72.00%
1X2 accuracy · 25 predictions (3 months)
Playoff stage
Regular season
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101–45 | +56 | 84 |
V
V
P
V
V
|
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70–44 | +26 | 65 |
V
P
V
V
P
|
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77–53 | +24 | 59 |
V
S
P
P
P
|
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59–40 | +19 | 58 |
S
V
P
P
V
|
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62–41 | +21 | 56 |
P
S
P
V
V
|
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55–42 | +13 | 53 |
V
V
V
S
V
|
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58–51 | +7 | 52 |
P
P
P
P
V
|
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57–53 | +4 | 51 |
P
S
V
V
S
|
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49–45 | +4 | 48 |
V
V
S
S
P
|
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40–62 | -22 | 43 |
S
S
P
S
S
|
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49–63 | -14 | 39 |
S
V
S
S
P
|
| 12 | GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54–53 | +1 | 38 |
S
S
P
P
P
|
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43–56 | -13 | 38 |
V
P
V
V
P
|
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49–55 | -6 | 37 |
V
V
P
V
S
|
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44–71 | -27 | 37 |
S
S
V
S
P
|
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35–55 | -20 | 32 |
S
P
S
V
S
|
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35–58 | -23 | 29 |
P
V
S
S
P
|
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35–85 | -50 | 19 |
S
S
S
S
S
|
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
25
A. Ueda
Feyenoord
2
17
M. Godts
Ajax
3
16
T. Parrott
AZ Alkmaar
4
16
R. Pepi
PSV Eindhoven
5
15
I. Saibari
PSV Eindhoven
6
14
G. Til
PSV Eindhoven
7
13
J. Trenskow
Heerenveen
8
12
B. Linssen
NEC Nijmegen
9
12
K. Sierhuis
Fortuna Sittard
10
12
M. Suray
GO Ahead Eagles
👟 Assists
1
14
J. Veerman
PSV Eindhoven
2
13
M. Godts
Ajax
3
12
I. Perišić
PSV Eindhoven
4
12
S. El Karouani
Utrecht
5
10
M. Ihattaren
Fortuna Sittard
6
10
J. van Overeem
Heerenveen
7
9
Y. Taha
Groningen
8
9
Mauro Júnior
PSV Eindhoven
9
8
I. Saibari
PSV Eindhoven
10
7
B. Linssen
NEC Nijmegen
🟨 Yellow cards
1
10
P. Brittijn
Fortuna Sittard
2
10
A. Kaplan
NEC Nijmegen
3
9
L. Valente
Feyenoord
4
9
R. Hillen
NAC Breda
5
9
W. Goes
AZ Alkmaar
6
9
M. de Wit
AZ Alkmaar
7
8
Teo Quintero
Sparta Rotterdam
8
8
P. Sandler
NEC Nijmegen
9
7
Justin Quincy Hubner
Fortuna Sittard
10
7
M. Linday
Heerenveen
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 9 | 55.00% | 66.7% | +11.70% |
| 60–70%% | 11 | 65.00% | 63.6% | -1.40% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 25 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
97 | 71.54 | +25.46 |
|
| 2 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
76 | 62.82 | +13.18 |
|
| 3 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
53 | 42.76 | +10.24 |
|
| 4 |
Ajax
|
63 | 56.76 | +6.24 |
|
| 5 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
46 | 40.83 | +5.17 |
|
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
56 | 52.35 | +3.65 |
|
| 7 |
PEC Zwolle
|
42 | 39.26 | +2.74 |
|
| 8 |
Feyenoord
|
69 | 67.08 | +1.92 |
|
| 9 |
Heerenveen
|
59 | 58.87 | +0.13 |
|
| 10 |
FC Volendam
|
34 | 35.69 | -1.69 |
|
| 11 |
Excelsior
|
42 | 45.11 | -3.11 |
|
| 12 |
Telstar
|
46 | 49.24 | -3.24 |
|
| 13 |
Heracles
|
35 | 39.14 | -4.14 |
|
| 14 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
40 | 44.78 | -4.78 |
|
| 15 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
57 | 61.94 | -4.94 |
|
| 16 |
NAC Breda
|
33 | 39.26 | -6.26 |
|
| 17 |
Twente
|
55 | 61.30 | -6.30 |
|
| 18 |
Groningen
|
47 | 58.15 | -11.15 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Eredivisie?
For Eredivisie, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Eredivisie?
Accuracy for Eredivisie is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Eredivisie using per-league historical data.
How are Eredivisie season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.