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Brasileirão Série A

Brasile · Season 2026

2026 2025

55.20%

1X2 accuracy · 29 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 21 of 38 55%

League Table

20 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Palmeiras — Champion	21	14	5	2	38–16	+22	47	V S V V V
2	Flamengo — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	20	11	6	3	37–18	+19	39	P P V V S
3	Atletico Paranaense — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	21	11	4	6	28–19	+9	37	P V V V V
4	Fluminense — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	21	9	7	5	30–25	+5	34	P P P P S
5	Bahia — Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)	21	8	8	5	29–25	+4	32	P P P V V
6	RB Bragantino — Copa Sudamericana	20	9	4	7	26–20	+6	31	P P V V V
7	Cruzeiro — Copa Sudamericana	21	8	6	7	27–30	-3	30	V S V P V
8	Botafogo — Copa Sudamericana	20	8	5	7	34–32	+2	29	V P V S P
9	Corinthians — Copa Sudamericana	21	7	8	6	22–20	+2	29	P P V V V
10	Atletico-MG — Copa Sudamericana	20	8	4	8	25–25	+0	28	V P V S V
11	Coritiba — Copa Sudamericana	21	7	6	8	25–28	-3	27	S P S S V
12	Sao Paulo	20	7	5	8	25–23	+2	26	P S S P S
13	Vitoria	21	7	5	9	22–31	-9	26	S S P V S
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23–27	-4	23	V P V S V
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29–33	-4	22	P S V S S
16	Internacional	21	5	7	9	23–27	-4	22	P S S S S
17	Gremio — Relegation	20	5	7	8	22–26	-4	22	P S S V P
18	Vasco DA Gama — Relegation	20	5	6	9	23–31	-8	21	P S S S S
19	Remo — Relegation	21	5	6	10	24–34	-10	21	S V S V S
20	Chapecoense-sc — Relegation	20	1	7	12	19–41	-22	10	P S S S S
1	Atletico Paranaense — Champion	11	8	2	1	19–6	+13	26	V P P V V
2	Fluminense — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	11	7	3	1	18–11	+7	24	V P V P P
3	Palmeiras — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	10	7	2	1	17–8	+9	23	V P P V S
4	Vitoria — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	10	7	1	2	15–7	+8	22	P V V V S
5	Flamengo — Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)	9	5	3	1	17–8	+9	18	V P S V P
6	Gremio — Copa Sudamericana	10	5	3	2	16–12	+4	18	V S V S P
7	Corinthians — Copa Sudamericana	11	5	3	3	12–8	+4	18	V V V V P
8	Santos — Copa Sudamericana	11	5	3	3	17–14	+3	18	S V S V P
9	Mirassol — Copa Sudamericana	11	5	3	3	15–13	+2	18	V P V V V
10	RB Bragantino — Copa Sudamericana	10	5	2	3	16–9	+7	17	V S V V P
11	Sao Paulo — Copa Sudamericana	9	5	2	2	15–8	+7	17	V V P P S
12	Bahia	11	4	5	2	17–11	+6	17	S P V V P
13	Vasco DA Gama	11	5	2	4	13–14	-1	17	V V S S P
14	Cruzeiro	11	4	4	3	16–13	+3	16	V S V P S
15	Atletico-MG	9	4	4	1	14–13	+1	16	V S P V P
16	Botafogo	9	4	3	2	17–13	+4	15	P S V V P
17	Remo — Relegation	10	3	4	3	13–11	+2	13	S P S V V
18	Internacional — Relegation	11	3	3	5	13–12	+1	12	S V V S P
19	Coritiba — Relegation	10	3	3	4	11–12	-1	12	V P V S S
20	Chapecoense-sc — Relegation	10	1	4	5	13–24	-11	7	P S S S S
1	Palmeiras — Champion	11	7	3	1	21–8	+13	24	V P V V V
2	Flamengo — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	11	6	3	2	20–10	+10	21	V V P V P
3	Coritiba — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	11	4	3	4	14–16	-2	15	S S V S P
4	Bahia — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	10	4	3	3	12–14	-2	15	S P S P P
5	RB Bragantino — Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)	10	4	2	4	10–11	-1	14	S V S V P
6	Botafogo — Copa Sudamericana	11	4	2	5	17–19	-2	14	V P P S V
7	Cruzeiro — Copa Sudamericana	10	4	2	4	11–17	-6	14	V V P V V
8	Atletico-MG — Copa Sudamericana	11	4	0	7	11–12	-1	12	S V S V V
9	Corinthians — Copa Sudamericana	10	2	5	3	10–12	-2	11	P S S V P
10	Atletico Paranaense — Copa Sudamericana	10	3	2	5	9–13	-4	11	S S V V P
11	Fluminense — Copa Sudamericana	10	2	4	4	12–14	-2	10	V S S P P
12	Internacional	10	2	4	4	10–15	-5	10	P P S S S
13	Sao Paulo	11	2	3	6	10–15	-5	9	S S S S P
14	Remo	11	2	2	7	11–23	-12	8	S V V S S
15	Mirassol	9	1	2	6	8–14	-6	5	V S S S P
16	Santos	9	0	4	5	12–19	-7	4	S P P S S
17	Vasco DA Gama — Relegation	9	0	4	5	10–17	-7	4	P S P S S
18	Gremio — Relegation	10	0	4	6	6–14	-8	4	P S P P S
19	Vitoria — Relegation	11	0	4	7	7–24	-17	4	P S S P S
20	Chapecoense-sc — Relegation	10	0	3	7	6–17	-11	3	P S S S P

