First League

Bulgaria · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

Matchday 2 of 26 8%

League Table

14 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Ludogorets — Champion	2	2	0	0	3–0	+3	6	V V
2	Levski Sofia — Champions League	2	2	0	0	4–2	+2	6	V V
3	Spartak Varna — Champions League	2	1	1	0	5–2	+3	4	V P
4	CSKA 1948 — Champions League	2	1	1	0	4–3	+1	4	V P
5	CSKA Sofia — Conference League	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4	V P
6	Arda Kardzhali — Conference League	2	1	1	0	2–1	+1	4	V P
7	Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff	2	1	0	1	2–2	+0	3	V S
8	Botev Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff	2	0	1	1	3–4	-1	1	S P
9	Botev Vratsa — Relegation Playoff	2	0	1	1	2–3	-1	1	S P
10	Lokomotiv Sofia — Relegation Playoff	2	0	1	1	2–3	-1	1	S P
11	Septemvri Sofia — Relegation Playoff	2	0	1	1	2–3	-1	1	S P
12	Slavia Sofia — Relegation Playoff	2	0	1	1	0–1	-1	1	S P
13	Cherno More Varna — Relegation Playoff	2	0	1	1	1–4	-3	1	S P
14	Dunav Ruse — Relegation Playoff	2	0	0	2	1–4	-3	0	S S
1	CSKA Sofia — Champion	1	1	0	0	3–2	+1	3	V
2	Levski Sofia — Champions League	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
3	CSKA 1948 — Champions League	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
4	Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Champions League	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
5	Ludogorets — Conference League	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
6	Arda Kardzhali — Conference League	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
7	Spartak Varna — Relegation Playoff	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
8	Septemvri Sofia — Relegation Playoff	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
9	Botev Vratsa — Relegation Playoff	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
10	Botev Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
11	Slavia Sofia — Relegation Playoff	1	0	1	0	0–0	+0	1	P
12	Lokomotiv Sofia — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
13	Dunav Ruse — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	0–2	-2	0	S
14	Cherno More Varna — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	0–3	-3	0	S
1	Spartak Varna — Champion	1	1	0	0	3–0	+3	3	V
2	Ludogorets — Champions League	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
3	Levski Sofia — Champions League	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
4	CSKA 1948 — Champions League	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
5	Arda Kardzhali — Conference League	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
6	Cherno More Varna — Conference League	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
7	Lokomotiv Sofia — Relegation Playoff	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
8	CSKA Sofia — Relegation Playoff	1	0	1	0	0–0	+0	1	P
9	Botev Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	2–3	-1	0	S
10	Dunav Ruse — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
11	Botev Vratsa — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
12	Septemvri Sofia — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
13	Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
14	Slavia Sofia — Relegation Playoff	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Ludogorets	44 (19–66) pos. ~3.6°	C12 · T12 ELO 1519	▲13%
2	Levski Sofia	47 (25–68) pos. ~2.6°	C12 · T12 ELO 1514	▼8%
3	Spartak Varna	39 (14–62) pos. ~5.9°	C12 · T12 ELO 1527	▲3%
4	CSKA 1948	40 (14–64) pos. ~5.4°	C12 · T12 ELO 1522	▲2%
5	CSKA Sofia	39 (16–61) pos. ~5.7°	C12 · T12 ELO 1521	▼19%
6	Arda Kardzhali	39 (12–62) pos. ~5.9°	C12 · T12 ELO 1528	▲3%
7	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	36 (8–59) pos. ~7.3°	C12 · T12 ELO 1523	▲1%
8	Botev Plovdiv	33 (11–54) pos. ~9.0°	C12 · T12 ELO 1524	▲6%
9	Botev Vratsa	34 (13–63) pos. ~8.3°	C12 · T12 ELO 1523	▲4%
10	Lokomotiv Sofia	32 (11–55) pos. ~9.2°	C12 · T12 ELO 1521	▲3%
11	Septemvri Sofia	31 (9–54) pos. ~10.0°	C12 · T12 ELO 1529	▲2%
12	Slavia Sofia	30 (8–53) pos. ~10.5°	C12 · T12 ELO 1525	▲1%
13	Cherno More Varna	30 (7–53) pos. ~10.3°	C12 · T12 ELO 1528	▲1%
14	Dunav Ruse	28 (7–51) pos. ~11.4°	C12 · T12 ELO 1518	▲11%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for First League?

For First League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for First League?

Accuracy for First League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First League using per-league historical data.

How are First League season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.