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National 1

National 1

Francia  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 0 of 34 0%

League Table

18 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Caen — Champion 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
2 Valenciennes — Promotion 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
3 Amiens — Promotion Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
4 Bastia 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
5 Cannes 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
6 Quevilly 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
7 Rouen 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
8 Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
9 Villefranche 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
10 Concarneau 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
11 Versailles 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
12 Orleans 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
13 Thionville Lusitanos 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
14 La Roche VF 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
15 Aubagne 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
16 Le Puy Foot 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
17 Fleury 91 — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
18 Gobelins — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation
# Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
1 Caen
47 (20–80)
pos. ~9.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1505
▲0%
2 Valenciennes
46 (17–76)
pos. ~10.2°
C17 · T17
ELO 1506
▲0%
3 Amiens
41 (12–69)
pos. ~13.3°
C17 · T17
ELO 1511
▲0%
4 Bastia
44 (18–71)
pos. ~11.0°
C17 · T17
ELO 1507
▲0%
5 Cannes
52 (25–83)
pos. ~6.2°
C17 · T17
ELO 1499
▼1%
6 Quevilly
46 (16–75)
pos. ~10.3°
C17 · T17
ELO 1506
▲0%
7 Rouen
48 (22–77)
pos. ~8.6°
C17 · T17
ELO 1503
▼1%
8 Bourg-en-bresse 01
43 (15–76)
pos. ~11.6°
C17 · T17
ELO 1508
▲1%
9 Villefranche
45 (18–73)
pos. ~10.7°
C17 · T17
ELO 1507
▼0%
10 Concarneau
45 (15–73)
pos. ~10.8°
C17 · T17
ELO 1507
▼1%
11 Versailles
50 (24–77)
pos. ~7.7°
C17 · T17
ELO 1502
▲1%
12 Orleans
49 (22–81)
pos. ~8.5°
C17 · T17
ELO 1503
▲0%
13 Thionville Lusitanos
49 (25–78)
pos. ~8.2°
C17 · T17
ELO 1503
▼0%
14 La Roche VF
54 (26–79)
pos. ~5.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1497
▼1%
15 Aubagne
44 (19–72)
pos. ~11.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1508
▲1%
16 Le Puy Foot
49 (21–77)
pos. ~8.1°
C17 · T17
ELO 1502
▲0%
17 Fleury 91
50 (22–81)
pos. ~7.6°
C17 · T17
ELO 1502
▲0%
18 Gobelins
43 (16–72)
pos. ~12.1°
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
▲1%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
60–70%% 6 65.00% 16.7% -48.30%
Based on 10 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for National 1?
For National 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for National 1?
Accuracy for National 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for National 1 using per-league historical data.
How are National 1 season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.