Champion Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi) Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione) Copa Sudamericana Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026

Champion Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi) Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione) Copa Sudamericana Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Palmeiras	82 (64–98) pos. ~1.1°	C9 · T8 ELO 1527	▲0%
2	Flamengo	71 (51–88) pos. ~2.3°	C9 · T8 ELO 1529	·
3	Atletico Paranaense	65 (46–84) pos. ~3.8°	C8 · T9 ELO 1532	▼6%
4	Fluminense	58 (40–77) pos. ~6.6°	C8 · T9 ELO 1532	▲3%
5	Bahia	57 (39–79) pos. ~7.2°	C8 · T9 ELO 1529	▲0%
6	RB Bragantino	59 (36–78) pos. ~5.8°	C9 · T8 ELO 1530	▲1%
7	Cruzeiro	54 (33–74) pos. ~8.6°	C8 · T9 ELO 1529	▲4%
8	Botafogo	55 (37–78) pos. ~7.8°	C9 · T8 ELO 1529	▲1%
9	Corinthians	56 (38–75) pos. ~7.4°	C8 · T9 ELO 1531	▼5%
10	Atletico-MG	54 (35–74) pos. ~8.6°	C9 · T8 ELO 1523	▲1%
11	Coritiba	47 (30–67) pos. ~12.8°	C9 · T8 ELO 1531	▲4%
12	Sao Paulo	49 (32–69) pos. ~11.7°	C9 · T8 ELO 1526	▼1%
13	Vitoria	43 (28–67) pos. ~14.9°	C9 · T8 ELO 1531	▼1%
14	Mirassol	46 (27–67) pos. ~13.6°	C8 · T9 ELO 1536	▼0%
15	Santos	44 (26–64) pos. ~14.7°	C8 · T9 ELO 1537	▼1%
16	Internacional	43 (25–64) pos. ~14.8°	C8 · T9 ELO 1528	▲0%
17	Gremio	43 (26–63) pos. ~14.8°	C9 · T8 ELO 1528	▲1%
18	Vasco DA Gama	37 (22–58) pos. ~17.7°	C8 · T9 ELO 1539	▼1%
19	Remo	42 (25–62) pos. ~15.7°	C9 · T8 ELO 1537	▼1%
20	Chapecoense-sc	22 (10–39) pos. ~20.0°	C8 · T9 ELO 1539	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

Pedro

Flamengo

K. Viveros

Atletico Paranaense

Carlos Vinícius

Gremio

John Kennedy

Fluminense

Breno Lopes

Coritiba

Danilo Santos

Botafogo

Arthur Cabral

Botafogo

Gabriel Barbosa

Santos

Luciano Juba

Bahia

J. López

Palmeiras

👟 Assists

Andreas Pereira

Palmeiras

Josué

Coritiba

Samuel Lino

Flamengo

R. Garro

Corinthians

G. Benavídez

Atletico Paranaense

Pedro

Flamengo

L. Acosta

Fluminense

Erick

Vitoria

J. Rodríguez

Vasco DA Gama

L. Esquivel

Atletico Paranaense

🟨 Yellow cards

Matheus Pereira

Cruzeiro

Juninho Capixaba

RB Bragantino

Victor Gabriel

Internacional

José Aldo

Mirassol

E. Díaz

Sao Paulo

A. Bernabéi

Internacional

Alix

RB Bragantino

A. Gómez

Vasco DA Gama

Arthur Dias

Atletico Paranaense

N. Acevedo

Bahia

🟥 Red cards

Andre

Corinthians

J. Carrascal

Flamengo

Fabinho

RB Bragantino

Victor Gabriel

Internacional

Á. Barreal

Santos

Gabriel Barbosa

Santos

A. Barboza

Botafogo

Doma

Chapecoense-sc

Zé Ricardo

Remo

Cauan Barros

Vasco DA Gama

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	14	55.00%	64.3%	+9.30%
60–70%%	12	65.00%	50.0%	-15.00%
70–100%%	6	85.00%	66.7%	-18.30%

Based on 32 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾

#	Team	Goals	xG	Δ
1	Palmeiras	37	18.80	+18.20
2	Botafogo	34	23.34	+10.66
3	Flamengo	33	26.60	+6.40
4	Coritiba	25	19.53	+5.47
5	Corinthians	22	17.33	+4.67
6	Vitoria	22	18.59	+3.41
7	Santos	29	25.59	+3.41
8	Fluminense	28	25.14	+2.86
9	Gremio	22	19.23	+2.77
10	Remo	22	19.31	+2.69
11	Atletico-MG	22	20.41	+1.59
12	Bahia	28	27.23	+0.77
13	Mirassol	23	22.29	+0.71
14	Atletico Paranaense	28	27.84	+0.16
15	Sao Paulo	25	25.14	-0.14
16	Chapecoense-sc	18	18.40	-0.40
17	RB Bragantino	26	27.83	-1.83
18	Cruzeiro	27	29.36	-2.36
19	Vasco DA Gama	23	30.18	-7.18
20	Internacional	23	31.60	-8.60

Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Brasileirão Série A?

For Brasileirão Série A, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Brasileirão Série A?

Accuracy for Brasileirão Série A is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Brasileirão Série A using per-league historical data.

How are Brasileirão Série A season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.