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MLS

MLS

USA  · Season 2026
2026 2025
61.30%
1X2 accuracy · 31 predictions (3 months)

League Table + end of season projections

Eastern Conference
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Play Off: 1/8 Play Off: 1/16
1 Nashville SC — Play Off: 1/8 17 12 3 2 33–12 +21 39
S V V V V
99.77% >99%
2 Inter Miami — Play Off: 1/8 17 11 4 2 43–30 +13 37
V V V V V
98.99% 99.74%
3 New England Revolution — Play Off: 1/8 16 9 2 5 26–19 +7 29
V P S V S
48.71% 67.13%
4 Chicago Fire — Play Off: 1/8 16 8 2 6 30–22 +8 26
S S V V V
42.65% 60.80%
5 New York City FC — Play Off: 1/8 17 7 4 6 30–23 +7 25
V V S P V
21.09% 37.68%
6 Charlotte — Play Off: 1/8 17 7 4 6 28–25 +3 25
V P V V S
10.58% 21.67%
7 FC Cincinnati — Play Off: 1/8 17 6 5 6 41–42 -1 23
S V V P S
10.68% 21.84%
8 DC United — Play Off: 1/16 17 5 7 5 24–27 -3 22
V P P P S
2.20% 6.20%
9 New York Red Bulls — Play Off: 1/16 17 6 4 7 26–37 -11 22
S S V P V
<1% <1%
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 28–44 -16 20
V V S P V
<1% 1.91%
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 24–26 -2 19
V S V P S
<1% <1%
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 23–31 -8 16
S P P S S
<1%
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 22–33 -11 15
S S P P S
<1%
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 22–31 -9 13
V V S P S
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 17–30 -13 12
S P S S P
<1%
Play Off: 1/8 Play Off: 1/16 % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 29 Jul 2026
Western Conference
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Play Off: 1/8 Play Off: 1/16
1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Play Off: 1/8 16 10 3 3 37–16 +21 33
P S V S V
93.76% 97.73%
2 Los Angeles FC — Play Off: 1/8 18 10 3 5 34–18 +16 33
V V V V S
86.60% 94.45%
3 San Jose Earthquakes — Play Off: 1/8 17 10 3 4 35–20 +15 33
P S V S S
60.76% 76.73%
4 FC Dallas — Play Off: 1/8 17 7 5 5 32–25 +7 26
S P V V S
35.67% 54.11%
5 Real Salt Lake — Play Off: 1/8 16 8 2 6 28–24 +4 26
S S P V V
22.19% 38.66%
6 Houston Dynamo — Play Off: 1/8 16 8 2 6 23–24 -1 26
V P P V S
25.59% 42.71%
7 St. Louis City — Play Off: 1/8 17 7 4 6 23–23 +0 25
V V V V P
27.83% 46.34%
8 Seattle Sounders — Play Off: 1/16 16 7 3 6 19–20 -1 24
S S S S S
1.78% 5.09%
9 Minnesota United FC — Play Off: 1/16 17 6 5 6 19–24 -5 23
P S P S S
1.62% 4.83%
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 31–32 -1 21
V P V S S
6.04% 13.77%
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 24–29 -5 21
P S S P V
<1% <1%
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 31–28 +3 20
V S S P V
2.02% 5.61%
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 26–25 +1 19
S V S S V
<1% <1%
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 22–35 -13 17
S V S S S
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 18–44 -26 14
S V S S V
Play Off: 1/8 Play Off: 1/16 % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 29 Jul 2026

Recent results

July 26, 2026
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
Los Angeles FC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City
1
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
San Diego 1–0 FC Dallas
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
St. Louis City 1–0 Colorado Rapids
1
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin
1
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
Minnesota United FC 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
Philadelphia Union 1–0 Seattle Sounders
1
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
DC United 2–1 Toronto FC
1
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
New England Revolution 4–1 Atlanta United FC
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati
26 Jul Regular Season - 17
New York Red Bulls 0–2 Charlotte
July 23, 2026
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC
1
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Los Angeles FC 3–1 Real Salt Lake
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Austin 3–1 Seattle Sounders
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Colorado Rapids 1–0 San Diego
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Houston Dynamo 1–1 DC United
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Nashville SC 1–0 CF Montreal
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Charlotte 2–2 Atlanta United FC
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York Red Bulls
1
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC
23 Jul Regular Season - 16
Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire
1
July 18, 2026

