Meistriliiga

Q: What predictions are available for Meistriliiga?

For Meistriliiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

Q: How accurate are predictions for Meistriliiga?

Accuracy for Meistriliiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Meistriliiga using per-league historical data.

Q: How are Meistriliiga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.

Estonia · Season 2026

66.70%

1X2 accuracy · 15 predictions (3 months)

League Table + end of season projections

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form	Projected Pts	Champion	Champions League	Conference League	Relegation Playoff	Relegation	Schedule
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	15	12	3	0	42–11	+31	39	V V V V V	89 (70–102) pos. ~1.0°	99%	99%	100%	—	—	C11 · T10 ELO 1491
2	Kalju Nomme	14	9	1	4	26–10	+16	28	S V V S V	67 (47–88) pos. ~2.6°	<1%	<1%	96%	—	—	C10 · T11 ELO 1499
3	Flora Tallinn	14	9	0	5	30–15	+15	27	S V V V V	69 (48–90) pos. ~2.4°	<1%	<1%	98%	—	—	C11 · T10 ELO 1496
4	Paide	14	6	3	5	22–19	+3	21	P S S V S	50 (29–72) pos. ~5.1°	—	—	4%	1%	—	C11 · T10 ELO 1501
5	Vaprus	15	6	2	7	19–29	-10	20	P V S V V	48 (27–69) pos. ~5.6°	—	—	1%	4%	—	C11 · T10 ELO 1503
6	Laagri	15	6	1	8	20–26	-6	19	S V S S S	43 (23–70) pos. ~6.8°	—	—	<1%	14%	<1%	C10 · T11 ELO 1501
7	Tammeka	14	5	2	7	15–19	-4	17	P S V V V	46 (26–67) pos. ~6.1°	—	—	<1%	5%	<1%	C9 · T12 ELO 1500
8	Nõmme United	15	5	1	9	29–37	-8	16	V S S S S	38 (20–60) pos. ~8.2°	—	—	<1%	54%	<1%	C11 · T10 ELO 1509
9	Kuressaare	15	5	1	9	17–26	-9	16	V P V S S	42 (23–64) pos. ~7.2°	—	—	<1%	21%	<1%	C11 · T10 ELO 1501
10	Trans Narva	15	3	0	12	11–39	-28	9	S S V S S	19 (9–39) pos. ~10.0°	—	—	—	<1%	99%	C10 · T11 ELO 1510

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 14 Jun 2026

Projection trend

FC Levadia Tallinn

99%

+3%

Title

Kalju Nomme

Relegation

Flora Tallinn

Relegation

Paide

Relegation

Vaprus

Relegation

Laagri

Relegation

Tammeka

Relegation

Nõmme United

54%

-5%

Relegation Playoff

Kuressaare

21%

-5%

Relegation Playoff

Trans Narva

99%

+3%

Relegation

Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model calibration for this league

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	6	55.00%	66.7%	+11.70%
60–70%%	8	65.00%	62.5%	-2.50%

Based on 15 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Meistriliiga?

For Meistriliiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Meistriliiga?

Accuracy for Meistriliiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Meistriliiga using per-league historical data.

How are Meistriliiga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.