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Meistriliiga

Estonia · Season 2026

52.40%

1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 20 of 18 111%

🏆

Champion 2026

FC Levadia Tallinn

Mathematically confirmed champion · 46 pts

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Levadia Tallinn — Champion	19	14	4	1	49–16	+33	46	V S P V V
2	Flora Tallinn — Conference League	19	12	0	7	39–21	+18	36	S V V S V
3	Kalju Nomme — Conference League	20	10	5	5	33–16	+17	35	P V P P S
4	Paide	20	9	5	6	32–28	+4	32	S V P V V
5	Vaprus	20	8	2	10	28–38	-10	26	S V S V S
6	Tammeka	18	8	2	8	21–26	-5	26	S V V V P
7	Nõmme United	20	8	1	11	39–46	-7	25	V V S V S
8	Laagri	20	8	1	11	30–34	-4	25	V V S S S
9	Kuressaare — Relegation Playoff	20	5	3	12	19–33	-14	18	P S S S P
10	Trans Narva — Relegation	20	4	1	15	15–47	-32	13	V S S S P
1	FC Levadia Tallinn — Champion	9	5	3	1	23–7	+16	18	V V V P S
2	Laagri — Conference League	11	5	1	5	21–17	+4	16	V S S V V
3	Paide — Conference League	9	5	1	3	12–9	+3	16	S S P V V
4	Vaprus	10	5	1	4	18–17	+1	16	S V S V V
5	Tammeka	10	5	1	4	12–11	+1	16	V S P V V
6	Flora Tallinn	9	5	0	4	21–9	+12	15	V V S S S
7	Kalju Nomme	10	4	3	3	19–10	+9	15	S V P S P
8	Nõmme United	10	4	0	6	24–22	+2	12	S S S S V
9	Trans Narva — Relegation Playoff	10	4	0	6	13–17	-4	12	S V S S V
10	Kuressaare — Relegation	10	3	2	5	9–14	-5	11	S V P S P
1	FC Levadia Tallinn — Champion	10	9	1	0	26–9	+17	28	V V V V V
2	Flora Tallinn — Conference League	10	7	0	3	18–12	+6	21	V V V V V
3	Kalju Nomme — Conference League	10	6	2	2	14–6	+8	20	V S P V P
4	Paide	11	4	4	3	20–19	+1	16	S P V P S
5	Nõmme United	10	4	1	5	15–24	-9	13	S S V V V
6	Tammeka	8	3	1	4	9–15	-6	10	P S V V S
7	Vaprus	10	3	1	6	10–21	-11	10	V V P S S
8	Laagri	9	3	0	6	9–17	-8	9	S S S S S
9	Kuressaare — Relegation Playoff	10	2	1	7	10–19	-9	7	S P V S S
10	Trans Narva — Relegation	10	0	1	9	2–30	-28	1	S S P S S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	84 (65–97) pos. ~1.0°	C9 · T8 ELO 1487	▼0%
2	Flora Tallinn	69 (47–85) pos. ~2.2°	C9 · T8 ELO 1492	·
3	Kalju Nomme	60 (43–79) pos. ~3.3°	C8 · T8 ELO 1497	·
4	Paide	56 (37–75) pos. ~4.0°	C9 · T7 ELO 1496	·
5	Vaprus	44 (28–61) pos. ~7.0°	C8 · T8 ELO 1509	·
6	Tammeka	49 (31–69) pos. ~5.7°	C8 · T10 ELO 1504	·
7	Nõmme United	44 (28–64) pos. ~6.8°	C8 · T8 ELO 1505	▼0%
8	Laagri	46 (29–64) pos. ~6.3°	C7 · T9 ELO 1506	·
9	Kuressaare	35 (19–54) pos. ~8.8°	C8 · T8 ELO 1506	▼0%
10	Trans Narva	24 (13–42) pos. ~9.9°	C8 · T8 ELO 1513	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	9	55.00%	55.6%	+0.60%
60–70%%	11	65.00%	54.5%	-10.50%
70–100%%	4	85.00%	50.0%	-35.00%

Based on 24 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Meistriliiga?

For Meistriliiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Meistriliiga?

Accuracy for Meistriliiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Meistriliiga using per-league historical data.

How are Meistriliiga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.