Matchday 4 of 26
15%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
55 (32–74)
pos. ~1.4°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1497
|
▲15% | ||
|
46 (23–67)
pos. ~3.3°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1505
|
▲7% | ||
|
41 (17–65)
pos. ~5.1°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1504
|
▼13% | ||
|
42 (18–62)
pos. ~4.8°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1501
|
▼3% | ||
|
37 (14–58)
pos. ~6.6°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1512
|
▲3% | ||
|
41 (16–64)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1514
|
▼1% | ||
|
37 (10–58)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1515
|
▼12% | ||
|
31 (10–55)
pos. ~9.8°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1516
|
▼1% | ||
|
29 (10–54)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1511
|
▼2% | ||
|
30 (8–53)
pos. ~10.1°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1502
|
▼36% | ||
|
30 (8–53)
pos. ~10.1°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1514
|
▲24% | ||
|
30 (8–60)
pos. ~10.1°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1511
|
▲6% | ||
|
21 (4–41)
pos. ~13.1°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1519
|
▲14% | ||
|
34 (11–58)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1513
|
▼1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 7 | 55.00% | 57.1% | +2.10% |
| 60–70%% | 10 | 65.00% | 70.0% | +5.00% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 33.3% | -51.70% |
Based on 20 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Ligat Ha'al?
For Ligat Ha'al, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Ligat Ha'al?
Accuracy for Ligat Ha'al is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Ligat Ha'al using per-league historical data.
How are Ligat Ha'al season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.