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First Division

First Division

Cipro  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 3 of 26 12%

League Table

14 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Pafos — Playoff 3 2 1 0 4–0 +4 7
V P V
2 AEK Larnaca — Playoff 3 2 0 1 7–3 +4 6
S V V
3 AEL — Playoff 3 2 0 1 4–7 -3 6
V S V
4 Omonia 29is Maiou — Playoff 3 1 2 0 8–5 +3 5
P P V
5 Omonia Nicosia — Playoff 3 1 2 0 4–1 +3 5
P V P
6 Apollon Limassol — Playoff 3 1 2 0 5–3 +2 5
P V P
7 Omonia Aradippou — Relegation Playoff 3 1 2 0 3–2 +1 5
P V P
8 Aris — Relegation Playoff 3 1 1 1 4–6 -2 4
V S P
9 Anorthosis — Relegation Playoff 3 1 0 2 3–6 -3 3
V S S
10 Olympiakos — Relegation Playoff 3 0 3 0 6–6 +0 3
P P P
11 Apoel Nicosia — Relegation Playoff 3 1 0 2 8–5 +3 3
S V S
12 Karmiotissa — Relegation Playoff 3 0 2 1 3–6 -3 2
P P S
13 Nea Salamis — Relegation Playoff 3 0 1 2 5–9 -4 1
S S P
14 Krasava Ypsonas — Relegation Playoff 3 0 0 3 1–6 -5 0
S S S
1 AEL — Playoff 2 2 0 0 4–1 +3 6
V V
2 Apoel Nicosia — Playoff 1 1 0 0 6–0 +6 3
V
3 Apollon Limassol — Playoff 1 1 0 0 3–1 +2 3
V
4 AEK Larnaca — Playoff 2 1 0 1 3–2 +1 3
V S
5 Omonia Aradippou — Playoff 1 1 0 0 2–1 +1 3
V
6 Anorthosis — Playoff 1 1 0 0 2–1 +1 3
V
7 Olympiakos — Relegation Playoff 2 0 2 0 6–6 +0 2
P P
8 Omonia Nicosia — Relegation Playoff 2 0 2 0 0–0 +0 2
P P
9 Omonia 29is Maiou — Relegation Playoff 1 0 1 0 2–2 +0 1
P
10 Pafos — Relegation Playoff 1 0 1 0 0–0 +0 1
P
11 Aris — Relegation Playoff 2 0 1 1 3–6 -3 1
P S
12 Karmiotissa — Relegation Playoff 2 0 1 1 1–4 -3 1
S P
13 Nea Salamis — Relegation Playoff 1 0 0 1 1–4 -3 0
S
14 Krasava Ypsonas — Relegation Playoff 2 0 0 2 0–4 -4 0
S S
1 Pafos — Playoff 2 2 0 0 4–0 +4 6
V V
2 Omonia 29is Maiou — Playoff 2 1 1 0 6–3 +3 4
V P
3 AEK Larnaca — Playoff 1 1 0 0 4–1 +3 3
V
4 Omonia Nicosia — Playoff 1 1 0 0 4–1 +3 3
V
5 Aris — Playoff 1 1 0 0 1–0 +1 3
V
6 Apollon Limassol — Playoff 2 0 2 0 2–2 +0 2
P P
7 Omonia Aradippou — Relegation Playoff 2 0 2 0 1–1 +0 2
P P
8 Karmiotissa — Relegation Playoff 1 0 1 0 2–2 +0 1
P
9 Olympiakos — Relegation Playoff 1 0 1 0 0–0 +0 1
P
10 Nea Salamis — Relegation Playoff 2 0 1 1 4–5 -1 1
P S
11 Krasava Ypsonas — Relegation Playoff 1 0 0 1 1–2 -1 0
S
12 Apoel Nicosia — Relegation Playoff 2 0 0 2 2–5 -3 0
S S
13 Anorthosis — Relegation Playoff 2 0 0 2 1–5 -4 0
S S
14 AEL — Relegation Playoff 1 0 0 1 0–6 -6 0
S
Playoff Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Playoff Relegation Playoff
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Pafos
45 (19–68)
pos. ~3.5°
C12 · T11
ELO 1511
▲0%
AEK Larnaca
43 (21–64)
pos. ~4.2°
C11 · T12
ELO 1511
▲0%
AEL
34 (11–56)
pos. ~8.5°
C11 · T12
ELO 1519
▲0%
Omonia 29is Maiou
41 (17–66)
pos. ~5.2°
C12 · T11
ELO 1521
▲1%
Omonia Nicosia
45 (20–67)
pos. ~3.3°
C11 · T12
ELO 1506
▼1%
Apollon Limassol
41 (20–69)
pos. ~5.1°
C12 · T11
ELO 1508
▼1%
Omonia Aradippou
38 (15–58)
pos. ~6.8°
C12 · T11
ELO 1518
▲0%
Aris
32 (11–55)
pos. ~9.4°
C11 · T12
ELO 1513
▼9%
Anorthosis
34 (12–56)
pos. ~8.7°
C12 · T11
ELO 1515
▲1%
Olympiakos
34 (13–59)
pos. ~8.3°
C11 · T12
ELO 1516
▲0%
Apoel Nicosia
35 (11–59)
pos. ~7.8°
C12 · T11
ELO 1515
▲1%
Karmiotissa
30 (8–55)
pos. ~10.4°
C11 · T12
ELO 1516
▲0%
Nea Salamis
28 (8–51)
pos. ~11.4°
C12 · T11
ELO 1518
▼0%
Krasava Ypsonas
25 (6–47)
pos. ~12.4°
C11 · T12
ELO 1522
▲6%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 4 55.00% 75.0% +20.00%
70–100%% 5 85.00% 60.0% -25.00%
Based on 11 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for First Division?
For First Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for First Division?
Accuracy for First Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First Division using per-league historical data.
How are First Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.