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 L. Messi
L. Messi
Inter Miami
13
2 P. Musa
P. Musa
FC Dallas
13
3 H. Cuypers
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
13
4 P. Judd
P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
11
5 M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
San Diego
11
6 N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
New York City FC
11
7 M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
11
8 B. White
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
10
9 K. Denkey
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
10
10 S. Surridge
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
10
👟 Assists
1 Son Heung-Min
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
8
2 L. Messi
L. Messi
Inter Miami
7
3 Evander
Evander
FC Cincinnati
7
4 A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
San Diego
7
5 P. Owusu
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
6
6 P. Zinckernagel
P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
6
7 C. Espinoza
C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
6
8 L. Langoni
L. Langoni
New England Revolution
6
9 T. Segovia
T. Segovia
Inter Miami
6
10 J. Pereyra
J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
6
🟨 Yellow cards
1 T. Segovia
T. Segovia
Inter Miami
7
2 W. Zaha
W. Zaha
Charlotte
7
3 C. Durkin
C. Durkin
St. Louis City
6
4 Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
FC Cincinnati
6
5 É. Ocampo
É. Ocampo
Vancouver Whitecaps
6
6 P. Owusu
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
6
7 A. Westwood
A. Westwood
Charlotte
6
8 H. Ojediran
H. Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
6
9 J. Díaz
J. Díaz
Minnesota United FC
6
10 T. Jacob
T. Jacob
Atlanta United FC
6
🟥 Red cards
1 B. Vera
B. Vera
CF Montreal
1
2 J. Sery Larsen
J. Sery Larsen
Philadelphia Union
1
3 J. Fory
J. Fory
Portland Timbers
1
4 Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro
Austin
1
5 Y. Bright
Y. Bright
Inter Miami
1
6 R. Edwards
R. Edwards
Toronto FC
1
7 K. Miller
K. Miller
Portland Timbers
1
8 M. Crépeau
M. Crépeau
Orlando City SC
1
9 G. Valenzuela
G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati
1
10 J. Travis
J. Travis
Colorado Rapids
1

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 21 55.00% 47.6% -7.40%
60–70%% 24 65.00% 83.3% +18.30%
70–100%% 4 85.00% 50.0% -35.00%
Based on 49 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve

# Team Goals xG Δ
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 20.28 +12.72
2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 41 28.78 +12.22
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 34 24.55 +9.45
4 New York City FC New York City FC 30 22.02 +7.98
5 FC Dallas FC Dallas 32 24.47 +7.53
6 New England Revolution New England Revolution 26 18.81 +7.19
7 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 31 24.09 +6.91
8 San Diego San Diego 31 24.30 +6.70
9 Inter Miami Inter Miami 43 36.42 +6.58
10 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 21.09 +5.91
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 26 20.49 +5.51
12 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 23 17.51 +5.49
13 Austin Austin 22 16.67 +5.33
14 Toronto FC Toronto FC 23 18.80 +4.20
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 18 14.84 +3.16
16 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 28 24.98 +3.02
17 Charlotte Charlotte 28 25.04 +2.96
18 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 35 32.39 +2.61
19 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 22.02 +1.98
20 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 37 36.51 +0.49
21 DC United DC United 24 23.71 +0.29
22 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 30 29.80 +0.20
23 St. Louis City St. Louis City 23 24.60 -1.60
24 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 26 28.03 -2.03
25 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 19 21.29 -2.29
26 CF Montreal CF Montreal 22 24.55 -2.55
27 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 24 26.83 -2.83
28 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 22 25.90 -3.90
29 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 17 21.32 -4.32
30 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 19 25.04 -6.04
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for MLS?
For MLS, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for MLS?
Accuracy for MLS is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for MLS using per-league historical data.
How are MLS season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.