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Eliteserien

Norvegia · Season 2026

2026 2025 2024

72.70%

1X2 accuracy · 33 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 20 of 30 67%

League Table

16 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bodo/Glimt — Champion	20	16	2	2	52–17	+35	50	V V V V V
2	Viking — Champions League	20	15	2	3	51–20	+31	47	V P V S V
3	Molde — Conference League	20	11	3	6	43–30	+13	36	V V V V S
4	Tromso — Conference League	20	10	5	5	37–27	+10	35	S S P S V
5	Lillestrom	20	10	2	8	28–26	+2	32	V V S P S
6	Rosenborg	20	9	3	8	36–29	+7	30	V V S V V
7	Fredrikstad	20	8	3	9	24–31	-7	27	P S V V V
8	Brann	20	8	2	10	37–31	+6	26	S S P V V
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	20	6	7	7	23–26	-3	25	P P P S S
10	Ham-Kam	20	6	5	9	27–41	-14	23	S S P S P
11	Valerenga	20	6	4	10	33–42	-9	22	S P S P S
12	KFUM Oslo	20	6	4	10	22–34	-12	22	V S S P V
13	Sandefjord	20	5	5	10	18–27	-9	20	S P P V S
14	Kristiansund BK — Relegation Playoff	20	5	4	11	20–37	-17	19	S V P S V
15	Aalesund — Relegation	20	3	9	8	31–45	-14	18	S V S P P
16	Start — Relegation	20	4	4	12	22–41	-19	16	V S V S S
1	Viking — Champion	9	9	0	0	35–10	+25	27	V V V V V
2	Bodo/Glimt — Champions League	10	9	0	1	31–6	+25	27	V V V V V
3	Rosenborg — Conference League	11	7	2	2	27–13	+14	23	V V V V V
4	Molde — Conference League	10	7	1	2	23–11	+12	22	V S P V V
5	Tromso	10	6	3	1	18–7	+11	21	S V P V P
6	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	13–11	+2	17	S V V S P
7	KFUM Oslo	11	5	2	4	13–13	+0	17	S S V P V
8	Ham-Kam	10	5	2	3	17–19	-2	17	V S P P S
9	Brann	10	5	0	5	18–15	+3	15	V S V V S
10	Lillestrom	10	5	0	5	17–15	+2	15	V S S S V
11	Sarpsborg 08 FF	9	4	3	2	11–9	+2	15	V V V S P
12	Kristiansund BK	9	4	2	3	12–11	+1	14	S P S V V
13	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	19–18	+1	13	V V S S S
14	Start — Relegation Playoff	10	3	3	4	12–15	-3	12	S S S V V
15	Aalesund — Relegation	11	2	6	3	22–26	-4	12	P P S P V
16	Sandefjord — Relegation	10	2	5	3	7–10	-3	11	P S S P P
1	Bodo/Glimt — Champion	10	7	2	1	21–11	+10	23	P V V V V
2	Viking — Champions League	11	6	2	3	16–10	+6	20	V P V S P
3	Lillestrom — Conference League	10	5	2	3	11–11	+0	17	S V S P V
4	Molde — Conference League	10	4	2	4	20–19	+1	14	P V S V V
5	Tromso	10	4	2	4	19–20	-1	14	V V S S S
6	Brann	10	3	2	5	19–16	+3	11	S S V P S
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	11	2	4	5	12–17	-5	10	P P S P P
8	Fredrikstad	10	3	1	6	11–20	-9	10	P S S V V
9	Sandefjord	10	3	0	7	11–17	-6	9	S S S V S
10	Valerenga	10	2	3	5	14–24	-10	9	S V P P S
11	Rosenborg	9	2	1	6	9–16	-7	7	S V S V S
12	Aalesund	9	1	3	5	9–19	-10	6	P S P S S
13	Ham-Kam	10	1	3	6	10–22	-12	6	S S V S S
14	KFUM Oslo — Relegation Playoff	9	1	2	6	9–21	-12	5	S S V S S
15	Kristiansund BK — Relegation	11	1	2	8	8–26	-18	5	S S S P S
16	Start — Relegation	10	1	1	8	10–26	-16	4	S S S V S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Bodo/Glimt	73 (58–80) pos. ~1.2°	C5 · T5 ELO 1500	▼1%
Viking	67 (54–77) pos. ~1.8°	C6 · T4 ELO 1503	▲1%
Molde	53 (39–66) pos. ~3.8°	C5 · T5 ELO 1514	·
Tromso	51 (37–63) pos. ~4.4°	C5 · T5 ELO 1507	·
Lillestrom	45 (32–62) pos. ~6.2°	C5 · T5 ELO 1502	·
Rosenborg	51 (35–60) pos. ~4.5°	C4 · T6 ELO 1500	·
Fredrikstad	40 (27–55) pos. ~8.4°	C5 · T5 ELO 1506	·
Brann	41 (26–56) pos. ~8.0°	C5 · T5 ELO 1514	▲0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF	40 (25–55) pos. ~8.2°	C6 · T4 ELO 1505	▲0%
Ham-Kam	31 (23–47) pos. ~12.6°	C5 · T5 ELO 1510	▼1%
Valerenga	34 (22–47) pos. ~10.9°	C5 · T5 ELO 1506	▲0%
KFUM Oslo	32 (22–47) pos. ~12.1°	C4 · T6 ELO 1504	▲0%
Sandefjord	32 (20–47) pos. ~12.3°	C5 · T5 ELO 1504	▲3%
Kristiansund BK	30 (19–46) pos. ~13.2°	C6 · T4 ELO 1506	▼1%
Aalesund	27 (18–43) pos. ~14.4°	C4 · T6 ELO 1516	▼1%
Start	28 (17–43) pos. ~14.2°	C5 · T5 ELO 1502	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

