63.20%
1X2 accuracy · 38 predictions (3 months)
League Table + end of season projections
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Play Off: 1/8 | Play Off: 1/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31–11 | +20 | 33 |
V
V
V
P
P
|
99.81% | >99% |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39–28 | +11 | 31 |
V
V
V
V
S
|
93.33% | 98.05% |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27–16 | +11 | 26 |
V
V
V
S
S
|
74.99% | 88.59% |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22–18 | +4 | 25 |
S
V
S
V
V
|
33.93% | 56.88% |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25–32 | -7 | 22 |
V
P
V
V
S
|
3.64% | 10.52% |
| 6 | Charlotte | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24–23 | +1 | 21 |
V
V
S
P
S
|
3.06% | 9.57% |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36–37 | -1 | 20 |
V
P
S
P
V
|
7.35% | 18.55% |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25–21 | +4 | 19 |
S
P
V
V
S
|
1.42% | 4.84% |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21–25 | -4 | 18 |
P
P
S
P
V
|
1.75% | 6.24% |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21–23 | -2 | 16 |
V
P
S
S
S
|
<1% | 1.76% |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22–29 | -7 | 14 |
S
S
S
P
S
|
<1% | <1% |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22–31 | -9 | 14 |
P
S
P
V
S
|
<1% | 1.47% |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23–44 | -21 | 14 |
S
P
V
S
V
|
<1% | <1% |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14–23 | -9 | 11 |
S
P
S
V
V
|
<1% | <1% |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18–30 | -12 | 7 |
S
P
S
S
P
|
— | — |
Play Off: 1/8
Play Off: 1/16
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
14 Jun 2026
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Play Off: 1/8 | Play Off: 1/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34–12 | +22 | 32 |
V
S
V
P
P
|
99.04% | 99.73% |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34–15 | +19 | 32 |
V
S
S
P
P
|
95.86% | 98.84% |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26–19 | +7 | 26 |
P
V
V
S
V
|
54.21% | 74.68% |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30–22 | +8 | 25 |
V
V
S
V
V
|
41.90% | 66.02% |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24–17 | +7 | 24 |
V
S
S
S
P
|
5.42% | 14.70% |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17–11 | +6 | 24 |
S
S
V
P
P
|
55.28% | 74.66% |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19–23 | -4 | 22 |
P
V
S
V
V
|
12.62% | 28.27% |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18–22 | -4 | 22 |
P
S
S
P
V
|
7.96% | 21.20% |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22–22 | +0 | 20 |
P
V
S
V
P
|
4.40% | 12.44% |
| 10 | San Diego | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30–27 | +3 | 17 |
S
P
V
P
P
|
1.29% | 4.59% |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25–24 | +1 | 16 |
S
S
V
S
S
|
<1% | <1% |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16–20 | -4 | 16 |
V
P
V
V
S
|
1.17% | 4.46% |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22–28 | -6 | 14 |
S
S
P
V
S
|
<1% | 2.48% |
| 14 | Austin | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19–31 | -12 | 14 |
S
S
S
P
V
|
— | <1% |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14–36 | -22 | 11 |
S
V
V
S
P
|
— | — |
Play Off: 1/8
Play Off: 1/16
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
14 Jun 2026
Upcoming matches
July 17, 2026
July 18, 2026
Recent results
May 25, 2026
May 24, 2026
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Columbus Crew
2–0
Atlanta United FC
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
Houston Dynamo
24 May
Regular Season - 16
San Diego
2–4
Vancouver Whitecaps
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Portland Timbers
1–3
San Jose Earthquakes
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Colorado Rapids
1–2
FC Dallas
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Nashville SC
2–1
New York City FC
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Chicago Fire
2–1
Toronto FC
1
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Sporting Kansas City
1–2
New York Red Bulls
24 May
Regular Season - 16
FC Cincinnati
6–2
Orlando City SC
1
24 May
Regular Season - 16
Charlotte
1–0
New England Revolution
24 May
Regular Season - 16
DC United
4–4
CF Montreal
May 23, 2026
May 18, 2026
May 17, 2026
17 May
Regular Season - 15
San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
FC Dallas
17 May
