Matchday 9 of 26
35%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
62 (41–76)
pos. ~1.1°
|
C8 · T10
ELO 1505
|
▲3% | ||
|
51 (31–70)
pos. ~2.3°
|
C8 · T9
ELO 1511
|
▼2% | ||
|
41 (23–58)
pos. ~4.5°
|
C9 · T8
ELO 1523
|
▼0% | ||
|
41 (20–58)
pos. ~4.8°
|
C9 · T8
ELO 1517
|
· | ||
|
35 (19–54)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C8 · T9
ELO 1516
|
▲1% | ||
|
33 (15–54)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C9 · T8
ELO 1523
|
▲0% | ||
|
34 (15–55)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C8 · T9
ELO 1515
|
▼1% | ||
|
39 (19–60)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1521
|
▲2% | ||
|
31 (15–56)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C8 · T9
ELO 1517
|
▼1% | ||
|
29 (11–53)
pos. ~10.1°
|
C9 · T8
ELO 1523
|
▲0% | ||
|
28 (11–49)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C9 · T8
ELO 1525
|
▲0% | ||
|
27 (10–47)
pos. ~11.1°
|
C9 · T8
ELO 1510
|
▼0% | ||
|
31 (13–51)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C9 · T8
ELO 1511
|
▲1% | ||
|
15 (2–35)
pos. ~13.9°
|
C8 · T9
ELO 1515
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 8 | 55.00% | 37.5% | -17.50% |
| 60–70%% | 11 | 65.00% | 54.5% | -10.50% |
| 70–100%% | 7 | 85.00% | 71.4% | -13.60% |
Based on 26 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for SuperLiga?
For SuperLiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for SuperLiga?
Accuracy for SuperLiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for SuperLiga using per-league historical data.
How are SuperLiga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.