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Brasileirão Série A

Brasile · Season 2026

2026 2025

64.90%

1X2 accuracy · 37 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 27 of 38 71%

League Table

20 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo — Champion	27	17	6	4	53–22	+31	57	V V V V S
2	Palmeiras — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	27	16	8	3	47–21	+26	56	V P P V S
3	Atletico Paranaense — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	27	13	7	7	41–31	+10	46	P S P V P
4	Bahia — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	27	12	10	5	42–33	+9	46	V V V V P
5	Fluminense — Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)	27	12	9	6	41–35	+6	45	S V P V V
6	Cruzeiro — Copa Sudamericana	27	12	6	9	39–39	+0	42	S V S V V
7	Atletico-MG — Copa Sudamericana	26	11	6	9	35–31	+4	39	V S V P V
8	Coritiba — Copa Sudamericana	27	10	8	9	37–38	-1	38	P S V V P
9	RB Bragantino — Copa Sudamericana	26	10	6	10	32–29	+3	36	P S S V P
10	Santos — Copa Sudamericana	26	9	8	9	39–39	+0	35	V V V P V
11	Sao Paulo — Copa Sudamericana	26	9	6	11	31–30	+1	33	S V V S P
12	Vitoria	27	9	6	12	27–39	-12	33	P V S S V
13	Corinthians	27	8	8	11	28–29	-1	32	S S S S S
14	Botafogo	26	8	8	10	38–41	-3	32	P P S S S
15	Mirassol	27	7	8	12	31–42	-11	29	P V S P P
16	Gremio	26	7	7	12	28–35	-7	28	S S V S S
17	Vasco DA Gama — Relegation	26	7	7	12	29–41	-12	28	V S V S S
18	Internacional — Relegation	27	6	10	11	30–35	-5	28	V S S P P
19	Remo — Relegation	27	5	8	14	31–45	-14	23	S S S S P
20	Chapecoense-sc — Relegation	26	3	8	15	28–52	-24	17	S V S V P
1	Fluminense — Champion	14	10	3	1	24–14	+10	33	P P V V V
2	Flamengo — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	13	9	3	1	26–9	+17	30	P V V V V
3	Palmeiras — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	13	9	3	1	23–9	+14	30	V S P V V
4	Atletico Paranaense — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	13	8	4	1	23–10	+13	28	P V V P P
5	Vitoria — Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)	13	9	1	3	17–9	+8	28	V S V S V
6	Cruzeiro — Copa Sudamericana	14	7	4	3	24–16	+8	25	P S V V V
7	Atletico-MG — Copa Sudamericana	12	7	4	1	22–15	+7	25	V P V V V
8	Sao Paulo — Copa Sudamericana	12	7	3	2	20–10	+10	24	P S P V V
9	Bahia — Copa Sudamericana	14	6	6	2	22–14	+8	24	V P P V V
10	Gremio — Copa Sudamericana	13	7	3	3	22–16	+6	24	S P V V S
11	Santos — Copa Sudamericana	14	6	4	4	20–18	+2	22	V P S P V
12	RB Bragantino	13	6	2	5	19–14	+5	20	V P S V S
13	Mirassol	14	5	5	4	19–21	-2	20	V V S P P
14	Vasco DA Gama	13	6	2	5	16–18	-2	20	S S P S V
15	Coritiba	14	5	4	5	19–19	+0	19	S V V S P
16	Botafogo	13	4	6	3	21–18	+3	18	P P S P P
17	Corinthians — Relegation	14	5	3	6	14–13	+1	18	V P S S S
18	Remo — Relegation	13	3	5	5	17–17	+0	14	V V P S S
19	Internacional — Relegation	14	3	5	6	16–16	+0	14	S P P P S
20	Chapecoense-sc — Relegation	13	2	5	6	18–29	-11	11	S S P V S
1	Flamengo — Champion	14	8	3	3	27–13	+14	27	V P V S V
2	Palmeiras — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	14	7	5	2	24–12	+12	26	V V S P P
3	Bahia — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	13	6	4	3	20–19	+1	22	P P P V V
4	Coritiba — Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)	13	5	4	4	18–19	-1	19	V S P P V
5	Atletico Paranaense — Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)	14	5	3	6	18–21	-3	18	P V V S P
6	Cruzeiro — Copa Sudamericana	13	5	2	6	15–23	-8	17	V V V S S
7	RB Bragantino — Copa Sudamericana	13	4	4	5	13–15	-2	16	V P P S P
8	Corinthians — Copa Sudamericana	13	3	5	5	14–16	-2	14	V P V S S
9	Atletico-MG — Copa Sudamericana	14	4	2	8	13–16	-3	14	V V P P S
10	Internacional — Copa Sudamericana	13	3	5	5	14–19	-5	14	S S P S V
11	Botafogo — Copa Sudamericana	13	4	2	7	17–23	-6	14	P S V S S
12	Santos	12	3	4	5	19–21	-2	13	S S V V V
13	Fluminense	13	2	6	5	17–21	-4	12	P P P P S
14	Mirassol	13	2	3	8	12–21	-9	9	P S P S V
15	Sao Paulo	14	2	3	9	11–20	-9	9	S P S S S
16	Remo	14	2	3	9	14–28	-14	9	S S P S S
17	Vasco DA Gama — Relegation	13	1	5	7	13–23	-10	8	S P S S V
18	Chapecoense-sc — Relegation	13	1	3	9	10–23	-13	6	S P S S V
19	Vitoria — Relegation	14	0	5	9	10–30	-20	5	P S S S P
20	Gremio — Relegation	13	0	4	9	6–19	-13	4	P S S S S

