70.00%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 38
0%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
64 (35–93)
pos. ~4.0°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1570
|
▲1% | ||
| 2 |
56 (26–85)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1577
|
▼0% | ||
| 3 |
55 (24–86)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1578
|
· | ||
| 4 |
51 (21–82)
pos. ~11.5°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1581
|
▼1% | ||
| 5 |
50 (17–82)
pos. ~12.0°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1582
|
▲0% | ||
| 6 |
48 (22–84)
pos. ~13.3°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1584
|
▼0% | ||
| 7 |
56 (27–85)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1576
|
▼1% | ||
| 8 |
49 (21–76)
pos. ~12.8°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1583
|
▼0% | ||
| 9 |
47 (19–76)
pos. ~14.0°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1585
|
▲0% | ||
| 10 |
49 (21–78)
pos. ~12.5°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1583
|
▼1% | ||
| 11 |
50 (21–81)
pos. ~12.1°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1582
|
▲0% | ||
| 12 |
54 (25–85)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1578
|
· | ||
| 13 |
50 (20–83)
pos. ~11.8°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1582
|
▼0% | ||
| 14 |
52 (22–80)
pos. ~10.7°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1580
|
▲0% | ||
| 15 |
61 (30–95)
pos. ~5.2°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1572
|
▼0% | ||
| 16 |
58 (30–91)
pos. ~7.1°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1575
|
▲0% | ||
| 17 |
50 (23–81)
pos. ~11.9°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1582
|
· | ||
| 18 |
53 (26–82)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1579
|
▲0% | ||
| 19 |
49 (20–81)
pos. ~12.6°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1583
|
▼0% | ||
| 20 |
47 (18–76)
pos. ~14.2°
|
C19 · T19
ELO 1585
|
▼0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 4 | 55.00% | 100.0% | +45.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 6 | 85.00% | 83.3% | -1.70% |
Based on 18 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Premier League?
For Premier League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Premier League?
Accuracy for Premier League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Premier League using per-league historical data.
How are Premier League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.