Premier League
Bielorussia
· Season 2026/27
47.60%
1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 22 of 30
73%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
62 (49–69)
pos. ~1.3°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1478
|
▲0% | ||
|
57 (43–65)
pos. ~2.5°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1481
|
▼0% | ||
|
56 (44–64)
pos. ~2.8°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1476
|
▼0% | ||
|
52 (39–61)
pos. ~4.3°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1480
|
· | ||
|
50 (38–60)
pos. ~5.2°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1496
|
· | ||
|
45 (34–58)
pos. ~6.7°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1516
|
· | ||
|
46 (35–58)
pos. ~6.7°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1512
|
· | ||
|
45 (34–57)
pos. ~6.9°
|
C5 · T3
ELO 1511
|
· | ||
|
36 (27–49)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C3 · T5
ELO 1483
|
· | ||
|
37 (26–49)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1493
|
· | ||
|
35 (25–47)
pos. ~10.2°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1489
|
· | ||
|
28 (23–41)
pos. ~12.8°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1514
|
▲0% | ||
|
27 (18–40)
pos. ~13.1°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1500
|
▼0% | ||
|
27 (18–40)
pos. ~13.4°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1495
|
▲0% | ||
|
23 (16–36)
pos. ~14.5°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1508
|
▼1% | ||
|
15 (11–30)
pos. ~16.0°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1518
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 7 | 55.00% | 42.9% | -12.10% |
| 60–70%% | 6 | 65.00% | 66.7% | +1.70% |
| 70–100%% | 8 | 85.00% | 37.5% | -47.50% |
Based on 21 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Premier League?
For Premier League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Premier League?
Accuracy for Premier League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Premier League using per-league historical data.
How are Premier League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.