Serie A

Italia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26 2024/25

Matchday 4 of 38 11%

League Table

20 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	AS Roma — Champion	4	4	0	0	12–1	+11	12	V V V V
2	Inter — Champions League	4	4	0	0	13–6	+7	12	V V V V
3	Como — Champions League	4	3	1	0	9–4	+5	10	V V V P
4	Lazio — Champions League	4	3	1	0	6–3	+3	10	P V V V
5	Cagliari — Europa League	4	3	0	1	4–2	+2	9	V V S V
6	AC Milan — Conference League	4	2	2	0	7–4	+3	8	P P V V
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	7–4	+3	7	P V V S
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	6–4	+2	7	S P V V
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	8–7	+1	7	V P V S
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	6–5	+1	6	V S S V
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	5–5	+0	6	S S V V
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	5–7	-2	6	V S S V
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	8–10	-2	4	S S V P
14	Torino	4	1	0	3	4–7	-3	3	S V S S
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	5–11	-6	3	V S S S
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	2–5	-3	1	S P S S
17	Parma	4	0	1	3	2–6	-4	1	S P S S
18	Monza — Relegation	4	0	1	3	6–11	-5	1	S P S S
19	Genoa — Relegation	4	0	1	3	2–8	-6	1	P S S S
20	Venezia — Relegation	4	0	0	4	4–11	-7	0	S S S S
1	Inter — Champion	3	3	0	0	12–6	+6	9	V V V
2	AS Roma — Champions League	2	2	0	0	6–1	+5	6	V V
3	Sassuolo — Champions League	2	2	0	0	5–3	+2	6	V V
4	Atalanta — Champions League	3	2	0	1	4–3	+1	6	V V S
5	Juventus — Europa League	2	1	1	0	3–1	+2	4	V P
6	Lazio — Conference League	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4	V P
7	AC Milan	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
8	Como	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	3–3	+0	3	S V
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2–2	+0	3	S V
11	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	1–1	+0	3	S V
12	Lecce	2	1	0	1	3–6	-3	3	S V
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	2–3	-1	1	P S
14	Bologna	2	0	1	1	2–3	-1	1	S P
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	1–2	-1	1	S P
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	2–7	-5	1	S S P
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	2–3	-1	0	S
18	Torino — Relegation	2	0	0	2	1–4	-3	0	S S
19	Venezia — Relegation	2	0	0	2	2–6	-4	0	S S
20	Fiorentina — Relegation	2	0	0	2	1–5	-4	0	S S
1	Como — Champion	3	2	1	0	7–3	+4	7	P V V
2	AS Roma — Champions League	2	2	0	0	6–0	+6	6	V V
3	Cagliari — Champions League	2	2	0	0	3–1	+2	6	V V
4	Lazio — Champions League	2	2	0	0	3–1	+2	6	V V
5	AC Milan — Europa League	3	1	2	0	5–4	+1	5	V P P
6	Frosinone — Conference League	2	1	1	0	4–1	+3	4	V P
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	4–3	+1	3	V S
8	Lecce	2	1	0	1	2–1	+1	3	V S
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
10	Juventus	2	1	0	1	3–3	+0	3	V S
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	3–3	+0	3	S V
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	6–7	-1	3	V S
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	4–6	-2	3	S V
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	3–4	-1	1	S P
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	4–8	-4	1	S P S
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
18	Bologna — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–2	-2	0	S S
19	Venezia — Relegation	2	0	0	2	2–5	-3	0	S S
20	Parma — Relegation	2	0	0	2	1–4	-3	0	S S

