Matchday 8 of 30
27%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Promotion Playoff
7°-10°
Relegation Playoff
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
69 (46–86)
pos. ~1.2°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1506
|
· | ||
|
61 (39–82)
pos. ~2.5°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
|
52 (31–74)
pos. ~4.7°
|
C12 · T10
ELO 1520
|
▲1% | ||
|
51 (31–74)
pos. ~5.2°
|
C10 · T12
ELO 1504
|
▲1% | ||
|
49 (28–74)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C12 · T10
ELO 1519
|
▲0% | ||
|
46 (23–67)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
|
44 (22–65)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C10 · T12
ELO 1505
|
▼0% | ||
|
46 (24–68)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1516
|
▲0% | ||
|
48 (26–70)
pos. ~6.5°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1508
|
▼1% | ||
|
43 (18–64)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C10 · T12
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
|
39 (18–61)
pos. ~9.8°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1517
|
▲0% | ||
|
29 (12–49)
pos. ~12.9°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1522
|
▼0% | ||
|
29 (9–50)
pos. ~12.8°
|
C12 · T10
ELO 1519
|
▼0% | ||
|
23 (6–45)
pos. ~14.2°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1519
|
▲0% | ||
|
0 (0–0)
pos. ~17.0°
|
C0 · T0
ELO
|
· | ||
|
24 (6–45)
pos. ~14.1°
|
C12 · T10
ELO 1517
|
▼0% | ||
|
17 (1–39)
pos. ~15.4°
|
C10 · T12
ELO 1520
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 12 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 10 | 65.00% | 60.0% | -5.00% |
Based on 24 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Teplice
|
12 | 6.82 | +5.18 | |
| 2 |
Zbrojovka Brno
|
9 | 4.94 | +4.06 | |
| 3 |
Mlada Boleslav
|
9 | 5.41 | +3.59 | |
| 4 |
Sigma Olomouc
|
10 | 6.81 | +3.19 | |
| 5 |
Plzen
|
11 | 7.83 | +3.17 | |
| 6 |
Slavia Praha
|
17 | 13.89 | +3.11 | |
| 7 |
FK Jablonec
|
5 | 3.39 | +1.61 | |
| 8 |
Bohemians 1905
|
5 | 3.82 | +1.18 | |
| 9 |
Zlin
|
5 | 4.41 | +0.59 | |
| 10 |
Slovácko
|
4 | 3.45 | +0.55 | |
| 11 |
Sparta Praha
|
8 | 8.55 | -0.55 | |
| 12 |
Hradec Králové
|
4 | 4.66 | -0.66 | |
| 13 |
Artis
|
4 | 4.75 | -0.75 | |
| 14 |
Slovan Liberec
|
7 | 8.35 | -1.35 | |
| 15 |
Pardubice
|
4 | 5.55 | -1.55 | |
| 16 |
Baník Ostrava
|
3 | 4.74 | -1.74 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Czech Liga?
For Czech Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Czech Liga?
Accuracy for Czech Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Czech Liga using per-league historical data.
How are Czech Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Teplice
Zbrojovka Brno
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
Plzen
Slavia Praha
FK Jablonec
Bohemians 1905
Zlin
Slovácko
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
Artis
Slovan Liberec
Pardubice
Baník Ostrava