League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
63 (32–87)
pos. ~3.0°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1519
|
▲0% | ||
|
66 (42–88)
pos. ~2.3°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1516
|
▲0% | ||
|
61 (34–85)
pos. ~3.5°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1524
|
▼1% | ||
|
51 (25–77)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1525
|
▼1% | ||
|
48 (26–72)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1531
|
▼0% | ||
|
48 (22–75)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1524
|
▲0% | ||
|
46 (21–74)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1527
|
▼3% | ||
|
49 (22–80)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1527
|
▼0% | ||
|
51 (27–76)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1527
|
▼0% | ||
|
53 (27–82)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1519
|
· | ||
|
57 (30–81)
pos. ~5.1°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1519
|
▲1% | ||
|
42 (18–66)
pos. ~11.8°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1524
|
▼1% | ||
|
40 (13–64)
pos. ~13.0°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1522
|
▲0% | ||
|
40 (16–68)
pos. ~13.0°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1523
|
▼0% | ||
|
33 (12–59)
pos. ~15.9°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1519
|
▲1% | ||
|
34 (9–63)
pos. ~15.5°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1525
|
▲1% | ||
|
35 (13–64)
pos. ~15.0°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1527
|
▼0% | ||
|
37 (11–65)
pos. ~14.3°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1525
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60–70%% | 10 | 65.00% | 70.0% | +5.00% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 33.3% | -51.70% |
Based on 15 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Çorum FK
|
9 | 3.00 | +6.00 | |
| 2 |
Beşiktaş
|
10 | 6.99 | +3.01 | |
| 3 |
Amed
|
10 | 7.83 | +2.17 | |
| 4 |
Samsunspor
|
6 | 4.34 | +1.66 | |
| 5 |
Alanyaspor
|
5 | 4.07 | +0.93 | |
| 6 |
Kasımpaşa
|
5 | 4.14 | +0.86 | |
| 7 |
Konyaspor
|
3 | 2.80 | +0.20 | |
| 8 |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
|
5 | 4.85 | +0.15 | |
| 9 |
Eyüpspor
|
2 | 1.90 | +0.10 | |
| 10 |
Fenerbahçe
|
7 | 7.16 | -0.16 | |
| 11 |
Göztepe
|
5 | 5.34 | -0.34 | |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
4 | 4.37 | -0.37 | |
| 13 |
Kocaelispor
|
2 | 2.41 | -0.41 | |
| 14 |
Başakşehir
|
4 | 4.45 | -0.45 | |
| 15 |
Galatasaray
|
7 | 7.77 | -0.77 | |
| 16 |
Erzurumspor FK
|
1 | 2.06 | -1.06 | |
| 17 |
Rizespor
|
3 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Süper Lig?
For Süper Lig, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Süper Lig?
Accuracy for Süper Lig is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Süper Lig using per-league historical data.
How are Süper Lig season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Çorum FK
Beşiktaş
Amed
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
Konyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Eyüpspor
Fenerbahçe
Göztepe
Trabzonspor
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK
Rizespor