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Erovnuli Liga

Georgia · Season 2026

63.60%

1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 19 of 18 106%

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Champion 2026

Saburtalo

Mathematically confirmed champion · 34 pts

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Saburtalo — Champion	19	10	4	5	27–18	+9	34	V S P V S
2	Rustavi — Conference League	19	9	5	5	22–18	+4	32	S V V V S
3	Dinamo Tbilisi — Conference League	19	8	7	4	31–21	+10	31	V V S V S
4	Torpedo Kutaisi — Conference League	19	7	6	6	30–19	+11	27	P S S S V
5	Dinamo Batumi	19	7	6	6	28–30	-2	27	S V V S V
6	Dila	19	8	2	9	21–19	+2	26	V V S S S
7	Samgurali	19	7	4	8	25–32	-7	25	P S V V V
8	Spaeri — Relegation Playoff	19	5	7	7	25–25	+0	22	P S P S V
9	Gagra — Relegation Playoff	19	5	7	7	18–24	-6	22	P P V V V
10	Meshakhte — Relegation	19	1	8	10	13–34	-21	11	S P S S S
1	Rustavi — Champion	9	7	0	2	14–7	+7	21	V S V V V
2	Saburtalo — Conference League	10	5	4	1	12–8	+4	19	V V P S V
3	Samgurali — Conference League	9	5	2	2	14–9	+5	17	V V P V V
4	Dinamo Batumi — Conference League	9	5	2	2	16–14	+2	17	P V V V V
5	Torpedo Kutaisi	10	4	3	3	17–10	+7	15	P V S S P
6	Dinamo Tbilisi	10	4	3	3	15–12	+3	15	V V S V V
7	Dila	10	4	2	4	12–9	+3	14	S P S V V
8	Spaeri — Relegation Playoff	9	3	3	3	15–12	+3	12	S P V P V
9	Gagra — Relegation Playoff	10	2	4	4	10–13	-3	10	S P V V P
10	Meshakhte — Relegation	9	0	5	4	4–17	-13	5	S S S S P
1	Dinamo Tbilisi — Champion	9	4	4	1	16–9	+7	16	P V P V S
2	Saburtalo — Conference League	9	5	0	4	15–10	+5	15	S V V S S
3	Torpedo Kutaisi — Conference League	9	3	3	3	13–9	+4	12	P P V V S
4	Dila — Conference League	9	4	0	5	9–10	-1	12	S V S S S
5	Gagra	9	3	3	3	8–11	-3	12	S S S V P
6	Rustavi	10	2	5	3	8–11	-3	11	P P S V S
7	Spaeri	10	2	4	4	10–13	-3	10	P S P S P
8	Dinamo Batumi — Relegation Playoff	10	2	4	4	12–16	-4	10	V P S V S
9	Samgurali — Relegation Playoff	10	2	2	6	11–23	-12	8	S S V S P
10	Meshakhte — Relegation	10	1	3	6	9–17	-8	6	S S S S S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Saburtalo	58 (40–80) pos. ~3.1°	C8 · T9 ELO 1492	▲1%
2	Rustavi	57 (35–80) pos. ~3.5°	C9 · T8 ELO 1488	▲0%
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	63 (43–82) pos. ~1.7°	C8 · T9 ELO 1485	▼1%
4	Torpedo Kutaisi	54 (33–72) pos. ~4.5°	C8 · T9 ELO 1492	▼0%
5	Dinamo Batumi	54 (34–73) pos. ~4.6°	C9 · T8 ELO 1488	▼0%
6	Dila	51 (31–70) pos. ~5.6°	C8 · T9 ELO 1490	·
7	Samgurali	46 (29–71) pos. ~7.1°	C9 · T8 ELO 1491	▲2%
8	Spaeri	46 (27–66) pos. ~7.0°	C9 · T8 ELO 1492	▼2%
9	Gagra	44 (27–63) pos. ~7.9°	C8 · T9 ELO 1492	▲1%
10	Meshakhte	21 (11–39) pos. ~10.0°	C9 · T8 ELO 1498	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
60–70%%	6	65.00%	66.7%	+1.70%
70–100%%	3	85.00%	66.7%	-18.30%

Based on 11 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Erovnuli Liga?

For Erovnuli Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Erovnuli Liga?

Accuracy for Erovnuli Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Erovnuli Liga using per-league historical data.

How are Erovnuli Liga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.