66.70%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 22
0%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
41 (16–73)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1508
|
▼0% | ||
| 2 |
49 (22–80)
pos. ~5.1°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1493
|
▲1% | ||
| 3 |
45 (13–73)
pos. ~6.6°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
| 4 |
47 (19–78)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1498
|
▲1% | ||
| 5 |
40 (10–68)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1510
|
▲1% | ||
| 6 |
49 (20–74)
pos. ~5.1°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1494
|
▲1% | ||
| 7 |
50 (24–77)
pos. ~4.6°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1491
|
▼2% | ||
| 8 |
52 (24–78)
pos. ~4.1°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1488
|
▲0% | ||
| 9 |
44 (18–73)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1504
|
▼0% | ||
| 10 |
43 (18–74)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1505
|
▲0% | ||
| 11 |
42 (15–70)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1507
|
▲0% | ||
| 12 |
45 (17–76)
pos. ~6.6°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1500
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 3 | 55.00% | 66.7% | +11.70% |
| 60–70%% | 6 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 8 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 17 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Premier League?
For Premier League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Premier League?
Accuracy for Premier League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Premier League using per-league historical data.
How are Premier League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.