Regular Season - 15
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Colorado Rapids
1
17 May
Regular Season - 15
San Diego
3–3
FC Cincinnati
17 May
Regular Season - 15
Seattle Sounders
0–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
17 May
Regular Season - 15
Austin
1–2
Sporting Kansas City
17 May
Regular Season - 15
Houston Dynamo
1–0
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
Regular Season - 15
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
17 May
Regular Season - 15
New England Revolution
2–1
Minnesota United FC
17 May
Regular Season - 15
DC United
1–1
St. Louis City
17 May
Regular Season - 15
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Columbus Crew
17 May
Regular Season - 15
Charlotte
3–1
Toronto FC
17 May
Regular Season - 15
New York Red Bulls
1–1
New York City FC
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
13
L. Messi
Inter Miami
2
13
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
3
12
P. Musa
FC Dallas
4
11
P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
5
11
M. Ingvartsen
San Diego
6
11
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
7
10
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
8
10
N. Fernández Mercau
New York City FC
9
9
J. Hall
New York Red Bulls
10
9
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
👟 Assists
1
8
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
2
7
L. Messi
Inter Miami
3
7
A. Dreyer
San Diego
4
6
Evander
FC Cincinnati
5
6
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
6
6
P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
7
6
C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
8
6
L. Langoni
New England Revolution
9
6
T. Segovia
Inter Miami
10
6
M. Moralez
New York City FC
🟨 Yellow cards
1
7
T. Segovia
Inter Miami
2
7
W. Zaha
Charlotte
3
6
C. Durkin
St. Louis City
4
6
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
FC Cincinnati
5
6
A. Westwood
Charlotte
6
6
H. Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
7
6
J. Díaz
Minnesota United FC
8
6
J. Atencio
Colorado Rapids
9
6
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
10
5
O. Makhanya
Philadelphia Union
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 21 | 55.00% | 47.6% | -7.40% |
| 60–70%% | 14 | 65.00% | 85.7% | +20.70% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 66.7% | -18.30% |
Based on 38 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
31 | 18.11 | +12.89 |
|
| 2 |
FC Cincinnati
|
36 | 26.42 | +9.58 |
|
| 3 |
San Diego
|
30 | 21.96 | +8.04 |
|
| 4 |
FC Dallas
|
30 | 23.13 | +6.87 |
|
| 5 |
Inter Miami
|
39 | 32.59 | +6.41 |
|
| 6 |
Toronto FC
|
22 | 15.71 | +6.29 |
|
| 7 |
New England Revolution
|
22 | 15.86 | +6.14 |
|
| 8 |
New York City FC
|
25 | 19.22 | +5.78 |
|
| 9 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 28.31 | +5.69 |
|
| 10 |
Colorado Rapids
|
25 | 19.91 | +5.09 |
|
| 11 |
Portland Timbers
|
22 | 16.93 | +5.07 |
|
| 12 |
Austin
|
19 | 14.68 | +4.32 |
|
| 13 |
Houston Dynamo
|
19 | 14.77 | +4.23 |
|
| 14 |
Los Angeles FC
|
24 | 20.17 | +3.83 |
|
| 15 |
Real Salt Lake
|
26 | 22.27 | +3.73 |
|
| 16 |
Orlando City SC
|
23 | 19.56 | +3.44 |
|
| 17 |
Columbus Crew
|
21 | 18.06 | +2.94 |
|
| 18 |
Charlotte
|
24 | 22.10 | +1.90 |
|
| 19 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
14 | 12.48 | +1.52 |
|
| 20 |
CF Montreal
|
22 | 20.86 | +1.14 |
|
| 21 |
DC United
|
21 | 20.43 | +0.57 |
|
| 22 |
Chicago Fire
|
27 | 26.54 | +0.46 |
|
| 23 |
New York Red Bulls
|
25 | 24.84 | +0.16 |
|
| 24 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 34.28 | -0.28 |
|
| 25 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
22 | 23.93 | -1.93 |
|
| 26 |
Seattle Sounders
|
17 | 19.13 | -2.13 |
|
| 27 |
Atlanta United FC
|
14 | 16.42 | -2.42 |
|
| 28 |
St. Louis City
|
16 | 18.98 | -2.98 |
|
| 29 |
Philadelphia Union
|
18 | 21.65 | -3.65 |
|
| 30 |
Minnesota United FC
|
18 | 22.10 | -4.10 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for MLS?
For MLS, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for MLS?
Accuracy for MLS is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for MLS using per-league historical data.
How are MLS season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Dallas
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
Austin
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
CF Montreal
DC United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders
Atlanta United FC
St. Louis City
Philadelphia Union
Minnesota United FC