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USL Championship

USA · Season 2026

72.20%

1X2 accuracy · 36 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 25 of 24 104%

🏆

Champion 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Mathematically confirmed champion · 48 pts

League Table

14 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies — Promotion Playoff	24	14	6	4	41–23	+18	48	S V P S V
2	Charleston Battery — Promotion Playoff	24	12	4	8	49–31	+18	40	P S V V S
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Promotion Playoff	25	11	5	9	28–25	+3	38	V P P S V
4	Detroit City — Promotion Playoff	23	10	7	6	28–19	+9	37	S P P V P
5	Hartford Athletic — Promotion Playoff	23	8	10	5	24–23	+1	34	V P V V V
6	Louisville City — Promotion Playoff	24	9	6	9	39–39	+0	33	S P P S V
7	Rhode Island — Promotion Playoff	22	9	5	8	34–24	+10	32	V P S V S
8	Indy Eleven — Promotion Playoff	22	8	6	8	28–28	+0	30	P P S V V
9	Miami FC	24	5	9	10	28–42	-14	24	P P S S S
10	Loudoun United	23	3	11	9	26–40	-14	20	S S S P P
10	Birmingham	9	2	4	3	10–11	-1	10	S P V P V
11	Birmingham Legion	22	3	10	9	28–34	-6	19	P P S S S
12	Brooklyn	22	4	5	13	23–39	-16	17	P S V S S
13	Sporting JAX	24	3	5	16	30–63	-33	14	S V S V S
1	Charleston Battery — Promotion Playoff	11	8	2	1	33–9	+24	26	V P V V S
2	Indy Eleven — Promotion Playoff	11	7	3	1	19–10	+9	24	V S P V P
3	Detroit City — Promotion Playoff	11	7	3	1	14–5	+9	24	V S P V P
4	New Mexico United — Promotion Playoff	12	7	3	2	19–13	+6	24	V V V S P
5	Sacramento Republic — Promotion Playoff	11	7	2	2	20–9	+11	23	V V V P V
6	Tampa Bay Rowdies — Promotion Playoff	11	7	2	2	24–14	+10	23	S S V V V
7	Colorado Springs — Promotion Playoff	12	7	2	3	23–15	+8	23	V V V S V
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Promotion Playoff	13	7	2	4	15–10	+5	23	S P V P V
9	Phoenix Rising	12	6	4	2	22–15	+7	22	V P V V V
10	Lexington	12	7	1	4	19–13	+6	22	V V V V S
11	FC Tulsa	12	6	3	3	12–7	+5	21	V P V S V
12	Rhode Island	11	5	5	1	19–9	+10	20	P V V V P
13	El Paso Locomotive	11	6	2	3	20–18	+2	20	V V V V V
14	San Antonio	12	5	4	3	14–12	+2	19	S V S S P
15	Louisville City	12	5	3	4	16–15	+1	18	V V P P S
16	Hartford Athletic	10	4	5	1	14–13	+1	17	P P V V V
17	Las Vegas Lights	12	4	4	4	13–13	+0	16	P P V S S
18	Miami FC	12	4	4	4	20–22	-2	16	V S P S P
19	Monterey Bay	12	4	3	5	15–17	-2	15	V S S P P
20	Orange County SC	12	4	3	5	13–18	-5	15	S S S P S
21	Oakland Roots	13	3	5	5	14–18	-4	14	S S P P S
22	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	12–14	-2	12	P S V S P
23	Brooklyn	11	3	2	6	11–11	+0	11	S S S V P
24	Loudoun United	13	1	8	4	19–23	-4	11	P V S P S
25	Sporting JAX	12	2	3	7	19–34	-15	9	V P S V S
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies — Promotion Playoff	13	7	4	2	17–9	+8	25	V V S P S
2	El Paso Locomotive — Promotion Playoff	13	7	2	4	21–12	+9	23	S S V V V
3	Orange County SC — Promotion Playoff	12	5	6	1	21–16	+5	21	V P P V P
4	New Mexico United — Promotion Playoff	10	5	2	3	14–10	+4	17	V V V P V
5	Hartford Athletic — Promotion Playoff	13	4	5	4	10–10	+0	17	P S P V P
6	San Antonio — Promotion Playoff	12	4	5	3	15–16	-1	17	V V P V S
7	Las Vegas Lights — Promotion Playoff	12	5	1	6	18–21	-3	16	V V V S V
8	FC Tulsa — Promotion Playoff	11	4	3	4	15–14	+1	15	V S V P S
9	Louisville City	12	4	3	5	23–24	-1	15	S S V S P
10	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	12	4	3	5	13–15	-2	15	S V V S P
11	Colorado Springs	12	4	2	6	17–22	-5	14	S S S V V
12	Charleston Battery	13	4	2	7	16–22	-6	14	S V S V P
13	Detroit City	12	3	4	5	14–14	+0	13	V P V P S
14	Sacramento Republic	12	2	7	3	10–11	-1	13	V S P P P
15	Oakland Roots	11	3	4	4	15–17	-2	13	S S P S V
16	Lexington	12	3	3	6	18–17	+1	12	P S S S V
17	Rhode Island	11	4	0	7	15–15	+0	12	V S S S V
18	Phoenix Rising	12	2	5	5	12–17	-5	11	S P S P P
19	Loudoun United	10	2	3	5	7–17	-10	9	S V P S S
20	Miami FC	12	1	5	6	8–20	-12	8	P S S S P
21	Birmingham Legion	10	1	4	5	16–20	-4	7	P S S S P
22	Indy Eleven	11	1	3	7	9–18	-9	6	S S V S P
23	Brooklyn	11	1	3	7	12–28	-16	6	V P S S S
24	Sporting JAX	12	1	2	9	11–29	-18	5	P S S V S
25	Monterey Bay	12	0	3	9	10–25	-15	3	S S S P S

