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First League

First League

Bulgaria  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 9 of 26 35%

League Table

14 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Levski Sofia — Champion 9 8 1 0 21–4 +17 25
P V V V V
2 Ludogorets — Champions League 9 7 2 0 16–7 +9 23
V V P P V
3 CSKA Sofia — Champions League 8 6 2 0 21–6 +15 20
V P V V V
4 CSKA 1948 — Champions League 9 6 1 2 17–9 +8 19
V S V S V
5 Arda Kardzhali — Conference League 9 5 1 3 14–11 +3 16
S S V V V
6 Botev Plovdiv — Conference League 9 4 1 4 13–14 -1 13
V V S S S
7 Slavia Sofia — Relegation Playoff 9 2 5 2 8–6 +2 11
P V S P P
8 Spartak Varna — Relegation Playoff 9 2 4 3 10–14 -4 10
P P P S S
9 Botev Vratsa — Relegation Playoff 9 2 2 5 7–17 -10 8
P V S V S
10 Septemvri Sofia — Relegation Playoff 9 2 2 5 8–15 -7 8
S S P V V
11 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff 9 2 0 7 4–12 -8 6
S V S S S
12 Cherno More Varna — Relegation Playoff 9 1 2 6 10–19 -9 5
P S S V S
13 Lokomotiv Sofia — Relegation Playoff 8 0 4 4 10–16 -6 4
P S P S S
14 Dunav Ruse — Relegation Playoff 9 1 1 7 8–17 -9 4
S S P S V
1 Levski Sofia — Champion 5 5 0 0 14–1 +13 15
V V V V V
2 CSKA Sofia — Champions League 5 5 0 0 17–5 +12 15
V V V V V
3 CSKA 1948 — Champions League 5 5 0 0 12–4 +8 15
V V V V V
4 Ludogorets — Champions League 5 4 1 0 8–3 +5 13
V V V P V
5 Botev Plovdiv — Conference League 5 3 1 1 8–6 +2 10
P V V S V
6 Arda Kardzhali — Conference League 4 3 0 1 8–4 +4 9
V V V S
7 Spartak Varna — Relegation Playoff 5 1 3 1 5–5 +0 6
P V S P P
8 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff 4 2 0 2 4–4 +0 6
V S S V
9 Botev Vratsa — Relegation Playoff 4 1 2 1 2–4 -2 5
P S V P
10 Slavia Sofia — Relegation Playoff 5 0 4 1 3–4 -1 4
P P P S P
11 Cherno More Varna — Relegation Playoff 4 1 1 2 7–9 -2 4
S S V P
12 Septemvri Sofia — Relegation Playoff 4 1 1 2 4–7 -3 4
P S V S
13 Dunav Ruse — Relegation Playoff 4 0 1 3 2–7 -5 1
S S P S
14 Lokomotiv Sofia — Relegation Playoff 3 0 0 3 3–7 -4 0
S S S
1 Ludogorets — Champion 4 3 1 0 8–4 +4 10
V V P V
2 Levski Sofia — Champions League 4 3 1 0 7–3 +4 10
V V V P
3 Slavia Sofia — Champions League 4 2 1 1 5–2 +3 7
S V P V
4 Arda Kardzhali — Champions League 5 2 1 2 6–7 -1 7
P S V V S
5 CSKA Sofia — Conference League 3 1 2 0 4–1 +3 5
P V P
6 CSKA 1948 — Conference League 4 1 1 2 5–5 +0 4
P V S S
7 Lokomotiv Sofia — Relegation Playoff 5 0 4 1 7–9 -2 4
P P S P P
8 Spartak Varna — Relegation Playoff 4 1 1 2 5–9 -4 4
V S S P
9 Septemvri Sofia — Relegation Playoff 5 1 1 3 4–8 -4 4
S S V P S
10 Botev Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff 4 1 0 3 5–8 -3 3
S S S V
11 Dunav Ruse — Relegation Playoff 5 1 0 4 6–10 -4 3
S S V S S
12 Botev Vratsa — Relegation Playoff 5 1 0 4 5–13 -8 3
S S S S V
13 Cherno More Varna — Relegation Playoff 5 0 1 4 3–10 -7 1
P S S S S
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff 5 0 0 5 0–8 -8 0
S S S S S
Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Levski Sofia
62 (41–76)
pos. ~1.3°
C8 · T9
ELO 1509
▼1%
Ludogorets
53 (30–71)
pos. ~3.0°
C8 · T9
ELO 1519
▲2%
CSKA Sofia
55 (35–72)
pos. ~2.5°
C8 · T10
ELO 1518
▼1%
CSKA 1948
49 (32–65)
pos. ~3.7°
C8 · T9
ELO 1512
▼1%
Arda Kardzhali
42 (24–59)
pos. ~5.2°
C9 · T8
ELO 1515
▼1%
Botev Plovdiv
36 (16–56)
pos. ~6.8°
C8 · T9
ELO 1505
▼2%
Slavia Sofia
36 (18–55)
pos. ~6.8°
C8 · T9
ELO 1510
▲0%
Spartak Varna
30 (12–49)
pos. ~8.7°
C8 · T9
ELO 1506
▲1%
Botev Vratsa
26 (9–45)
pos. ~10.6°
C9 · T8
ELO 1500
▲1%
Septemvri Sofia
26 (10–44)
pos. ~10.4°
C9 · T8
ELO 1505
▲1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
23 (7–44)
pos. ~11.4°
C9 · T8
ELO 1508
▼0%
Cherno More Varna
22 (6–41)
pos. ~12.1°
C9 · T8
ELO 1515
▼0%
Lokomotiv Sofia
26 (8–46)
pos. ~10.5°
C10 · T8
ELO 1505
▼1%
Dunav Ruse
22 (7–40)
pos. ~12.0°
C9 · T8
ELO 1504
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 Frédéric Maciel
Frédéric Maciel
CSKA 1948
1

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 5 55.00% 60.0% +5.00%
60–70%% 7 65.00% 42.9% -22.10%
Based on 12 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for First League?
For First League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for First League?
Accuracy for First League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First League using per-league historical data.
How are First League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.