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League One

League One

Inghilterra  · Season 2025/26
70.50%
1X2 accuracy · 44 predictions (3 months)
🏆
Champion 2025
Lincoln
Mathematically confirmed champion · 103 pts

Bracket

Semi-finals
Final

League Table

# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Lincoln 46 31 10 5 89–41 +48 103
V V V P V
2 Cardiff 46 27 10 9 90–50 +40 91
S V V V P
3 Stockport County 46 22 11 13 71–58 +13 77
V S V S P
4 Bradford 46 22 11 13 58–51 +7 77
V P P P S
5 Bolton 46 19 18 9 70–52 +18 75
S P P V S
6 Stevenage 46 21 12 13 49–46 +3 75
V P V P S
7 Luton 46 21 11 14 68–56 +12 74
V V V P V
8 Plymouth 46 22 7 17 75–63 +12 73
V V P V P
9 Huddersfield 46 18 13 15 74–64 +10 67
V S P P P
10 Mansfield Town 46 16 17 13 62–50 +12 65
V P V V P
11 Wycombe 46 17 12 17 69–58 +11 63
V S S P S
12 Reading 46 16 15 15 64–60 +4 63
S P S S S
13 Blackpool 46 17 9 20 54–65 -11 60
V V V V S
14 Doncaster 46 17 9 20 50–69 -19 60
V P S V V
15 Barnsley 46 15 14 17 68–73 -5 59
S V S S P
16 Wigan 46 14 14 18 49–58 -9 56
S S P V V
17 Burton Albion 46 13 15 18 50–60 -10 54
P P P V P
18 Peterborough 46 15 8 23 64–68 -4 53
S P S P S
19 AFC Wimbledon 46 15 8 23 51–72 -21 53
S V S S S
20 Leyton Orient 46 14 10 22 59–71 -12 52
P S S P S
21 Exeter City 46 12 13 21 52–61 -9 49
S P P P V
22 Port Vale 46 10 12 24 36–61 -25 42
S V S S P
23 Rotherham 46 10 11 25 41–71 -30 41
S P S V S
24 Northampton 46 9 8 29 39–74 -35 35
S S S S S
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 D. Ballard
D. Ballard
Leyton Orient
23
2 K. Wootton
K. Wootton
Stockport County
19
3 J. Wareham
J. Wareham
Exeter City
19
4 L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
Plymouth
17
5 J. Marriott
J. Marriott
Reading
16
6 H. Leonard
H. Leonard
Peterborough
16
7 A. Pepple
A. Pepple
Plymouth
16
8 D. McGoldrick
D. McGoldrick
Barnsley
15
9 A. Fletcher
A. Fletcher
Blackpool
15
10 Y. Salech
Y. Salech
Cardiff
14
👟 Assists
1 R. Cleary
R. Cleary
Barnsley
13
2 I. Niskanen
I. Niskanen
Exeter City
13
3 O. Tanner
O. Tanner
Cardiff
12
4 L. Wing
L. Wing
Reading
11
5 O. Norwood
O. Norwood
Stockport County
11
6 A. Cozier-Duberry
A. Cozier-Duberry
Bolton
10
7 L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
Plymouth
8
8 R. Hackett
R. Hackett
Lincoln
8
9 M. Boateng
M. Boateng
Plymouth
8
10 F. Murray
F. Murray
Wigan
8
🟨 Yellow cards
1 M. Power
M. Power
Bradford
15
2 O. Norwood
O. Norwood
Stockport County
13
3 L. Connell
L. Connell
Barnsley
12
4 Jonathan Bland
Jonathan Bland
Barnsley
12
5 R. Gotts
R. Gotts
Doncaster
12
6 M. Sorinola
M. Sorinola
Plymouth
12
7 E. Pye
E. Pye
Stockport County
11
8 K. Lisbie
K. Lisbie
Peterborough
11
9 C. Piergianni
C. Piergianni
Stevenage
11
10 C. Goode
C. Goode
Stevenage
11

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 22 55.00% 59.1% +4.10%
60–70%% 8 65.00% 87.5% +22.50%
70–100%% 14 85.00% 78.6% -6.40%
Based on 44 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve

# Team Goals xG Δ
1 Barnsley Barnsley 40 23.17 +16.83
2 Reading Reading 34 25.17 +8.83
3 Lincoln Lincoln 41 34.16 +6.84
4 Luton Luton 31 27.47 +3.53
5 Huddersfield Huddersfield 40 36.95 +3.05
6 Peterborough Peterborough 40 37.51 +2.49
7 Cardiff Cardiff 38 35.68 +2.32
8 Burton Albion Burton Albion 24 22.15 +1.85
9 Stockport County Stockport County 26 24.60 +1.40
10 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 26 24.93 +1.07
11 Exeter City Exeter City 23 23.02 -0.02
12 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 23 23.47 -0.47
13 Rotherham Rotherham 19 22.04 -3.04
14 Bolton Bolton 39 42.27 -3.27
15 Wycombe Wycombe 30 33.55 -3.55
16 Wigan Wigan 18 21.68 -3.68
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 19 22.99 -3.99
18 Plymouth Plymouth 29 33.13 -4.13
19 Blackpool Blackpool 27 31.16 -4.16
20 Stevenage Stevenage 22 26.58 -4.58
21 Bradford Bradford 21 26.68 -5.68
22 Port Vale Port Vale 12 18.25 -6.25
23 Northampton Northampton 18 24.86 -6.86
24 Doncaster Doncaster 24 31.39 -7.39
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for League One?
For League One, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for League One?
Accuracy for League One is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for League One using per-league historical data.
How are League One season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.