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Meistriliiga

Estonia · Season 2026

56.30%

1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 28 of 18 156%

🏆

Champion 2026

FC Levadia Tallinn

Mathematically confirmed champion · 68 pts

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Levadia Tallinn — Champion	27	21	5	1	74–20	+54	68	V V V V V
2	Flora Tallinn — Conference League	28	17	1	10	56–37	+19	52	V P V V S
3	Kalju Nomme — Conference League	28	14	5	9	49–26	+23	47	V S S S S
4	Paide	27	13	6	8	43–35	+8	45	S V S V V
5	Tammeka	27	14	2	11	36–38	-2	44	V S V S V
6	Laagri	28	11	1	16	40–47	-7	34	V S S V V
7	Vaprus	27	10	4	13	37–52	-15	34	S V V P S
8	Nõmme United	28	9	1	18	46–65	-19	28	S V S S S
9	Kuressaare — Relegation Playoff	28	8	4	16	31–49	-18	28	S S V P S
10	Trans Narva — Relegation	28	5	3	20	21–64	-43	18	S P S S S
1	FC Levadia Tallinn — Champion	13	9	3	1	40–7	+33	30	S V V V V
2	Kalju Nomme — Conference League	15	7	3	5	32–17	+15	24	V V S S V
3	Flora Tallinn — Conference League	14	8	0	6	30–17	+13	24	V S S V V
4	Vaprus	14	7	2	5	24–22	+2	23	V P S V V
5	Paide	13	7	1	5	18–14	+4	22	V V V S S
6	Tammeka	13	7	1	5	16–14	+2	22	V V V V S
7	Laagri	14	6	1	7	23–21	+2	19	V V S V S
8	Kuressaare	14	5	3	6	18–22	-4	18	P V P V S
9	Trans Narva — Relegation Playoff	14	4	2	8	16–24	-8	14	V S P S P
10	Nõmme United — Relegation	14	4	0	10	28–30	-2	12	V S S S S
1	FC Levadia Tallinn — Champion	14	12	2	0	34–13	+21	38	V P V V V
2	Flora Tallinn — Conference League	14	9	1	4	26–20	+6	28	V V S P V
3	Kalju Nomme — Conference League	13	7	2	4	17–9	+8	23	V P V S S
4	Paide	14	6	5	3	25–21	+4	23	P S P V V
5	Tammeka	14	7	1	6	20–24	-4	22	V V S V V
6	Nõmme United	14	5	1	8	18–35	-17	16	V S S S V
7	Laagri	14	5	0	9	17–26	-9	15	S S V S V
8	Vaprus	13	3	2	8	13–30	-17	11	S S S P S
9	Kuressaare — Relegation Playoff	14	3	1	10	13–27	-14	10	S S V S S
10	Trans Narva — Relegation	14	1	1	12	5–40	-35	4	S V S S S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
FC Levadia Tallinn	91 (78–95) pos. ~1.0°	C5 · T4 ELO 1485	·
Flora Tallinn	64 (52–76) pos. ~2.7°	C4 · T4 ELO 1500	·
Kalju Nomme	61 (49–71) pos. ~3.4°	C3 · T5 ELO 1501	·
Paide	59 (46–72) pos. ~3.8°	C5 · T4 ELO 1492	·
Tammeka	58 (46–71) pos. ~4.2°	C5 · T4 ELO 1513	·
Laagri	44 (34–56) pos. ~6.6°	C4 · T4 ELO 1494	·
Vaprus	44 (34–59) pos. ~6.6°	C4 · T5 ELO 1485	·
Nõmme United	35 (28–47) pos. ~8.6°	C4 · T4 ELO 1500	▲1%
Kuressaare	37 (28–52) pos. ~8.2°	C4 · T4 ELO 1498	▼1%
Trans Narva	23 (18–36) pos. ~10.0°	C4 · T4 ELO 1501	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

Daniel Cabral

Paide

🟨 Yellow cards

Daniel Cabral

Paide

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	15	55.00%	46.7%	-8.30%
60–70%%	19	65.00%	57.9%	-7.10%
70–100%%	14	85.00%	71.4%	-13.60%

Based on 48 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Meistriliiga?

For Meistriliiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Meistriliiga?

Accuracy for Meistriliiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Meistriliiga using per-league historical data.

How are Meistriliiga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.