72.70%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 26
0%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Playoff
Relegation Playoff
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
38 (14–64)
pos. ~6.5°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1531
|
— | ||
| 2 |
34 (8–61)
pos. ~8.8°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1539
|
— | ||
| 3 |
35 (12–59)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1536
|
— | ||
| 4 |
34 (10–59)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1538
|
— | ||
| 5 |
38 (13–63)
pos. ~6.1°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1529
|
— | ||
| 6 |
35 (10–58)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1537
|
— | ||
| 7 |
43 (20–71)
pos. ~4.0°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1520
|
— | ||
| 8 |
36 (11–61)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1538
|
— | ||
| 9 |
34 (10–58)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1539
|
— | ||
| 10 |
38 (13–63)
pos. ~6.6°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1531
|
— | ||
| 11 |
34 (12–59)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1539
|
— | ||
| 12 |
36 (11–60)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1539
|
— | ||
| 13 |
34 (11–59)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1538
|
— | ||
| 14 |
36 (12–60)
pos. ~7.5°
|
C13 · T13
ELO 1538
|
— |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 2 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 4 | 55.00% | 75.0% | +20.00% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 60.0% | -25.00% |
Based on 11 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for First Division?
For First Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for First Division?
Accuracy for First Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First Division using per-league historical data.
How are First Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.