50.00%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 1 of 22
5%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
36 (9–62)
pos. ~3.9°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
| 2 |
36 (14–58)
pos. ~3.7°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1496
|
▲0% | ||
| 3 |
32 (13–55)
pos. ~5.5°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1499
|
▲1% | ||
| 4 |
27 (7–51)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1507
|
▲0% | ||
| 5 |
29 (7–55)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1500
|
▼0% | ||
| 6 |
31 (8–53)
pos. ~6.4°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1503
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
31 (10–52)
pos. ~6.4°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
| 8 |
31 (10–56)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1498
|
▼0% | ||
| 9 |
29 (7–50)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1501
|
▼0% | ||
| 10 |
28 (8–51)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
| 11 |
28 (7–49)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1500
|
▲0% | ||
| 12 |
27 (7–49)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1503
|
▼0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 3 | 55.00% | 0.0% | -55.00% |
| 60–70%% | 6 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 10 | 85.00% | 80.0% | -5.00% |
Based on 19 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 1. Division?
For 1. Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 1. Division?
Accuracy for 1. Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 1. Division using per-league historical data.
How are 1. Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.