Matchday 1 of 34
3%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
49 (24–76)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1539
|
▲4% | ||
| 2 |
51 (24–83)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1533
|
▼0% | ||
| 3 |
46 (17–74)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1538
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
46 (21–74)
pos. ~9.7°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1538
|
▲0% | ||
| 5 |
54 (27–83)
pos. ~5.0°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1531
|
▼1% | ||
| 6 |
52 (24–79)
pos. ~6.1°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1535
|
▼1% | ||
| 7 |
52 (20–78)
pos. ~6.3°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1535
|
▼1% | ||
| 8 |
44 (18–70)
pos. ~11.1°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1539
|
▼1% | ||
| 9 |
45 (21–77)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1539
|
· | ||
| 10 |
52 (28–79)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1531
|
▼1% | ||
| 11 |
43 (18–75)
pos. ~11.5°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1536
|
▼0% | ||
| 12 |
47 (19–76)
pos. ~9.5°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1536
|
▲0% | ||
| 13 |
45 (15–75)
pos. ~10.3°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1533
|
· | ||
| 14 |
46 (17–74)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1532
|
▲1% | ||
| 15 |
44 (20–72)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1535
|
▲0% | ||
| 16 |
43 (13–69)
pos. ~11.9°
|
C16 · T17
ELO 1537
|
▼1% | ||
| 17 |
41 (13–69)
pos. ~12.9°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1538
|
▼1% | ||
| 18 |
39 (13–67)
pos. ~14.1°
|
C17 · T16
ELO 1541
|
▲16% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60–70%% | 7 | 65.00% | 42.9% | -22.10% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 33.3% | -51.70% |
Based on 12 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Ekstraklasa?
For Ekstraklasa, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Ekstraklasa?
Accuracy for Ekstraklasa is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Ekstraklasa using per-league historical data.
How are Ekstraklasa season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.