61.30%
1X2 accuracy · 31 predictions (3 months)
League Table + end of season projections
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Play Off: 1/8 | Play Off: 1/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33–12 | +21 | 39 |
S
V
V
V
V
|
99.77% | >99% |
| 2 | Inter Miami — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43–30 | +13 | 37 |
V
V
V
V
V
|
98.99% | 99.74% |
| 3 | New England Revolution — Play Off: 1/8 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26–19 | +7 | 29 |
V
P
S
V
S
|
48.71% | 67.13% |
| 4 | Chicago Fire — Play Off: 1/8 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30–22 | +8 | 26 |
S
S
V
V
V
|
42.65% | 60.80% |
| 5 | New York City FC — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30–23 | +7 | 25 |
V
V
S
P
V
|
21.09% | 37.68% |
| 6 | Charlotte — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28–25 | +3 | 25 |
V
P
V
V
S
|
10.58% | 21.67% |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41–42 | -1 | 23 |
S
V
V
P
S
|
10.68% | 21.84% |
| 8 | DC United — Play Off: 1/16 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24–27 | -3 | 22 |
V
P
P
P
S
|
2.20% | 6.20% |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls — Play Off: 1/16 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26–37 | -11 | 22 |
S
S
V
P
V
|
<1% | <1% |
| 10 | Orlando City SC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28–44 | -16 | 20 |
V
V
S
P
V
|
<1% | 1.91% |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24–26 | -2 | 19 |
V
S
V
P
S
|
<1% | <1% |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23–31 | -8 | 16 |
S
P
P
S
S
|
— | <1% |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22–33 | -11 | 15 |
S
S
P
P
S
|
— | <1% |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22–31 | -9 | 13 |
V
V
S
P
S
|
— | — |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17–30 | -13 | 12 |
S
P
S
S
P
|
— | <1% |
Play Off: 1/8
Play Off: 1/16
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
29 Jul 2026
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Play Off: 1/8 | Play Off: 1/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps — Play Off: 1/8 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37–16 | +21 | 33 |
P
S
V
S
V
|
93.76% | 97.73% |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC — Play Off: 1/8 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34–18 | +16 | 33 |
V
V
V
V
S
|
86.60% | 94.45% |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35–20 | +15 | 33 |
P
S
V
S
S
|
60.76% | 76.73% |
| 4 | FC Dallas — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32–25 | +7 | 26 |
S
P
V
V
S
|
35.67% | 54.11% |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake — Play Off: 1/8 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28–24 | +4 | 26 |
S
S
P
V
V
|
22.19% | 38.66% |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo — Play Off: 1/8 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23–24 | -1 | 26 |
V
P
P
V
S
|
25.59% | 42.71% |
| 7 | St. Louis City — Play Off: 1/8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23–23 | +0 | 25 |
V
V
V
V
P
|
27.83% | 46.34% |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders — Play Off: 1/16 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19–20 | -1 | 24 |
S
S
S
S
S
|
1.78% | 5.09% |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC — Play Off: 1/16 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19–24 | -5 | 23 |
P
S
P
S
S
|
1.62% | 4.83% |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31–32 | -1 | 21 |
V
P
V
S
S
|
6.04% | 13.77% |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24–29 | -5 | 21 |
P
S
S
P
V
|
<1% | <1% |
| 12 | San Diego | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31–28 | +3 | 20 |
V
S
S
P
V
|
2.02% | 5.61% |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26–25 | +1 | 19 |
S
V
S
S
V
|
<1% | <1% |
| 14 | Austin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22–35 | -13 | 17 |
S
V
S
S
S
|
— | — |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18–44 | -26 | 14 |
S
V
S
S
V
|
— | — |
Play Off: 1/8
Play Off: 1/16
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
29 Jul 2026
Upcoming matches
August 01, 2026
August 02, 2026
Regular Season - 18
Vancouver Whitecaps
vs
Los Angeles FC
Regular Season - 18
FC Cincinnati
vs
San Jose Earthquakes
Regular Season - 18
Inter Miami
vs
Columbus Crew
Regular Season - 18
DC United
vs
Nashville SC
Regular Season - 18
New York Red Bulls
vs
Orlando City SC
Regular Season - 18
CF Montreal
vs
New England Revolution
Regular Season - 18
Philadelphia Union
vs
Atlanta United FC
Regular Season - 18
Minnesota United FC
vs
San Diego
Regular Season - 18
Chicago Fire
vs
Charlotte
Recent results
July 26, 2026
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
Portland Timbers
2–1
Real Salt Lake
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
Los Angeles FC
4–0
Sporting Kansas City
1
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
San Diego
1–0
FC Dallas
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
St. Louis City
1–0
Colorado Rapids
1
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
Houston Dynamo
3–0
Austin
1
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
Minnesota United FC
0–0
Vancouver Whitecaps
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
New York City FC
3–1
Chicago Fire
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
Orlando City SC
1–0
Nashville SC
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
CF Montreal
0–1
Inter Miami
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
Philadelphia Union
1–0
Seattle Sounders
1
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
DC United
2–1
Toronto FC
1
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
