Erovnuli Liga
Georgia
· Season 2026
50.00%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 26 of 18
144%
🏆
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
64 (47–76)
pos. ~2.1°
|
C6 · T4
ELO 1485
|
▲4% | ||
|
64 (50–74)
pos. ~2.1°
|
C6 · T4
ELO 1485
|
▼14% | ||
|
62 (46–75)
pos. ~2.6°
|
C4 · T7
ELO 1485
|
▲12% | ||
|
55 (41–72)
pos. ~4.5°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
57 (41–70)
pos. ~4.1°
|
C4 · T7
ELO 1487
|
▼2% | ||
|
49 (36–66)
pos. ~5.8°
|
C4 · T6
ELO 1496
|
· | ||
|
43 (32–58)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C6 · T4
ELO 1496
|
▼7% | ||
|
38 (28–53)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C5 · T5
ELO 1485
|
▲18% | ||
|
35 (25–50)
pos. ~8.6°
|
C6 · T4
ELO 1494
|
▼1% | ||
|
25 (16–40)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C5 · T5
ELO 1496
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 7 | 55.00% | 42.9% | -12.10% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 7 | 85.00% | 85.7% | +0.70% |
Based on 22 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Erovnuli Liga?
For Erovnuli Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Erovnuli Liga?
Accuracy for Erovnuli Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Erovnuli Liga using per-league historical data.
How are Erovnuli Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.