9	Everton	4	1	3	0	5–3	+2	6	P P P V
10	Ipswich	4	2	0	2	7–10	-3	6	V S S V
11	Nottingham Forest	4	1	2	1	4–4	+0	5	V P P S
12	Newcastle	4	1	2	1	7–8	-1	5	S P V P
13	Manchester United	4	1	1	2	7–7	+0	4	S P V S
14	Sunderland	4	1	1	2	3–5	-2	4	S P V S
15	Bournemouth	4	0	3	1	6–7	-1	3	P P P S
16	Crystal Palace	4	1	0	3	6–11	-5	3	S V S S
17	Tottenham	4	0	2	2	0–5	-5	2	P P S S
18	Fulham — Relegation	4	0	1	3	4–7	-3	1	P S S S
19	Aston Villa — Relegation	4	0	1	3	1–7	-6	1	S P S S
20	Coventry — Relegation	4	0	0	4	0–10	-10	0	S S S S
1	Arsenal — Champion	2	2	0	0	5–1	+4	6	V V
2	Manchester City — Champions League	2	2	0	0	3–1	+2	6	V V
3	Brighton — Champions League	2	1	1	0	5–1	+4	4	V P
4	Leeds — Champions League	2	1	1	0	5–2	+3	4	P V
5	Brentford — Europa League	2	1	1	0	4–1	+3	4	V P
6	Everton — Conference League	2	1	1	0	4–2	+2	4	V P
7	Hull City	2	1	1	0	2–0	+2	4	V P
8	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	6–5	+1	4	V P
9	Manchester United	2	1	0	1	5–3	+2	3	V S
10	Ipswich	2	1	0	1	2–3	-1	3	V S
11	Sunderland	2	1	0	1	1–2	-1	3	V S
12	Newcastle	2	0	2	0	4–4	+0	2	P P
13	Bournemouth	2	0	2	0	3–3	+0	2	P P
14	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	2–2	+0	2	P P
15	Nottingham Forest	2	0	1	1	0–1	-1	1	S P
16	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	0–2	-2	1	S P
17	Fulham	2	0	0	2	4–6	-2	0	S S
18	Aston Villa — Relegation	2	0	0	2	1–3	-2	0	S S
19	Crystal Palace — Relegation	2	0	0	2	3–7	-4	0	S S
20	Coventry — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–6	-6	0	S S
1	Manchester City — Champion	2	2	0	0	5–1	+4	6	V V
2	Arsenal — Champions League	2	2	0	0	3–0	+3	6	V V
3	Liverpool — Champions League	2	1	1	0	4–2	+2	4	P V
4	Nottingham Forest — Champions League	2	1	1	0	4–3	+1	4	P V
5	Hull City — Europa League	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4	V P
6	Leeds — Conference League	2	1	1	0	2–1	+1	4	V P
7	Brighton	2	1	0	1	8–4	+4	3	S V
8	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	4–4	+0	3	V S
9	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	3–4	-1	3	S V
10	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	3–4	-1	3	V S
11	Ipswich	2	1	0	1	5–7	-2	3	S V
12	Brentford	2	0	2	0	3–3	+0	2	P P
13	Everton	2	0	2	0	1–1	+0	2	P P
14	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	3–4	-1	1	S P
15	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	2–3	-1	1	S P
16	Fulham	2	0	1	1	0–1	-1	1	S P
17	Manchester United	2	0	1	1	2–4	-2	1	S P
18	Tottenham — Relegation	2	0	1	1	0–3	-3	1	S P
19	Aston Villa — Relegation	2	0	1	1	0–4	-4	1	S P
20	Coventry — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–4	-4	0	S S

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Arsenal	77 (50–103) pos. ~1.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1555	▲1%
Manchester City	75 (44–102) pos. ~2.2°	C17 · T17 ELO 1553	▼1%
Leeds	62 (36–88) pos. ~6.0°	C17 · T17 ELO 1556	▲27%
Hull City	59 (32–87) pos. ~7.1°	C17 · T17 ELO 1560	▼2%
Brighton	62 (30–91) pos. ~5.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1560	▼0%
Chelsea	55 (29–83) pos. ~9.1°	C17 · T17 ELO 1556	▼1%
Brentford	58 (29–86) pos. ~7.7°	C17 · T17 ELO 1559	▼1%
Liverpool	56 (29–88) pos. ~8.9°	C17 · T17 ELO 1559	▼1%
Everton	53 (25–80) pos. ~10.5°	C17 · T17 ELO 1562	▼1%
Ipswich	47 (22–75) pos. ~13.3°	C17 · T17 ELO 1560	▼0%
Nottingham Forest	52 (25–77) pos. ~10.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1561	▼1%
Newcastle	52 (27–86) pos. ~10.7°	C17 · T17 ELO 1559	▼15%
Manchester United	58 (33–87) pos. ~7.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1553	▼1%
Sunderland	48 (24–76) pos. ~12.6°	C17 · T17 ELO 1559	▼1%
Bournemouth	53 (24–77) pos. ~10.4°	C17 · T17 ELO 1554	▼1%
Crystal Palace	39 (13–66) pos. ~16.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1563	▼1%
Tottenham	39 (16–68) pos. ~16.7°	C17 · T17 ELO 1563	▲0%
Fulham	39 (12–71) pos. ~16.5°	C17 · T17 ELO 1565	▲1%
Aston Villa	41 (11–73) pos. ~16.0°	C17 · T17 ELO 1557	▼1%
Coventry	28 (5–54) pos. ~19.4°	C17 · T17 ELO 1555	▲0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

João Pedro

Chelsea

M. Rogers

Chelsea

A. Isak

Liverpool

M. Tavernier

Bournemouth

K. Schade

Brentford

E. Haaland

Manchester City

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

B. Saka

Arsenal

C. Palmer

Chelsea

R. Cherki

Manchester City

👟 Assists

João Pedro

Chelsea

C. Gakpo

Liverpool

Evanilson

Bournemouth

D. Kamada

Crystal Palace

C. Palmer

Chelsea

R. Cherki

Manchester City

M. Gibbs-White

Nottingham Forest

J. Hato

Chelsea

D. Rice

Arsenal

R. Calafiori

Arsenal

🟨 Yellow cards

V. Janelt

Brentford

A. Smith

Bournemouth

J. Garner

Everton

A. Fatawu

Ipswich

C. Tzolis

Arsenal

M. Kerkez

Liverpool

O. Aina

Nottingham Forest

S. Lukić

Ipswich

J. McAtee

Nottingham Forest

M. Tavernier

Bournemouth

🟥 Red cards

Reinildo

Sunderland

João Gomes

Aston Villa

A. Disasi

Crystal Palace

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	4	55.00%	100.0%	+45.00%
60–70%%	8	65.00%	50.0%	-15.00%
70–100%%	6	85.00%	83.3%	-1.70%

Based on 18 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Premier League?

For Premier League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Premier League?

Accuracy for Premier League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Premier League using per-league historical data.

How are Premier League season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.