Matchday 7 of 30
23%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 12 Aug 2026
Champion
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
59 (28–82)
pos. ~2.5°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1486
|
▲0% | ||
|
61 (39–83)
pos. ~2.0°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1483
|
▼1% | ||
|
53 (29–75)
pos. ~4.3°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1487
|
▲0% | ||
|
57 (34–80)
pos. ~3.1°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1490
|
▲0% | ||
|
46 (24–73)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
41 (16–62)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
43 (22–66)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1491
|
· | ||
|
42 (20–66)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1492
|
· | ||
|
43 (23–68)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1489
|
· | ||
|
43 (20–69)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1492
|
· | ||
|
40 (11–64)
pos. ~9.4°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1486
|
· | ||
|
37 (15–69)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1490
|
· | ||
|
31 (12–57)
pos. ~12.7°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1497
|
· | ||
|
28 (9–53)
pos. ~13.7°
|
C11 · T12
ELO 1484
|
· | ||
|
26 (7–49)
pos. ~14.2°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1495
|
· | ||
|
20 (1–43)
pos. ~15.4°
|
C12 · T11
ELO 1487
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Championship?
For Championship, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Championship?
Accuracy for Championship is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Championship using per-league historical data.
How are Championship season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.