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USL Championship

USL Championship

USA  · Season 2026

League Table + end of season projections

# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Projected Pts Promotion Playoff Schedule
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 13 8 4 1 21–8 +13 28
S P V V V
53 (35–68)
pos. ~1.2°
>99%
C8 · T9
ELO 1500
2 Detroit City 13 6 3 4 19–13 +6 21
V P S P V
37 (21–57)
pos. ~6.6°
76%
C9 · T8
ELO 1506
3 Louisville City 14 6 3 5 24–22 +2 21
P V P S S
37 (22–55)
pos. ~6.5°
79%
C8 · T8
ELO 1504
4 Charleston Battery 12 6 2 4 21–16 +5 20
V P V S V
42 (25–58)
pos. ~4.1°
95%
C9 · T9
ELO 1498
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 11 6 1 4 15–13 +2 19
V V V S V
42 (21–58)
pos. ~4.4°
95%
C10 · T9
ELO 1502
6 Indy Eleven 11 5 3 3 16–12 +4 18
S V V V S
42 (25–61)
pos. ~4.1°
96%
C9 · T10
ELO 1500
7 Hartford Athletic 11 4 5 2 10–10 +0 17
V P S V P
37 (21–56)
pos. ~6.7°
73%
C10 · T9
ELO 1504
8 Miami FC 13 4 5 4 15–19 -4 17
P S V S P
33 (19–51)
pos. ~8.8°
38%
C10 · T7
ELO 1504
9 Rhode Island 11 4 3 4 21–15 +6 15
V S V P S
39 (22–57)
pos. ~5.7°
85%
C9 · T10
ELO 1503
10 Birmingham Legion 11 2 5 4 12–14 -2 11
S P S P V
33 (15–54)
pos. ~8.3°
48%
C8 · T11
ELO 1498
10 Birmingham 9 2 4 3 10–11 -1 10
S P V P V
10 (10–10)
pos. ~13.9°
C0 · T0
ELO
11 Brooklyn 12 2 3 7 13–22 -9 9
P P S S S
27 (10–47)
pos. ~11.0°
7%
C9 · T9
ELO 1503
12 Loudoun United 11 1 6 4 13–21 -8 9
S S P V P
27 (10–45)
pos. ~10.9°
8%
C8 · T11
ELO 1500
13 Sporting JAX 13 0 3 10 15–34 -19 3
S S P P S
16 (3–35)
pos. ~12.9°
<1%
C9 · T8
ELO 1501
Promotion Playoff % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 14 Jun 2026

Projection trend

Tampa Bay Rowdies
100%
=
Playoff
Detroit City
76%
-4%
Playoff
Louisville City
79%
-9%
Playoff
Charleston Battery
95%
+12%
Playoff
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
95%
+8%
Playoff
Indy Eleven
96%
-2%
Playoff
Hartford Athletic
73%
+10%
Playoff
Miami FC
38%
-9%
Playoff
Rhode Island
85%
+16%
Playoff
Birmingham Legion
48%
-8%
Playoff
Birmingham
0%
=
Relegation
Brooklyn
0%
=
Relegation
Loudoun United
0%
=
Relegation
Sporting JAX
0%
=
Relegation
Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for USL Championship?
For USL Championship, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for USL Championship?
Accuracy for USL Championship is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for USL Championship using per-league historical data.
How are USL Championship season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.