National 1

Francia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

Matchday 6 of 34 18%

League Table

18 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Rouen — Champion	6	4	2	0	12–2	+10	14	V P V V V
2	Caen — Promotion	6	4	0	2	12–5	+7	12	V V S V S
3	La Roche VF — Promotion Playoff	6	3	3	0	7–4	+3	12	P P V P V
4	Thionville Lusitanos	6	3	2	1	12–10	+2	11	S P P V V
5	Cannes	6	2	4	0	7–2	+5	10	P V V P P
6	Concarneau	6	2	3	1	7–6	+1	9	V P P V P
7	Versailles	6	3	0	3	10–11	-1	9	V S S V V
8	Bastia	6	3	0	3	5–8	-3	9	V S V S V
9	Gobelins	6	2	2	2	4–6	-2	8	S P P V S
10	Quevilly	6	2	2	2	6–8	-2	8	V P V S P
11	Amiens	6	2	2	2	6–2	+4	8	P V V S S
12	Fleury 91	6	2	2	2	10–7	+3	8	V V S S P
13	Le Puy Foot	6	2	1	3	5–6	-1	7	S P S V S
14	Orleans	6	2	1	3	6–8	-2	7	S P S V S
15	Valenciennes	6	1	2	3	5–9	-4	5	S P P S V
16	Aubagne	6	1	1	4	3–7	-4	4	S P V S S
17	Villefranche — Relegation	6	1	1	4	5–13	-8	4	P S S S V
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01 — Relegation	6	1	0	5	3–11	-8	3	S S S S S
1	Caen — Champion	4	3	0	1	7–1	+6	9	V V S V
2	Quevilly — Promotion	3	2	1	0	5–3	+2	7	P V V
3	Gobelins — Promotion Playoff	3	2	1	0	3–1	+2	7	V V P
4	Rouen	3	1	2	0	4–1	+3	5	P V P
5	Cannes	3	1	2	0	3–1	+2	5	P V P
6	La Roche VF	3	1	2	0	5–4	+1	5	V P P
7	Fleury 91	3	1	1	1	6–3	+3	4	P S V
8	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	3–2	+1	4	V P S
9	Le Puy Foot	2	1	1	0	2–1	+1	4	V P
10	Concarneau	3	1	1	1	4–4	+0	4	S V P
11	Villefranche	3	1	1	1	2–2	+0	4	V S P
12	Thionville Lusitanos	3	1	1	1	5–8	-3	4	V P S
13	Amiens	2	1	0	1	3–1	+2	3	S V
14	Versailles	2	1	0	1	1–3	-2	3	V S
15	Aubagne	4	1	0	3	3–6	-3	3	S S V S
16	Bourg-en-bresse 01	4	1	0	3	3–7	-4	3	V S S S
17	Bastia — Relegation	3	0	0	3	2–8	-6	0	S S S
18	Orleans — Relegation	3	0	0	3	1–7	-6	0	S S S
1	Rouen — Champion	3	3	0	0	8–1	+7	9	V V V
2	Bastia — Promotion	3	3	0	0	3–0	+3	9	V V V
3	Thionville Lusitanos — Promotion Playoff	3	2	1	0	7–2	+5	7	V V P
4	Orleans	3	2	1	0	5–1	+4	7	V V P
5	La Roche VF	3	2	1	0	2–0	+2	7	V V P
6	Versailles	4	2	0	2	9–8	+1	6	S V S V
7	Cannes	3	1	2	0	4–1	+3	5	P P V
8	Amiens	4	1	2	1	3–1	+2	5	P S V P
9	Concarneau	3	1	2	0	3–2	+1	5	P P V
10	Fleury 91	3	1	1	1	4–4	+0	4	P S V
11	Caen	2	1	0	1	5–4	+1	3	S V
12	Le Puy Foot	4	1	0	3	3–5	-2	3	V S S S
13	Aubagne	2	0	1	1	0–1	-1	1	S P
14	Quevilly	3	0	1	2	1–5	-4	1	S S P
15	Gobelins	3	0	1	2	1–5	-4	1	S P S
16	Valenciennes	3	0	1	2	2–7	-5	1	S S P
17	Bourg-en-bresse 01 — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–4	-4	0	S S
18	Villefranche — Relegation	3	0	0	3	3–11	-8	0	S S S

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Rouen	66 (38–89) pos. ~1.9°	C14 · T14 ELO 1497	▼1%
Caen	57 (30–84) pos. ~4.7°	C13 · T15 ELO 1509	▲0%
La Roche VF	58 (33–82) pos. ~4.5°	C14 · T14 ELO 1495	▼0%
Thionville Lusitanos	54 (30–79) pos. ~6.1°	C14 · T14 ELO 1504	▲0%
Cannes	60 (37–83) pos. ~3.7°	C14 · T14 ELO 1488	▲1%
Concarneau	47 (22–70) pos. ~9.2°	C14 · T14 ELO 1507	▲0%
Versailles	51 (28–74) pos. ~7.6°	C15 · T13 ELO 1494	▼0%
Bastia	42 (19–66) pos. ~12.0°	C14 · T14 ELO 1507	▼0%
Gobelins	41 (19–65) pos. ~12.6°	C14 · T14 ELO 1510	▼0%
Quevilly	43 (19–72) pos. ~11.6°	C14 · T14 ELO 1498	▼0%
Amiens	53 (23–75) pos. ~6.5°	C15 · T13 ELO 1494	▼0%
Fleury 91	50 (25–74) pos. ~8.1°	C14 · T14 ELO 1500	▲1%
Le Puy Foot	45 (22–72) pos. ~10.2°	C15 · T13 ELO 1497	▲0%
Orleans	45 (23–72) pos. ~10.1°	C14 · T14 ELO 1492	▼0%
Valenciennes	37 (14–64) pos. ~14.1°	C14 · T14 ELO 1505	▼1%
Aubagne	35 (13–59) pos. ~14.8°	C13 · T15 ELO 1511	▲1%
Villefranche	31 (9–58) pos. ~16.3°	C14 · T14 ELO 1506	▲1%
Bourg-en-bresse 01	28 (8–51) pos. ~16.9°	C13 · T15 ELO 1514	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
60–70%%	6	65.00%	16.7%	-48.30%

Based on 10 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for National 1?

For National 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for National 1?

Accuracy for National 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for National 1 using per-league historical data.

How are National 1 season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.