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Liga 1

Liga 1

Perù  · Season 2026
75.90%
1X2 accuracy · 29 predictions (3 months)

League Table + end of season projections

# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Projected Pts Champion Schedule
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30–8 +22 40
77 (59–91)
pos. ~1.0°
98%
C9 · T8
ELO 1496
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25–21 +4 34
55 (37–75)
pos. ~4.8°
<1%
C8 · T9
ELO 1497
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34–22 +12 33
60 (38–79)
pos. ~3.4°
<1%
C8 · T9
ELO 1497
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24–15 +9 29
56 (37–75)
pos. ~4.4°
<1%
C8 · T9
ELO 1497
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29–20 +9 28
58 (39–77)
pos. ~3.8°
<1%
C8 · T9
ELO 1497
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21–24 -3 27
47 (29–67)
pos. ~8.5°
C9 · T8
ELO 1498
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21–18 +3 26
52 (33–74)
pos. ~6.0°
<1%
C8 · T9
ELO 1498
8 Alianza Atletico 17 5 6 6 20–18 +2 21
46 (27–68)
pos. ~9.3°
C9 · T8
ELO 1499
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18–20 -2 21
42 (25–65)
pos. ~11.3°
C8 · T9
ELO 1498
10 ADT 17 5 5 7 22–21 +1 20
46 (27–64)
pos. ~9.2°
C8 · T9
ELO 1498
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15–19 -4 20
42 (24–62)
pos. ~11.3°
C8 · T9
ELO 1499
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28–30 -2 19
40 (21–60)
pos. ~12.8°
C9 · T8
ELO 1499
13 UTC Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21–26 -5 18
37 (21–60)
pos. ~14.0°
C9 · T8
ELO 1499
14 UCV Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17–24 -7 18
40 (21–59)
pos. ~12.7°
C9 · T8
ELO 1499
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23–28 -5 17
41 (24–60)
pos. ~12.1°
C9 · T8
ELO 1499
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12–18 -6 16
38 (20–58)
pos. ~14.0°
C9 · T8
ELO 1499
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21–31 -10 16
35 (16–57)
pos. ~15.3°
C9 · T8
ELO 1499
18 Juan Pablo II College 17 4 4 9 22–40 -18 16
30 (17–52)
pos. ~17.1°
C8 · T9
ELO 1500
Champion % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 15 Jun 2026

Projection trend

Alianza Lima
98%
0%
Title
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0%
=
Relegation
Cienciano
0%
=
Relegation
Universitario
0%
=
Relegation
FBC Melgar
0%
=
Relegation
Cusco
0%
=
Relegation
Deportivo Garcilaso
0%
=
Relegation
Alianza Atletico
0%
=
Relegation
Comerciantes Unidos
0%
=
Relegation
ADT
0%
=
Relegation
Sport Boys
0%
=
Relegation
Sporting Cristal
0%
=
Relegation
UTC Cajamarca
0%
=
Relegation
UCV Moquegua
0%
=
Relegation
FC Cajamarca
0%
=
Relegation
Atletico Grau
0%
=
Relegation
Sport Huancayo
0%
=
Relegation
Juan Pablo II College
0%
=
Relegation
Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 A. Hohberg
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
11
2 C. Garcés
C. Garcés
Cienciano
10
3 E. Castillo
E. Castillo
Alianza Lima
9
4 B. Cuesta
B. Cuesta
FBC Melgar
8
5 A. Valera
A. Valera
Universitario
8
6 F. Callejo
F. Callejo
Cusco
8
7 H. Barcos
H. Barcos
FC Cajamarca
7
8 J. Vidales
J. Vidales
FBC Melgar
7
9 N. Bandiera
N. Bandiera
Cienciano
6
10 F. Torres
F. Torres
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
6
👟 Assists
1 N. Quagliata
N. Quagliata
FBC Melgar
8
2 Y. Yotún
Y. Yotún
Sporting Cristal
6
3 A. Hohberg
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
5
4 E. Castillo
E. Castillo
Alianza Lima
5
5 M. Alaníz
M. Alaníz
Juan Pablo II College
5
6 J. Concha
J. Concha
Universitario
5
7 C. Cabello
C. Cabello
ADT
5
8 B. Cuesta
B. Cuesta
FBC Melgar
4
9 Matias Zegarra
Matias Zegarra
FBC Melgar
4
10 J. Vélez
J. Vélez
Alianza Lima
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1 J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
Comerciantes Unidos
8
2 E. Canales
E. Canales
Deportivo Garcilaso
6
3 Y. Zapata
Y. Zapata
UCV Moquegua
6
4 L. Advíncula
L. Advíncula
Alianza Lima
6
5 B. Duarte
B. Duarte
UTC Cajamarca
6
6 R. Garcés
R. Garcés
Alianza Lima
6
7 A. Fuentes
A. Fuentes
Cusco
6
8 J. Narváez
J. Narváez
ADT
6
9 Gustavo Cazonatti
Gustavo Cazonatti
Sporting Cristal
5
10 C. Cueva
C. Cueva
Juan Pablo II College
5

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 15 55.00% 73.3% +18.30%
60–70%% 12 65.00% 75.0% +10.00%
Based on 29 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga 1?
For Liga 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga 1?
Accuracy for Liga 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga 1 using per-league historical data.
How are Liga 1 season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.