Promotion Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Promotion Playoff

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Tampa Bay Rowdies	59 (49–63) pos. ~1.0°	C4 · T2 ELO 1488	·
Charleston Battery	50 (40–55) pos. ~2.6°	C4 · T2 ELO 1497	·
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	44 (38–50) pos. ~5.0°	C2 · T3 ELO 1506	·
Detroit City	46 (37–55) pos. ~4.5°	C4 · T3 ELO 1507	·
Hartford Athletic	44 (34–52) pos. ~5.0°	C5 · T2 ELO 1497	·
Louisville City	42 (33–51) pos. ~6.4°	C3 · T3 ELO 1494	▼0%
Rhode Island	45 (34–56) pos. ~4.3°	C4 · T4 ELO 1498	·
Indy Eleven	39 (30–51) pos. ~7.3°	C4 · T4 ELO 1500	▲0%
Miami FC	30 (24–40) pos. ~9.9°	C3 · T3 ELO 1499	·
Loudoun United	29 (20–41) pos. ~10.1°	C2 · T5 ELO 1486	·
Birmingham	10 (10–10) pos. ~14.0°	C0 · T0 ELO	·
Birmingham Legion	28 (19–40) pos. ~10.3°	C3 · T5 ELO 1494	·
Brooklyn	24 (17–36) pos. ~11.8°	C4 · T4 ELO 1500	·
Sporting JAX	19 (14–30) pos. ~12.9°	C3 · T3 ELO 1500	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

J. Locadia

Miami FC

A. Méndez

El Paso Locomotive

👟 Assists

A. Méndez

El Paso Locomotive

🟨 Yellow cards

J. Locadia

Miami FC

Pedro Santos

Loudoun United

A. Méndez

El Paso Locomotive

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	20	55.00%	75.0%	+20.00%
60–70%%	17	65.00%	70.6%	+5.60%
70–100%%	5	85.00%	100.0%	+15.00%

Based on 42 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for USL Championship?

For USL Championship, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for USL Championship?

Accuracy for USL Championship is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for USL Championship using per-league historical data.

How are USL Championship season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.