Matchday 6 of 22
27%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
73 (48–93)
pos. ~1.2°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1489
|
▲2% | ||
|
58 (34–79)
pos. ~3.4°
|
C12 · T15
ELO 1489
|
▼0% | ||
|
56 (32–79)
pos. ~4.0°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1496
|
▲0% | ||
|
54 (29–78)
pos. ~4.4°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1493
|
· | ||
|
55 (32–80)
pos. ~4.0°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1492
|
▼1% | ||
|
48 (25–75)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1492
|
· | ||
|
43 (18–67)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1497
|
· | ||
|
43 (17–65)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1493
|
· | ||
|
38 (17–65)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1494
|
· | ||
|
33 (11–61)
pos. ~9.8°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1490
|
· | ||
|
24 (6–47)
pos. ~11.4°
|
C12 · T15
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
26 (5–50)
pos. ~10.9°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1497
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Premiership?
For Premiership, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Premiership?
Accuracy for Premiership is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Premiership using per-league historical data.
How are Premiership season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.