Matchday 6 of 34
18%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
78 (51–98)
pos. ~1.3°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1511
|
· | ||
|
63 (35–87)
pos. ~4.3°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1528
|
▼0% | ||
|
71 (46–92)
pos. ~2.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1523
|
▲0% | ||
|
64 (32–86)
pos. ~4.0°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1526
|
· | ||
|
59 (34–81)
pos. ~5.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1518
|
▼1% | ||
|
50 (25–73)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1540
|
▼1% | ||
|
49 (25–77)
pos. ~9.3°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1523
|
▼0% | ||
|
47 (23–73)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1521
|
▼1% | ||
|
56 (31–80)
pos. ~6.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1518
|
▲2% | ||
|
51 (29–77)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1523
|
▼0% | ||
|
44 (22–68)
pos. ~11.1°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1521
|
▼0% | ||
|
47 (24–72)
pos. ~9.6°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1515
|
· | ||
|
42 (17–70)
pos. ~11.8°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1522
|
· | ||
|
34 (11–61)
pos. ~14.1°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1532
|
▼1% | ||
|
32 (9–57)
pos. ~14.6°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1525
|
▼1% | ||
|
27 (8–49)
pos. ~16.0°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1530
|
▲2% | ||
|
25 (6–50)
pos. ~16.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1525
|
▲0% | ||
|
20 (3–46)
pos. ~17.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1526
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 11 | 55.00% | 27.3% | -27.70% |
| 60–70%% | 9 | 65.00% | 66.7% | +1.70% |
| 70–100%% | 7 | 85.00% | 85.7% | +0.70% |
Based on 27 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Antwerp
|
10 | 4.73 | +5.27 | |
| 2 |
Zulte Waregem
|
8 | 3.53 | +4.47 | |
| 3 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
8 | 4.20 | +3.80 | |
| 4 |
Genk
|
12 | 9.11 | +2.89 | |
| 5 |
St. Truiden
|
8 | 5.50 | +2.50 | |
| 6 |
Gent
|
6 | 3.72 | +2.28 | |
| 7 |
Lommel United
|
5 | 3.06 | +1.94 | |
| 8 |
Standard Liege
|
7 | 5.40 | +1.60 | |
| 9 |
KVC Westerlo
|
5 | 4.23 | +0.77 | |
| 10 |
KV Mechelen
|
3 | 2.56 | +0.44 | |
| 11 |
Charleroi
|
6 | 5.68 | +0.32 | |
| 12 |
Cercle Brugge
|
5 | 5.15 | -0.15 | |
| 13 |
RAAL La Louvière
|
2 | 2.27 | -0.27 | |
| 14 |
SK Beveren
|
2 | 2.56 | -0.56 | |
| 15 |
Club Brugge KV
|
8 | 8.89 | -0.89 | |
| 16 |
Anderlecht
|
2 | 5.52 | -3.52 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Pro League?
For Pro League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Pro League?
Accuracy for Pro League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Pro League using per-league historical data.
How are Pro League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Antwerp
Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
St. Truiden
Gent
Lommel United
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
SK Beveren
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht