Primeira Liga

Portogallo · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26 2024/25

Matchday 6 of 34 18%

League Table

18 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto — Champion	6	6	0	0	15–2	+13	18	V V V V V
2	Benfica — Champions League	6	5	1	0	21–4	+17	16	V V V V V
3	Sporting CP — Europa League	6	4	2	0	15–6	+9	14	P V V V V
4	Santa Clara — Conference League	6	4	2	0	11–4	+7	14	V V P V V
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	8–5	+3	10	S P V S V
6	Estrela	6	2	4	0	14–12	+2	10	P V P V P
7	SC Braga	5	3	1	1	7–5	+2	10	V S V V P
8	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7–9	-2	8	V V S P S
9	GIL Vicente	5	2	1	2	4–4	+0	7	S S P V V
10	Maritimo	6	2	1	3	7–11	-4	7	S S S P V
11	Moreirense	6	2	1	3	7–13	-6	7	V S S V S
12	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8–11	-3	5	V S P S P
13	Famalicao	6	0	4	2	5–7	-2	4	P P P S S
14	Vitória SC	6	1	1	4	4–7	-3	4	S P S V S
15	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7–11	-4	4	S S S S V
16	Rio Ave — Relegation Playoff	6	1	1	4	5–14	-9	4	P S S V S
17	Estoril — Relegation	6	0	2	4	2–8	-6	2	S P S S S
18	Casa Pia — Relegation	6	0	1	5	1–15	-14	1	S P S S S
1	Sporting CP — Champion	3	3	0	0	8–3	+5	9	V V V
2	FC Porto — Champions League	3	3	0	0	6–1	+5	9	V V V
3	Santa Clara — Europa League	3	2	1	0	7–2	+5	7	P V V
4	Benfica — Conference League	3	2	1	0	7–4	+3	7	P V V
5	Arouca	3	2	0	1	7–3	+4	6	V V S
6	GIL Vicente	3	2	0	1	3–1	+2	6	V V S
7	SC Braga	2	2	0	0	2–0	+2	6	V V
8	Estrela	3	1	2	0	6–5	+1	5	P P V
9	Vitória SC	3	1	1	1	1–1	+0	4	S V P
10	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	5–7	-2	4	P S V
11	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	3–5	-2	4	V P S
12	Nacional	3	1	0	2	5–6	-1	3	V S S
13	Academico Viseu	3	1	0	2	2–5	-3	3	S S V
14	Alverca	3	0	2	1	4–5	-1	2	P P S
15	Famalicao	3	0	2	1	2–3	-1	2	S P P
16	Estoril — Relegation Playoff	3	0	2	1	1–3	-2	2	P S P
17	Rio Ave — Relegation	3	0	1	2	3–9	-6	1	S S P
18	Casa Pia — Relegation	3	0	0	3	1–12	-11	0	S S S
1	Benfica — Champion	3	3	0	0	14–0	+14	9	V V V
2	FC Porto — Champions League	3	3	0	0	9–1	+8	9	V V V
3	Santa Clara — Europa League	3	2	1	0	4–2	+2	7	V P V
4	Sporting CP — Conference League	3	1	2	0	7–3	+4	5	P V P
5	Estrela	3	1	2	0	8–7	+1	5	P V P
6	Academico Viseu	3	1	2	0	5–4	+1	5	P P V
7	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	5–5	+0	4	P V S
8	Arouca	3	1	1	1	1–2	-1	4	V S P
9	Alverca	3	1	0	2	4–6	-2	3	S S V
10	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	4–6	-2	3	V S S
11	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	2–5	-3	3	S V S
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	2–6	-4	3	S V S
13	Famalicao	3	0	2	1	3–4	-1	2	P S P
14	GIL Vicente	2	0	1	1	1–3	-2	1	P S
15	Nacional	3	0	1	2	2–5	-3	1	P S S
16	Casa Pia — Relegation Playoff	3	0	1	2	0–3	-3	1	S S P
17	Vitória SC — Relegation	3	0	0	3	3–6	-3	0	S S S
18	Estoril — Relegation	3	0	0	3	1–5	-4	0	S S S

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 17 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
FC Porto	76 (53–98) pos. ~2.0°	C14 · T14 ELO 1515	▼3%
Benfica	79 (56–98) pos. ~1.5°	C14 · T14 ELO 1513	▲4%
Sporting CP	70 (45–93) pos. ~2.9°	C14 · T14 ELO 1519	▼1%
Santa Clara	61 (35–84) pos. ~4.4°	C14 · T14 ELO 1522	▼0%
Arouca	55 (28–78) pos. ~6.1°	C14 · T14 ELO 1517	▼0%
Estrela	50 (27–74) pos. ~7.6°	C14 · T14 ELO 1520	·
SC Braga	53 (30–77) pos. ~6.4°	C14 · T14 ELO 1521	·
Academico Viseu	47 (19–75) pos. ~8.7°	C14 · T14 ELO 1506	▼0%
GIL Vicente	42 (20–69) pos. ~10.5°	C14 · T14 ELO 1514	▼0%
Maritimo	41 (15–72) pos. ~11.2°	C14 · T14 ELO 1516	▼0%
Moreirense	38 (16–61) pos. ~12.4°	C14 · T14 ELO 1510	▼0%
Alverca	40 (17–63) pos. ~11.5°	C14 · T14 ELO 1511	·
Famalicao	42 (17–67) pos. ~10.5°	C14 · T14 ELO 1516	·
Vitória SC	35 (13–68) pos. ~13.5°	C14 · T14 ELO 1521	▼1%
Nacional	35 (14–65) pos. ~13.5°	C14 · T14 ELO 1526	▲0%
Rio Ave	30 (10–55) pos. ~15.4°	C14 · T14 ELO 1517	▲0%
Estoril	30 (9–54) pos. ~15.4°	C14 · T14 ELO 1519	▲1%
Casa Pia	23 (4–47) pos. ~17.3°	C14 · T14 ELO 1517	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

V. Pavlidis

Benfica

G. Prestianni

Benfica

L. Antonetti

Estrela

L. Suárez

Sporting CP

Gonçalo Paciência

Santa Clara

Flávio Gonçalves

Sporting CP

Pau Victor

SC Braga

Borja Sainz

FC Porto

Barbero

Arouca

Gabri Veiga

FC Porto

👟 Assists

Gabri Veiga

FC Porto

Geny Catamo

Sporting CP

Pepê Aquino

FC Porto

N. Djouahra

Arouca

Eddy Doue

Estrela

V. Pavlidis

Benfica

G. Prestianni

Benfica

William

FC Porto

F. Ioannidis

Sporting CP

A. Schjelderup

Benfica

🟨 Yellow cards

Y. Bojang

Alverca

Gustavo

Vitória SC

Raphael Guzzo

Maritimo

Igor Julião

Maritimo

Chiquinho

Alverca

Kaly

Casa Pia

Alejandro Mestanza

Academico Viseu

Miguel Nogueira

Vitória SC

A. Correia

Academico Viseu

David Sousa

Casa Pia

🟥 Red cards

Chiquinho

Alverca

A. Ntoi

Rio Ave

Guilherme Liberato

Moreirense

A. Ndoye

Vitória SC

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	11	55.00%	36.4%	-18.60%
60–70%%	15	65.00%	66.7%	+1.70%
70–100%%	11	85.00%	72.7%	-12.30%

Based on 37 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾

#	Team	Goals	xG	Δ
1	Sporting CP	12	5.87	+6.13
2	Benfica	11	8.18	+2.82
3	Estrela	7	4.40	+2.60
4	Arouca	5	2.53	+2.47
5	Moreirense	3	0.98	+2.02
6	Maritimo	5	3.12	+1.88
7	Nacional	6	4.52	+1.48
8	Academico Viseu	4	2.62	+1.38
9	Santa Clara	4	4.01	-0.01
10	Rio Ave	2	2.06	-0.06
11	Alverca	3	3.45	-0.45
12	GIL Vicente	3	3.50	-0.50
13	Estoril	2	2.94	-0.94
14	Famalicao	2	3.24	-1.24
15	FC Porto	6	7.56	-1.56
16	Casa Pia	0	2.18	-2.18
17	Vitória SC	3	6.50	-3.50

Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Primeira Liga?

For Primeira Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Primeira Liga?

Accuracy for Primeira Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Primeira Liga using per-league historical data.

How are Primeira Liga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.