Amin Chiakha

Rosenborg

P. Christiansen

Viking

L. Alvheim

Kristiansund BK

H. Larsen

Tromso

L. Haren

Valerenga

A. Helmersen

Bodo/Glimt

E. Hestad

Molde

E. Breivik

Molde

S. Kvia-Egeskog

Viking

J. Hjertø-Dahl

Tromso

👟 Assists

Z. Tripić

Viking

O. Selnæs

Rosenborg

E. Breivik

Molde

R. Jenssen

Tromso

H. Bjørdal

Valerenga

P. Christiansen

Viking

Vá

Lillestrom

E. Ceïde

Rosenborg

O. Didrik Blomberg

Bodo/Glimt

M. Bomholt

Rosenborg

🟨 Yellow cards

Y. Ibrahimaj

Lillestrom

Z. Tripić

Viking

K. Askildsen

Viking

E. Reitan

Start

E. Hestad

Molde

A. Kiil Olsen

Valerenga

K. Finnsson

Valerenga

M. Christensen

Aalesund

H. Bruseth

Kristiansund BK

D. Schneider

KFUM Oslo

🟥 Red cards

J. Vester

Sandefjord

S. Kabini

Molde

O. Toure

Start

I. Näsberg

Valerenga

H. Bjørdal

Valerenga

S. Jarl

Valerenga

J. Flaten

KFUM Oslo

S. Sjøkvist

KFUM Oslo

A. Warneryd

Tromso

M. Gjone

Ham-Kam

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	13	55.00%	46.2%	-8.80%
60–70%%	16	65.00%	75.0%	+10.00%
70–100%%	10	85.00%	90.0%	+5.00%

Based on 39 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾

#	Team	Goals	xG	Δ
1	Viking	42	32.71	+9.29
2	Brann	36	27.19	+8.81
3	Tromso	34	26.15	+7.85
4	Bodo/Glimt	47	39.23	+7.77
5	Ham-Kam	26	18.68	+7.32
6	Molde	36	30.23	+5.77
7	Aalesund	28	23.21	+4.79
8	Valerenga	31	26.25	+4.75
9	Rosenborg	27	23.21	+3.79
10	KFUM Oslo	20	18.20	+1.80
11	Fredrikstad	22	21.88	+0.12
12	Lillestrom	24	24.49	-0.49
13	Kristiansund BK	16	17.54	-1.54
14	Start	18	20.79	-2.79
15	Sarpsborg 08 FF	20	23.75	-3.75
16	Sandefjord	15	19.35	-4.35

Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Eliteserien?

For Eliteserien, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Eliteserien?

Accuracy for Eliteserien is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Eliteserien using per-league historical data.

How are Eliteserien season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.