Champion Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi) Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione) Copa Sudamericana Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi) Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione) Copa Sudamericana Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Flamengo	82 (64–90) pos. ~1.3°	C6 · T5 ELO 1539	▲21%
Palmeiras	78 (63–89) pos. ~1.7°	C6 · T5 ELO 1531	▼21%
Atletico Paranaense	64 (51–77) pos. ~4.1°	C6 · T5 ELO 1532	▲3%
Bahia	59 (45–76) pos. ~5.7°	C5 · T6 ELO 1557	▼10%
Fluminense	63 (47–76) pos. ~4.6°	C5 · T6 ELO 1527	▲3%
Cruzeiro	60 (44–75) pos. ~5.7°	C5 · T6 ELO 1519	▲2%
Atletico-MG	57 (43–70) pos. ~6.7°	C6 · T5 ELO 1541	▲2%
Coritiba	52 (39–68) pos. ~9.3°	C5 · T6 ELO 1554	▲0%
RB Bragantino	51 (38–66) pos. ~10.1°	C6 · T5 ELO 1538	▼0%
Santos	51 (37–65) pos. ~9.8°	C5 · T6 ELO 1544	▲0%
Sao Paulo	49 (35–64) pos. ~11.2°	C6 · T5 ELO 1523	·
Vitoria	43 (33–59) pos. ~14.5°	C6 · T5 ELO 1527	▼0%
Corinthians	47 (34–63) pos. ~12.5°	C5 · T6 ELO 1528	▲1%
Botafogo	48 (34–64) pos. ~11.6°	C6 · T6 ELO 1513	▲0%
Mirassol	41 (29–57) pos. ~15.7°	C5 · T6 ELO 1523	▼0%
Gremio	40 (28–58) pos. ~16.3°	C6 · T6 ELO 1547	▼1%
Vasco DA Gama	41 (28–57) pos. ~16.0°	C6 · T5 ELO 1531	▲1%
Internacional	42 (29–56) pos. ~15.2°	C5 · T6 ELO 1525	▼1%
Remo	36 (23–51) pos. ~18.1°	C6 · T5 ELO 1538	▼1%
Chapecoense-sc	26 (17–44) pos. ~19.9°	C5 · T6 ELO 1551	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

K. Viveros

Atletico Paranaense

Pedro

Flamengo

Carlos Vinícius

Gremio

John Kennedy

Fluminense

Samuel Lino

Flamengo

J. López

Palmeiras

Breno Lopes

Coritiba

Luciano

Sao Paulo

Gabriel Barbosa

Santos

Luciano Juba

Bahia

👟 Assists

Andreas Pereira

Palmeiras

Josué

Coritiba

Samuel Lino

Flamengo

J. Carrascal

Flamengo

R. Garro

Corinthians

Pedro

Flamengo

G. Benavídez

Atletico Paranaense

Giovanni Augusto

Chapecoense-sc

J. López

Palmeiras

L. Acosta

Fluminense

🟨 Yellow cards

Juninho Capixaba

RB Bragantino

Matheus Pereira

Cruzeiro

A. Gómez

Vasco DA Gama

Thiago Mendes

Vasco DA Gama

E. Martínez

Vitoria

A. Bernabéi

Internacional

Alix

RB Bragantino

Victor Gabriel

Internacional

R. Garro

Corinthians

Ruan Tressoldi

Atletico-MG

🟥 Red cards

J. Carrascal

Flamengo

Andre

Corinthians

Fabinho

RB Bragantino

Victor Gabriel

Internacional

Á. Barreal

Santos

Zé Ricardo

Remo

Doma

Chapecoense-sc

Cauan Barros

Vasco DA Gama

Cacá

Vitoria

Gabriel Barbosa

Santos

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	28	55.00%	60.7%	+5.70%
60–70%%	19	65.00%	63.2%	-1.80%
70–100%%	8	85.00%	75.0%	-10.00%

Based on 55 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾

#	Team	Goals	xG	Δ
1	Palmeiras	44	24.79	+19.21
2	Flamengo	44	33.07	+10.93
3	Coritiba	32	22.65	+9.35
4	Botafogo	37	29.07	+7.93
5	Fluminense	37	29.93	+7.07
6	Gremio	27	22.32	+4.68
7	Corinthians	26	21.38	+4.62
8	Atletico Paranaense	37	32.60	+4.40
9	Remo	28	23.82	+4.18
10	Santos	34	31.12	+2.88
11	Atletico-MG	29	26.25	+2.75
12	Cruzeiro	35	32.63	+2.37
13	Vitoria	24	21.95	+2.05
14	Mirassol	27	25.68	+1.32
15	Chapecoense-sc	24	23.35	+0.65
16	Bahia	36	35.75	+0.25
17	Sao Paulo	28	28.93	-0.93
18	RB Bragantino	29	31.62	-2.62
19	Internacional	26	34.72	-8.72
20	Vasco DA Gama	27	35.88	-8.88

Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Brasileirão Série A?

For Brasileirão Série A, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Brasileirão Série A?

Accuracy for Brasileirão Série A is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Brasileirão Série A using per-league historical data.

How are Brasileirão Série A season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.