Upcoming matches
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 3 | 55.00% | 33.3% | -21.70% |
| 60–70%% | 5 | 65.00% | 60.0% | -5.00% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 66.7% | -18.30% |
Based on 11 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Eerste Divisie?
For Eerste Divisie, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Eerste Divisie?
Accuracy for Eerste Divisie is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Eerste Divisie using per-league historical data.
How are Eerste Divisie season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.