Matchday 5 of 28
18%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
53 (28–75)
pos. ~2.6°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1487
|
▲0% | ||
|
50 (27–74)
pos. ~3.6°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1486
|
▼0% | ||
|
50 (26–72)
pos. ~3.7°
|
C11 · T13
ELO 1488
|
▲1% | ||
|
48 (25–70)
pos. ~4.3°
|
C13 · T11
ELO 1484
|
▼0% | ||
|
47 (25–71)
pos. ~4.6°
|
C12 · T12
ELO 1482
|
▼0% | ||
|
44 (23–66)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1487
|
▼0% | ||
|
39 (17–61)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1489
|
▼0% | ||
|
39 (15–68)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C12 · T12
ELO 1491
|
▲0% | ||
|
37 (12–62)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1483
|
▲0% | ||
|
38 (9–64)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1489
|
▲1% | ||
|
32 (13–61)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1488
|
▲0% | ||
|
33 (9–56)
pos. ~10.8°
|
C12 · T12
ELO 1488
|
▼0% | ||
|
30 (9–53)
pos. ~12.0°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1489
|
▼0% | ||
|
26 (5–49)
pos. ~13.2°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1491
|
▼1% | ||
|
24 (4–48)
pos. ~13.8°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1489
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Challenger Pro League?
For Challenger Pro League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Challenger Pro League?
Accuracy for Challenger Pro League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Challenger Pro League using per-league historical data.
How are Challenger Pro League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.