HNL

Croazia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

75.00%

1X2 accuracy · 16 predictions (3 months)

League Table + end of season projections

#	Team	GF–GA	GD	Projected Pts	Champion	Champions League	Conference League	Relegation	Schedule
1	Dinamo Zagreb	0–0	+0	50 (22–81) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	30%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1494
2	HNK Hajduk Split	0–0	+0	50 (23–77) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	31%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1506
3	NK Osijek	0–0	+0	50 (23–78) pos. ~5.6°	10%	10%	29%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1521
4	HNK Rijeka	0–0	+0	50 (21–78) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	29%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1510
5	NK Slaven Belupo	0–0	+0	50 (19–76) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	30%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1522
6	NK Varazdin	0–0	+0	50 (19–79) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	30%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1511
7	Istra 1961	0–0	+0	50 (23–78) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	30%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1520
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	0–0	+0	50 (22–77) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	29%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1516
9	Rudes	0–0	+0	50 (24–78) pos. ~5.4°	11%	11%	31%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1514
10	HNK Gorica	0–0	+0	50 (14–80) pos. ~5.5°	10%	10%	31%	10%	C18 · T18 ELO 1518

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 14 Jun 2026

Projection trend

Dinamo Zagreb

10%

Title

HNK Hajduk Split

10%

+0%

Title

NK Osijek

10%

-1%

Title

HNK Rijeka

10%

-1%

Title

NK Slaven Belupo

10%

+0%

Title

NK Varazdin

10%

+1%

Title

Istra 1961

10%

Title

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

10%

Title

Rudes

11%

+1%

Title

HNK Gorica

10%

Title

Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 10 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Model calibration for this league

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
60–70%%	7	65.00%	100.0%	+35.00%
70–100%%	7	85.00%	57.1%	-27.90%

Based on 16 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for HNL?

For HNL, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for HNL?

Accuracy for HNL is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for HNL using per-league historical data.

How are HNL season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.