Primeira Liga
Portogallo
· Season 2025/26
63.00%
1X2 accuracy · 27 predictions (3 months)
League Table
+ proiezioni fine stagione
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation Playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63–15 | +48 | 82 |
V
V
V
P
V
|
99.61% | 100% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67–20 | +47 | 75 |
V
V
V
P
V
|
<1% | 75.72% | 100% | — | — | — |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77–22 | +55 | 73 |
P
P
S
V
V
|
— | 24.28% | 100% | — | — | — |
| 4 | SC Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59–31 | +28 | 56 |
S
V
P
V
V
|
— | — | — | 96.60% | — | — |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39–27 | +12 | 51 |
V
P
P
P
V
|
— | — | — | 3.07% | — | — |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46–32 | +14 | 49 |
V
S
P
V
S
|
— | — | — | <1% | — | — |
| 7 | Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38–43 | -5 | 42 |
V
V
P
V
S
|
— | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34–45 | -11 | 39 |
S
V
P
S
S
|
— | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34–49 | -15 | 38 |
V
S
V
V
S
|
— | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51–52 | -1 | 37 |
S
S
S
S
S
|
— | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39–60 | -21 | 35 |
S
V
S
V
V
|
— | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33–52 | -19 | 34 |
S
P
V
S
V
|
— | — | — | — | <1% | — |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28–38 | -10 | 32 |
V
P
S
S
V
|
— | — | — | — | <1% | — |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34–41 | -7 | 31 |
V
V
S
V
S
|
— | — | — | — | <1% | — |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34–51 | -17 | 28 |
S
S
S
S
V
|
— | — | — | — | 23.72% | 1.32% |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29–55 | -26 | 26 |
S
S
P
S
P
|
— | — | — | — | 66.57% | 10.15% |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23–52 | -29 | 22 |
P
S
S
P
S
|
— | — | — | — | 8.93% | 88.53% |
| 18 | AVS | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22–65 | -43 | 14 |
P
P
P
S
P
|
— | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
30 Apr 2026
Upcoming matches
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 8 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 10 | 65.00% | 70.0% | +5.00% |
| 70–100%% | 9 | 85.00% | 66.7% | -18.30% |
Basato su 27 previsioni verificate · Δ ≤ 5% = ottima calibrazione
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sporting CP
|
77 | 64.82 | +12.18 |
|
| 2 |
Estoril
|
51 | 39.41 | +11.59 |
|
| 3 |
Arouca
|
39 | 30.11 | +8.89 |
|
| 4 |
Benfica
|
67 | 61.28 | +5.72 |
|
| 5 |
Moreirense
|
34 | 28.44 | +5.56 |
|
| 6 |
FC Porto
|
63 | 57.58 | +5.42 |
|
| 7 |
SC Braga
|
59 | 54.31 | +4.69 |
|
| 8 |
GIL Vicente
|
46 | 42.79 | +3.21 |
|
| 9 |
Casa Pia
|
29 | 27.99 | +1.01 |
|
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
33 | 32.57 | +0.43 |
|
| 11 |
Guimaraes
|
38 | 38.12 | -0.12 |
|
| 12 |
Nacional
|
34 | 35.46 | -1.46 |
|
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
39 | 41.66 | -2.66 |
|
| 14 |
Estrela
|
34 | 37.89 | -3.89 |
|
| 15 |
Alverca
|
34 | 38.37 | -4.37 |
|
| 16 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 32.70 | -4.70 |
|
| 17 |
AVS
|
22 | 27.56 | -5.56 |
|
| 18 |
Tondela
|
23 | 35.27 | -12.27 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms