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League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 1 Aug 2026
Champion
Play Off: 1/2
Play Off: 1/4
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
66 (34–102)
pos. ~11.1°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1518
|
· | ||
| 2 |
71 (39–105)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1515
|
▲1% | ||
| 3 |
62 (34–102)
pos. ~13.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1520
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
69 (38–103)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1516
|
▼0% | ||
| 5 |
57 (25–87)
pos. ~16.9°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1523
|
▲1% | ||
| 6 |
56 (28–95)
pos. ~17.2°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1523
|
▼2% | ||
| 7 |
62 (27–95)
pos. ~13.5°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1520
|
· | ||
| 8 |
66 (36–104)
pos. ~10.8°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1517
|
▼0% | ||
| 9 |
64 (30–96)
pos. ~11.9°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1518
|
· | ||
| 10 |
74 (38–109)
pos. ~6.1°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1513
|
▼2% | ||
| 11 |
65 (33–100)
pos. ~11.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1518
|
· | ||
| 12 |
52 (22–88)
pos. ~19.7°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1526
|
▼0% | ||
| 13 |
55 (26–87)
pos. ~18.0°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1524
|
▲0% | ||
| 14 |
57 (24–91)
pos. ~16.8°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1523
|
▼0% | ||
| 15 |
65 (30–101)
pos. ~11.8°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1518
|
▲0% | ||
| 16 |
56 (22–88)
pos. ~17.1°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1523
|
▼0% | ||
| 17 |
61 (29–94)
pos. ~14.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1521
|
▲0% | ||
| 18 |
62 (29–94)
pos. ~13.5°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1520
|
▲0% | ||
| 19 |
59 (26–102)
pos. ~15.3°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1521
|
▲0% | ||
| 20 |
59 (28–93)
pos. ~15.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1521
|
▲0% | ||
| 21 |
69 (38–100)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1516
|
▲0% | ||
| 22 |
71 (38–106)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1514
|
▲0% | ||
| 23 |
72 (40–106)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1514
|
▲1% | ||
| 24 |
74 (43–104)
pos. ~5.8°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1512
|
▼1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for National League?
For National League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for National League?
Accuracy for National League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for National League using per-league historical data.
How are National League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.