Matchday 1 of 22
5%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
47 (20–78)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1545
|
▲5% | ||
| 2 |
51 (25–79)
pos. ~4.6°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1534
|
▼1% | ||
| 3 |
48 (22–73)
pos. ~5.8°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1541
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
45 (17–71)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C15 · T17
ELO 1543
|
▼0% | ||
| 5 |
53 (28–82)
pos. ~3.7°
|
C17 · T15
ELO 1527
|
▼2% | ||
| 6 |
50 (22–80)
pos. ~4.9°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1528
|
▼1% | ||
| 7 |
39 (12–68)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1545
|
▼0% | ||
| 8 |
47 (20–73)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1537
|
▼1% | ||
| 9 |
39 (15–67)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1545
|
▲1% | ||
| 10 |
52 (28–80)
pos. ~4.2°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1527
|
▲1% | ||
| 11 |
41 (15–68)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1540
|
▲0% | ||
| 12 |
39 (12–69)
pos. ~9.3°
|
C16 · T16
ELO 1544
|
▲18% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 3 | 55.00% | 33.3% | -21.70% |
| 60–70%% | 9 | 65.00% | 55.6% | -9.40% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 16 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for OTP Bank Liga?
For OTP Bank Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for OTP Bank Liga?
Accuracy for OTP Bank Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for OTP Bank Liga using per-league historical data.
How are OTP Bank Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.