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
AS Roma	83 (57–105) pos. ~1.6°	C17 · T17 ELO 1536	▲3%
Inter	78 (49–102) pos. ~2.3°	C16 · T18 ELO 1531	▲6%
Como	73 (46–105) pos. ~3.2°	C18 · T16 ELO 1536	▼6%
Lazio	59 (27–85) pos. ~7.6°	C17 · T17 ELO 1542	▼2%
Cagliari	57 (27–86) pos. ~8.3°	C17 · T17 ELO 1540	▼1%
AC Milan	60 (33–88) pos. ~7.1°	C18 · T16 ELO 1537	▼2%
Frosinone	61 (31–89) pos. ~6.7°	C17 · T17 ELO 1539	▼3%
Juventus	59 (31–87) pos. ~7.5°	C17 · T17 ELO 1535	▼1%
Sassuolo	54 (27–78) pos. ~9.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1541	▼1%
Napoli	58 (28–87) pos. ~8.0°	C17 · T17 ELO 1533	▼1%
Atalanta	52 (27–83) pos. ~10.4°	C16 · T18 ELO 1538	▼1%
Lecce	49 (21–76) pos. ~12.1°	C17 · T17 ELO 1541	▲0%
Udinese	50 (22–80) pos. ~11.7°	C17 · T17 ELO 1532	▼5%
Torino	42 (17–71) pos. ~15.0°	C17 · T17 ELO 1539	▲10%
Fiorentina	40 (14–68) pos. ~15.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1539	▼4%
Bologna	43 (17–72) pos. ~14.7°	C17 · T17 ELO 1541	▼4%
Parma	37 (12–66) pos. ~16.8°	C17 · T17 ELO 1539	▲11%
Monza	40 (12–71) pos. ~15.9°	C18 · T16 ELO 1540	▼4%
Genoa	36 (10–64) pos. ~17.4°	C16 · T18 ELO 1537	▼5%
Venezia	33 (10–62) pos. ~18.2°	C17 · T17 ELO 1542	▼3%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

D. Malen

AS Roma

A. Raimondo

Frosinone

D. Frattesi

Lazio

M. Soulé

AS Roma

M. Baturina

Como

Assane Diao

Como

H. Kamara

Udinese

H. Çalhanoğlu

Inter

A. Cissè

AC Milan

C. Adams

Torino

👟 Assists

P. Dybala

AS Roma

S. Chukwueze

AC Milan

Ricardo Mangas

Monza

A. Diouf

Inter

M. Soulé

AS Roma

M. Baturina

Como

Assane Diao

Como

H. Kamara

Udinese

T. Koopmeiners

Juventus

K. De Bruyne

Napoli

🟨 Yellow cards

L. Østigård

Genoa

J. Piotrowski

Udinese

R. Schmid

Frosinone

Lautaro Martínez

Inter

L. Lucchesi

Monza

Kialonda Gaspar

Lecce

G. Calvani

Frosinone

A. Deiola

Cagliari

P. Almqvist

Parma

A. Dovbyk

Bologna

🟥 Red cards

G. Gaetano

Atalanta

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	25	55.00%	48.0%	-7.00%
60–70%%	12	65.00%	83.3%	+18.30%
70–100%%	4	85.00%	75.0%	-10.00%

Based on 41 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾

#	Team	Goals	xG	Δ
1	Lecce	5	2.05	+2.95
2	AS Roma	10	7.88	+2.12
3	Inter	10	8.05	+1.95
4	Atalanta	4	2.09	+1.91
5	AC Milan	6	4.80	+1.20
6	Napoli	4	3.26	+0.74
7	Cagliari	3	2.29	+0.71
8	Juventus	5	4.61	+0.39
9	Lazio	4	4.18	-0.18
10	Como	5	5.76	-0.76
11	Venezia	2	3.03	-1.03
12	Parma	1	2.21	-1.21
13	Genoa	1	3.01	-2.01
14	Bologna	0	3.24	-3.24

Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms

Squad value & Efficiency▾

Team	Value (€M)	Pts	Δ pts ↓
AS Roma	€410.5M	12	+4.5
Lazio	€224.8M	10	+4.5
Cagliari	€133.3M	9	+4.5
Como	€312.8M	10	+3.6
Sassuolo	€162.4M	7	+2.2
Lecce	€95.4M	6	+1.9
Inter	€666.8M	12	+1.7
AC Milan	€493.5M	8	-0.4
Udinese	€139.9M	4	-0.5
Torino	€136.9M	3	-1.5
Atalanta	€421.1M	6	-1.6
Napoli	€421.3M	6	-1.6
Juventus	€549.7M	7	-2.0
Fiorentina	€248.0M	3	-2.7
Genoa	€137.4M	1	-3.5
Parma	€151.0M	1	-3.7
Bologna	€291.0M	1	-5.2
Frosinone	n/d	7
Monza	n/d	1
Venezia	n/d	0

Source: Transfermarkt · Δ pts = actual points − expected points from squad value regression

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Serie A?

For Serie A, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Serie A?

Accuracy for Serie A is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Serie A using per-league historical data.

How are Serie A season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.