Matchday 7 of 22
32%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
56 (29–79)
pos. ~3.2°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1508
|
· | ||
|
49 (23–72)
pos. ~5.4°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
|
53 (30–75)
pos. ~4.0°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1507
|
▼1% | ||
|
49 (24–71)
pos. ~5.1°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
|
62 (39–85)
pos. ~1.7°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1501
|
▲1% | ||
|
44 (20–77)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1524
|
▼0% | ||
|
42 (19–73)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1521
|
· | ||
|
44 (21–67)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1520
|
▼1% | ||
|
42 (19–69)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1516
|
▼0% | ||
|
36 (14–60)
pos. ~9.8°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1521
|
▼1% | ||
|
42 (18–69)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1516
|
▲1% | ||
|
30 (12–57)
pos. ~11.2°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1513
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 3 | 55.00% | 33.3% | -21.70% |
| 60–70%% | 9 | 65.00% | 55.6% | -9.40% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 16 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for OTP Bank Liga?
For OTP Bank Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for OTP Bank Liga?
Accuracy for OTP Bank Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for OTP Bank Liga using per-league historical data.
How are OTP Bank Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.