New England Revolution
4–1
Atlanta United FC
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
Columbus Crew
2–1
FC Cincinnati
26 Jul
Regular Season - 17
New York Red Bulls
0–2
Charlotte
July 23, 2026
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Portland Timbers
2–2
FC Dallas
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
San Jose Earthquakes
0–4
Orlando City SC
1
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Los Angeles Galaxy
1–3
St. Louis City
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Los Angeles FC
3–1
Real Salt Lake
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Austin
3–1
Seattle Sounders
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Colorado Rapids
1–0
San Diego
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Houston Dynamo
1–1
DC United
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Sporting Kansas City
2–1
Minnesota United FC
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Nashville SC
1–0
CF Montreal
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Charlotte
2–2
Atlanta United FC
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
FC Cincinnati
4–3
Vancouver Whitecaps
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Philadelphia Union
3–1
New York Red Bulls
1
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Columbus Crew
1–2
New York City FC
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
New England Revolution
0–0
Toronto FC
23 Jul
Regular Season - 16
Inter Miami
3–2
Chicago Fire
1
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
13
L. Messi
Inter Miami
2
13
P. Musa
FC Dallas
3
13
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
4
11
P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
5
11
M. Ingvartsen
San Diego
6
11
N. Fernández Mercau
New York City FC
7
11
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
8
10
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
9
10
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
10
10
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
👟 Assists
1
8
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
2
7
L. Messi
Inter Miami
3
7
Evander
FC Cincinnati
4
7
A. Dreyer
San Diego
5
6
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
6
6
P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
7
6
C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
8
6
L. Langoni
New England Revolution
9
6
T. Segovia
Inter Miami
10
6
J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
🟨 Yellow cards
1
7
T. Segovia
Inter Miami
2
7
W. Zaha
Charlotte
3
6
C. Durkin
St. Louis City
4
6
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
FC Cincinnati
5
6
É. Ocampo
Vancouver Whitecaps
6
6
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
7
6
A. Westwood
Charlotte
8
6
H. Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
9
6
J. Díaz
Minnesota United FC
10
6
T. Jacob
Atlanta United FC
🟥 Red cards
1
1
B. Vera
CF Montreal
2
1
J. Sery Larsen
Philadelphia Union
3
1
J. Fory
Portland Timbers
4
1
Guilherme Biro
Austin
5
1
Y. Bright
Inter Miami
6
1
R. Edwards
Toronto FC
7
1
K. Miller
Portland Timbers
8
1
M. Crépeau
Orlando City SC
9
1
G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati
10
1
J. Travis
Colorado Rapids
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 21 | 55.00% | 47.6% | -7.40% |
| 60–70%% | 24 | 65.00% | 83.3% | +18.30% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 50.0% | -35.00% |
Based on 49 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
33 | 20.28 | +12.72 |
|
| 2 |
FC Cincinnati
|
41 | 28.78 | +12.22 |
|
| 3 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 24.55 | +9.45 |
|
| 4 |
New York City FC
|
30 | 22.02 | +7.98 |
|
| 5 |
FC Dallas
|
32 | 24.47 | +7.53 |
|
| 6 |
New England Revolution
|
26 | 18.81 | +7.19 |
|
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
31 | 24.09 | +6.91 |
|
| 8 |
San Diego
|
31 | 24.30 | +6.70 |
|
| 9 |
Inter Miami
|
43 | 36.42 | +6.58 |
|
| 10 |
Orlando City SC
|
27 | 21.09 | +5.91 |
|
| 11 |
Colorado Rapids
|
26 | 20.49 | +5.51 |
|
| 12 |
Houston Dynamo
|
23 | 17.51 | +5.49 |
|
| 13 |
Austin
|
22 | 16.67 | +5.33 |
|
| 14 |
Toronto FC
|
23 | 18.80 | +4.20 |
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
18 | 14.84 | +3.16 |
|
| 16 |
Real Salt Lake
|
28 | 24.98 | +3.02 |
|
| 17 |
Charlotte
|
28 | 25.04 | +2.96 |
|
| 18 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
35 | 32.39 | +2.61 |
|
| 19 |
Columbus Crew
|
24 | 22.02 | +1.98 |
|
| 20 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
37 | 36.51 | +0.49 |
|
| 21 |
DC United
|
24 | 23.71 | +0.29 |
|
| 22 |
Chicago Fire
|
30 | 29.80 | +0.20 |
|
| 23 |
St. Louis City
|
23 | 24.60 | -1.60 |
|
| 24 |
New York Red Bulls
|
26 | 28.03 | -2.03 |
|
| 25 |
Seattle Sounders
|
19 | 21.29 | -2.29 |
|
| 26 |
CF Montreal
|
22 | 24.55 | -2.55 |
|
| 27 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
24 | 26.83 | -2.83 |
|
| 28 |
Philadelphia Union
|
22 | 25.90 | -3.90 |
|
| 29 |
Atlanta United FC
|
17 | 21.32 | -4.32 |
|
| 30 |
Minnesota United FC
|
19 | 25.04 | -6.04 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for MLS?
For MLS, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for MLS?
Accuracy for MLS is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for MLS using per-league historical data.
How are MLS season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
FC Dallas
New England Revolution
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Toronto FC
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
Columbus Crew
Vancouver Whitecaps
DC United
Chicago Fire
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Seattle Sounders
CF Montreal
Los Angeles Galaxy
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Minnesota United FC