61.80%
1X2 accuracy · 34 predictions (3 months)
🏆
Bracket
Finale
Final
TBD · TBD
League Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97–45 | +52 | 95 |
V
V
V
P
P
|
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80–47 | +33 | 84 |
V
P
P
V
P
|
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64–49 | +15 | 83 |
S
P
V
P
V
|
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82–56 | +26 | 80 |
V
P
V
P
P
|
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72–47 | +25 | 80 |
S
S
P
P
V
|
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70–66 | +4 | 73 |
V
V
P
V
S
|
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69–65 | +4 | 71 |
P
S
V
V
S
|
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67–59 | +8 | 69 |
S
V
S
V
S
|
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63–56 | +7 | 65 |
S
P
V
V
S
|
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57–56 | +1 | 64 |
P
V
V
P
V
|
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57–59 | -2 | 64 |
V
P
V
S
V
|
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59–59 | +0 | 62 |
V
S
P
S
P
|
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66–66 | +0 | 60 |
V
S
S
V
V
|
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55–62 | -7 | 60 |
S
V
S
S
V
|
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61–73 | -12 | 58 |
S
S
S
S
P
|
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53–65 | -12 | 57 |
S
S
S
S
S
|
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51–56 | -5 | 55 |
S
S
S
S
P
|
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49–64 | -15 | 55 |
P
V
S
V
V
|
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44–58 | -14 | 53 |
S
V
S
P
S
|
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42–56 | -14 | 52 |
S
V
P
S
P
|
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48–58 | -10 | 51 |
S
P
V
V
P
|
| 22 | Oxford United | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45–59 | -14 | 47 |
S
V
S
S
V
|
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58–68 | -10 | 46 |
V
P
P
S
S
|
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29–89 | -60 | 0 |
V
S
S
P
P
|
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
23
Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
2
18
O. McBurnie
Hull City
3
17
H. Wright
Coventry
4
16
J. Clarke
Ipswich
5
15
J. Gelhardt
Hull City
6
15
J. Windass
Wrexham
7
14
M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
8
13
E. Simms
Coventry
9
13
B. Thomas-Asante
Coventry
10
13
T. Conway
Middlesbrough
👟 Assists
1
12
G. Hamer
Sheffield Utd
2
11
S. Thomas
Stoke City
3
10
Léo Scienza
Southampton
4
9
I. Louza
Watford
5
9
R. Morishita
Blackburn
6
9
M. Johnston
West Brom
7
9
J. Tymon
Swansea
8
8
L. Dobbin
Preston
9
8
C. O'Hare
Sheffield Utd
10
8
J. Ward
Derby
🟨 Yellow cards
1
13
A. Mbengue
QPR
2
13
F. Downes
Southampton
3
13
M. Crooks
Hull City
4
12
N. Irankunda
Watford
5
12
C. Styles
West Brom
6
12
L. Coyle
Hull City
7
12
M. Stamenić
Swansea
8
12
J. Tchamadeu
Stoke City
9
11
L. Travis
Derby
10
11
S. McLoughlin
Blackburn
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 19 | 55.00% | 52.6% | -2.40% |
| 60–70%% | 11 | 65.00% | 81.8% | +16.80% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 50.0% | -35.00% |
Based on 34 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wrexham
|
69 | 54.77 | +14.23 |
|
| 2 |
Coventry
|
97 | 84.22 | +12.78 |
|
| 3 |
Hull City
|
73 | 61.98 | +11.02 |
|
| 4 |
Derby
|
67 | 56.22 | +10.78 |
|
| 5 |
QPR
|
61 | 54.08 | +6.92 |
|
| 6 |
Swansea
|
57 | 51.34 | +5.66 |
|
| 7 |
Southampton
|
84 | 79.74 | +4.26 |
|
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
59 | 55.27 | +3.73 |
|
| 9 |
Leicester
|
58 | 54.31 | +3.69 |
|
| 10 |
Norwich
|
63 | 59.76 | +3.24 |
|
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
80 | 76.99 | +3.01 |
|
| 12 |
Preston
|
55 | 53.45 | +1.55 |
|
| 13 |
Stoke City
|
51 | 51.38 | -0.38 |
|
| 14 |
Middlesbrough
|
73 | 73.49 | -0.49 |
|
| 15 |
Portsmouth
|
49 | 49.63 | -0.63 |
|
| 16 |
Millwall
|
64 | 64.88 | -0.88 |
|
| 17 |
Watford
|
53 | 55.41 | -2.41 |
|
| 18 |
Charlton
|
44 | 46.84 | -2.84 |
|
| 19 |
Sheffield Utd
|
66 | 70.40 | -4.40 |
|
| 20 |
Birmingham
|
57 | 61.78 | -4.78 |
|
| 21 |
Oxford United
|
45 | 51.23 | -6.23 |
|
| 22 |
West Brom
|
48 | 57.49 | -9.49 |
|
| 23 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
29 | 39.17 | -10.17 |
|
| 24 |
Blackburn
|
42 | 55.04 | -13.04 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Championship?
For Championship, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Championship?
Accuracy for Championship is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Championship using per-league historical data.
How are Championship season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.