NPFL

Nigeria · Season 2027

2027 2026

Matchday 3 of 38 8%

League Table

20 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Doma United — Champion	3	3	0	0	5–0	+5	9	V V V
2	Barau FC — CAF Champions League	3	2	1	0	6–2	+4	7	V P V
3	Bendel Insurance — CAF Confederation Cup	3	2	0	1	6–4	+2	6	V S V
4	Kwara United — CAF Confederation Cup	3	1	1	1	5–3	+2	4	V S P
5	Ikorodu City	2	1	1	0	5–3	+2	4	P V
6	Kano Pillars	2	1	1	0	5–4	+1	4	V P
7	Niger Tornadoes	3	1	1	1	5–5	+0	4	P S V
8	Plateau United	3	1	1	1	2–3	-1	4	P V S
9	Rivers United	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
10	Sporting Lagos	2	1	0	1	3–2	+1	3	V S
11	Shooting Stars	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
12	Ranchers Bees	3	1	0	2	6–6	+0	3	S V S
13	Nasarawa United	2	1	0	1	2–3	-1	3	V S
14	Kun Khalifat FC	3	0	2	1	2–4	-2	2	S P P
15	Abia Warriors	3	0	2	1	2–6	-4	2	P S P
16	Enugu Rangers	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
17	Katsina United — Relegation	2	0	1	1	1–4	-3	1	S P
18	Warri Wolves — Relegation	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
19	Enyimba — Relegation	2	0	0	2	1–4	-3	0	S S
20	Inter Lagos — Relegation	3	0	0	3	1–6	-5	0	S S S
1	Barau FC — Champion	2	2	0	0	6–2	+4	6	V V
2	Doma United — CAF Champions League	2	2	0	0	4–0	+4	6	V V
3	Bendel Insurance — CAF Confederation Cup	2	2	0	0	6–3	+3	6	V V
4	Kwara United — CAF Confederation Cup	2	1	1	0	5–2	+3	4	P V
5	Niger Tornadoes	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4	V P
6	Ranchers Bees	1	1	0	0	4–0	+4	3	V
7	Ikorodu City	1	1	0	0	3–1	+2	3	V
8	Rivers United	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
9	Kano Pillars	1	1	0	0	3–2	+1	3	V
10	Shooting Stars	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
11	Nasarawa United	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
12	Plateau United	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
13	Abia Warriors	2	0	2	0	2–2	+0	2	P P
14	Enugu Rangers	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
15	Kun Khalifat FC	1	0	1	0	0–0	+0	1	P
16	Inter Lagos	2	0	0	2	0–4	-4	0	S S
1	Sporting Lagos — Champion	2	1	0	1	3–2	+1	3	S V
2	Doma United — CAF Champions League	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
3	Kano Pillars — CAF Confederation Cup	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
4	Ikorodu City — CAF Confederation Cup	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
5	Barau FC	1	0	1	0	0–0	+0	1	P
6	Kun Khalifat FC	2	0	1	1	2–4	-2	1	P S
7	Plateau United	2	0	1	1	1–3	-2	1	S P
8	Katsina United	2	0	1	1	1–4	-3	1	P S
9	Niger Tornadoes	1	0	0	1	2–3	-1	0	S
10	Inter Lagos	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
11	Warri Wolves	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
12	Bendel Insurance	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
13	Kwara United	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
14	Nasarawa United	1	0	0	1	1–3	-2	0	S
15	Enyimba	2	0	0	2	1–4	-3	0	S S
16	Ranchers Bees	2	0	0	2	2–6	-4	0	S S
17	Abia Warriors — Relegation	1	0	0	1	0–4	-4	0	S

Champion CAF Champions League CAF Confederation Cup Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion CAF Champions League CAF Confederation Cup Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Doma United	67 (34–92) pos. ~2.9°	C17 · T18 ELO 1500	▼2%
Barau FC	63 (34–90) pos. ~4.4°	C17 · T18 ELO 1499	▼1%
Bendel Insurance	58 (27–85) pos. ~6.9°	C17 · T18 ELO 1499	▼1%
Kwara United	54 (24–84) pos. ~9.3°	C17 · T18 ELO 1500	▼0%
Ikorodu City	55 (27–82) pos. ~8.9°	C18 · T18 ELO 1499	·
Kano Pillars	54 (24–83) pos. ~9.2°	C18 · T17 ELO 1500	·
Niger Tornadoes	51 (25–81) pos. ~11.2°	C17 · T18 ELO 1500	▼2%
Plateau United	50 (25–79) pos. ~11.8°	C18 · T17 ELO 1500	▲3%
Rivers United	57 (30–84) pos. ~7.2°	C18 · T18 ELO 1500	▲3%
Sporting Lagos	56 (27–85) pos. ~7.8°	C19 · T17 ELO 1500	▼0%
Shooting Stars	52 (24–80) pos. ~10.1°	C17 · T18 ELO 1500	▲0%
Ranchers Bees	52 (24–83) pos. ~10.7°	C18 · T17 ELO 1499	▼1%
Nasarawa United	51 (22–87) pos. ~11.4°	C18 · T18 ELO 1499	▼1%
Kun Khalifat FC	52 (24–83) pos. ~10.8°	C18 · T17 ELO 1499	▼0%
Abia Warriors	42 (17–75) pos. ~16.4°	C17 · T18 ELO 1500	▲3%
Enugu Rangers	51 (22–82) pos. ~10.7°	C18 · T18 ELO 1500	▲2%
Katsina United	45 (16–72) pos. ~14.6°	C18 · T17 ELO 1500	▲1%
Warri Wolves	47 (20–79) pos. ~13.8°	C18 · T18 ELO 1500	▲1%
Enyimba	46 (19–77) pos. ~14.1°	C18 · T17 ELO 1500	▲1%
Inter Lagos	38 (11–64) pos. ~17.8°	C17 · T18 ELO 1500	▲0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	5	55.00%	100.0%	+45.00%
60–70%%	6	65.00%	83.3%	+18.30%
70–100%%	13	85.00%	84.6%	-0.40%

Based on 24 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for NPFL?

For NPFL, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for NPFL?

Accuracy for NPFL is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for NPFL using per-league historical data.

How are NPFL season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.