First League

Macedonia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

Matchday 7 of 18 39%

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Shkendija — Champion	7	5	1	1	16–7	+9	16	P S V V V
2	Struga — Conference League	7	4	2	1	13–5	+8	14	P V V S V
3	Shkëndija Haraçinë	7	4	1	2	6–7	-1	13	V V V S V
4	Tikveš	7	3	3	1	17–7	+10	12	P V P P S
5	Vardar Skopje	7	3	2	2	12–8	+4	11	P V P V S
6	Sileks — Relegation Playoff	7	2	2	3	13–10	+3	8	P S S S V
7	Aresimi — Relegation Playoff	7	2	2	3	6–13	-7	8	P S P V V
8	Bregalnica Štip — Relegation	7	2	1	4	10–13	-3	7	P S S V S
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo — Relegation	7	1	1	5	6–21	-15	4	P V S S S
10	Skopje — Relegation	7	0	3	4	3–11	-8	3	S S P P S
1	Struga — Champion	4	4	0	0	9–0	+9	12	V V V V
2	Shkendija — Conference League	4	3	0	1	10–5	+5	9	V V V S
3	Vardar Skopje	4	3	0	1	8–3	+5	9	V S V V
4	Sileks	4	2	1	1	11–4	+7	7	V V S P
5	Bregalnica Štip	3	2	0	1	7–1	+6	6	V V S
6	Tikveš — Relegation Playoff	4	1	2	1	8–5	+3	5	V S P P
7	Aresimi — Relegation Playoff	3	1	2	0	3–2	+1	5	V P P
8	Shkëndija Haraçinë — Relegation	3	1	1	1	2–3	-1	4	P S V
9	Skopje — Relegation	3	0	2	1	3–4	-1	2	P P S
10	Bashkimi Kumanovo — Relegation	3	0	1	2	4–10	-6	1	S S P
1	Shkëndija Haraçinë — Champion	4	3	0	1	4–4	+0	9	S V V V
2	Tikveš — Conference League	3	2	1	0	9–2	+7	7	V P V
3	Shkendija	3	2	1	0	6–2	+4	7	V V P
4	Aresimi	4	1	0	3	3–11	-8	3	S S V S
5	Bashkimi Kumanovo	4	1	0	3	2–11	-9	3	S S S V
6	Struga — Relegation Playoff	3	0	2	1	4–5	-1	2	P S P
7	Vardar Skopje — Relegation Playoff	3	0	2	1	4–5	-1	2	S P P
8	Sileks — Relegation	3	0	1	2	2–6	-4	1	P S S
9	Skopje — Relegation	4	0	1	3	0–7	-7	1	S S P S
10	Bregalnica Štip — Relegation	4	0	1	3	3–12	-9	1	S S S P

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Shkendija	35 (19–49) pos. ~2.0°	C5 · T6 ELO 1501	▲1%
Struga	34 (19–47) pos. ~2.5°	C5 · T6 ELO 1501	▼1%
Shkëndija Haraçinë	27 (14–44) pos. ~4.7°	C6 · T5 ELO 1510	▼6%
Tikveš	32 (16–45) pos. ~3.0°	C5 · T6 ELO 1506	▼1%
Vardar Skopje	29 (13–44) pos. ~4.1°	C5 · T6 ELO 1505	▲0%
Sileks	24 (10–41) pos. ~6.0°	C5 · T6 ELO 1506	▼0%
Aresimi	20 (8–35) pos. ~7.4°	C6 · T5 ELO 1509	▲2%
Bregalnica Štip	21 (7–36) pos. ~7.0°	C6 · T5 ELO 1505	▼2%
Bashkimi Kumanovo	13 (4–27) pos. ~9.4°	C6 · T5 ELO 1514	·
Skopje	15 (3–32) pos. ~8.9°	C6 · T5 ELO 1508	▲4%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	3	55.00%	33.3%	-21.70%
60–70%%	5	65.00%	80.0%	+15.00%
70–100%%	9	85.00%	77.8%	-7.20%

Based on 17 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for First League?

For First League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for First League?

Accuracy for First League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First League using per-league historical data.

How are First League season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.