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USL Championship

USL Championship

USA  · Season 2026
Matchday 18 of 24 75%

League Table

14 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Promotion Playoff 17 10 5 2 28–15 +13 35
V P S V S
2 Charleston Battery — Promotion Playoff 17 8 3 6 32–24 +8 27
S P S V V
3 Detroit City — Promotion Playoff 16 8 3 5 23–15 +8 27
S V V V P
4 Louisville City — Promotion Playoff 16 7 3 6 26–25 +1 24
S V P V P
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Promotion Playoff 16 7 2 7 19–19 +0 23
S V S S P
6 Rhode Island — Promotion Playoff 15 6 4 5 25–18 +7 22
V V S P V
7 Miami FC — Promotion Playoff 18 5 6 7 22–29 -7 21
S S V P S
8 Indy Eleven — Promotion Playoff 15 6 3 6 18–17 +1 21
S S S V S
9 Hartford Athletic 16 4 8 4 12–14 -2 20
P S P S P
10 Loudoun United 16 2 9 5 19–29 -10 15
V P P S P
10 Birmingham 9 2 4 3 10–11 -1 10
S P V P V
11 Birmingham Legion 15 2 8 5 16–19 -3 14
P S P P S
12 Brooklyn 16 3 4 9 17–27 -10 13
S P V S P
13 Sporting JAX 18 1 5 12 23–46 -23 8
S P V P S
1 Charleston Battery — Promotion Playoff 8 6 2 0 22–7 +15 20
V V V V P
2 Indy Eleven — Promotion Playoff 8 6 1 1 14–6 +8 19
V V V V S
3 Detroit City — Promotion Playoff 8 6 1 1 12–4 +8 19
V V P V S
4 Colorado Springs — Promotion Playoff 9 5 2 2 18–11 +7 17
S S V V V
5 San Antonio — Promotion Playoff 8 4 3 1 11–7 +4 15
P P V P S
6 FC Tulsa — Promotion Playoff 9 4 3 2 10–6 +4 15
V V S V P
7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Promotion Playoff 8 5 0 3 11–8 +3 15
V V S V S
8 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Promotion Playoff 8 4 2 2 15–10 +5 14
V V P S S
9 New Mexico United 7 4 2 1 12–8 +4 14
V S V P V
10 Miami FC 9 4 2 3 16–17 -1 14
V S P V S
11 Rhode Island 8 3 4 1 13–7 +6 13
S P V P V
12 Sacramento Republic 7 4 1 2 11–7 +4 13
S V V S V
13 Phoenix Rising 9 3 4 2 15–12 +3 13
V S S V P
14 Lexington 8 4 1 3 13–10 +3 13
S V V S V
15 Louisville City 8 4 1 3 12–11 +1 13
V S S P V
16 Monterey Bay 9 4 1 4 11–10 +1 13
V V V V S
17 Oakland Roots 9 3 3 3 11–11 +0 12
V S P P S
18 Orange County SC 6 3 2 1 7–4 +3 11
V S V P V
19 Las Vegas Lights 7 3 2 2 9–7 +2 11
V V P S S
20 Birmingham Legion 9 1 5 3 7–9 -2 8
P P S P S
21 Hartford Athletic 7 1 5 1 6–9 -3 8
P V P P P
22 El Paso Locomotive 7 2 2 3 12–16 -4 8
S S S P V
23 Brooklyn 8 2 1 5 6–8 -2 7
V P S S S
24 Loudoun United 9 0 7 2 13–17 -4 7
P P S P P
25 Sporting JAX 9 1 3 5 16–28 -12 6
P S S V P
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Promotion Playoff 9 6 3 0 13–5 +8 21
V V V P V
2 Orange County SC — Promotion Playoff 11 5 5 1 20–15 +5 20
V V P P V
3 El Paso Locomotive — Promotion Playoff 9 4 2 3 15–9 +6 14
S P S V S
4 San Antonio — Promotion Playoff 9 3 4 2 11–12 -1 13
P P S V V
5 Hartford Athletic — Promotion Playoff 9 3 3 3 6–5 +1 12
S V S S P
6 Louisville City — Promotion Playoff 8 3 2 3 14–14 +0 11
S S P V S
7 Sacramento Republic — Promotion Playoff 8 2 4 2 8–8 +0 10
S S V P V
8 New Mexico United — Promotion Playoff 7 3 1 3 7–7 +0 10
V S P V V
9 Las Vegas Lights 9 3 1 5 15–19 -4 10
S S V V V
10 Rhode Island 7 3 0 4 12–11 +1 9
V S V S V
11 Lexington 8 2 3 3 11–10 +1 9
S S V V P
12 Oakland Roots 8 2 3 3 14–16 -2 9
P S V S S
13 Detroit City 8 2 2 4 11–11 +0 8
S P S V V
14 Colorado Springs 7 2 2 3 10–12 -2 8
S P S V V
15 FC Tulsa 6 2 2 2 8–10 -2 8
P V V P S
16 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 8 2 2 4 8–11 -3 8
P S V P S
17 Phoenix Rising 8 2 2 4 8–12 -4 8
V V S P S
18 Loudoun United 7 2 2 3 6–12 -6 8
V S P S V
19 Miami FC 9 1 4 4 6–12 -6 7
P S S P S
20 Charleston Battery 9 2 1 6 10–17 -7 7
S P V S S
21 Birmingham Legion 6 1 3 2 9–10 -1 6
P V S P P
22 Brooklyn 8 1 3 4 11–19 -8 6
S P P V P
23 Indy Eleven 7 0 2 5 4–11 -7 2
P S S S S
24 Sporting JAX 9 0 2 7 7–18 -11 2
S S S P S
25 Monterey Bay 8 0 2 6 6–17 -11 2
S S S P S
Promotion Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Promotion Playoff
# Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies
55 (38–68)
pos. ~1.3°
C7 · T6
ELO 1501
·
2 Charleston Battery
48 (32–60)
pos. ~2.6°
C7 · T6
ELO 1496
·
3 Detroit City
46 (31–60)
pos. ~3.2°
C7 · T7
ELO 1507
·
4 Louisville City
38 (25–53)
pos. ~6.3°
C7 · T7
ELO 1504
▲1%
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
37 (23–50)
pos. ~6.8°
C7 · T7
ELO 1505
▼0%
6 Rhode Island
43 (26–56)
pos. ~4.3°
C7 · T8
ELO 1499
▲0%
7 Miami FC
33 (22–49)
pos. ~8.3°
C6 · T6
ELO 1501
·
8 Indy Eleven
38 (23–52)
pos. ~6.5°
C7 · T8
ELO 1499
▼0%
9 Hartford Athletic
36 (23–54)
pos. ~7.1°
C8 · T6
ELO 1500
▲1%
10 Loudoun United
26 (15–43)
pos. ~11.1°
C6 · T8
ELO 1500
·
10 Birmingham
10 (10–10)
pos. ~14.0°
C0 · T0
ELO
·
11 Birmingham Legion
30 (16–49)
pos. ~9.7°
C5 · T9
ELO 1497
▼1%
12 Brooklyn
26 (13–44)
pos. ~11.0°
C7 · T7
ELO 1500
·
13 Sporting JAX
18 (8–33)
pos. ~12.8°
C6 · T6
ELO 1501
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 7 55.00% 85.7% +30.70%
Based on 10 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for USL Championship?
For USL Championship, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for USL Championship?
Accuracy for USL Championship is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for USL Championship using per-league historical data.
How are USL Championship season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.