A Lyga

Lituania · Season 2026

66.70%

1X2 accuracy · 15 predictions (3 months)

League Table + end of season projections

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form	Projected Pts	Champion	Champions League	Conference League	Relegation Playoff	Relegation	Schedule
1	Kauno Žalgiris	10	8	1	1	28–5	+23	25	V S V V P	28 (25–31) pos. ~1.0°	100%	—	—	—	—	C0 · T1 ELO 1539
2	TransINVEST Vilnius	10	5	2	3	16–11	+5	17	V V S S P	21 (17–23) pos. ~2.5°	—	—	92%	—	—	C2 · T0 ELO 1472
3	Džiugas Telšiai	10	5	2	3	12–11	+1	17	S S V V P	19 (17–20) pos. ~4.0°	—	—	40%	—	—	C1 · T0 ELO 1525
4	Suduva Marijampole	10	4	4	2	13–6	+7	16	V V S V P	19 (16–22) pos. ~3.7°	—	—	47%	—	—	C1 · T1 ELO 1503
5	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	10	4	3	3	14–10	+4	15	V P P S P	18 (15–21) pos. ~4.3°	—	—	22%	—	—	C1 · T1 ELO 1498
6	Banga	10	4	2	4	12–7	+5	14	V P V P S	16 (14–17) pos. ~5.9°	—	—	—	<1%	—	C1 · T0 ELO 1507
7	Panevėžys	10	3	2	5	8–16	-8	11	S S V S V	13 (11–17) pos. ~7.3°	—	—	<1%	18%	—	C1 · T1 ELO 1491
8	Hegelmann Litauen	10	1	6	3	7–13	-6	9	S P S V P	12 (9–15) pos. ~7.7°	—	—	—	14%	—	C0 · T1 ELO 1401
9	Šiauliai	10	1	5	4	7–17	-10	8	S V S P P	10 (8–14) pos. ~8.6°	—	—	—	68%	<1%	C0 · T2 ELO 1503
10	FK Trakai	10	0	3	7	3–24	-21	3	S P P S P	4 (3–9) pos. ~10.0°	—	—	—	<1%	>99%	C1 · T1 ELO 1512

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 14 Jun 2026

Projection trend

Kauno Žalgiris

100%

Title

TransINVEST Vilnius

Relegation

Džiugas Telšiai

Relegation

Suduva Marijampole

Relegation

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Relegation

Banga

Relegation

Panevėžys

Relegation

Hegelmann Litauen

Relegation

Šiauliai

68%

+1%

Relegation Playoff

FK Trakai

100%

Relegation

Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model calibration for this league

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	4	55.00%	75.0%	+20.00%
60–70%%	8	65.00%	62.5%	-2.50%
70–100%%	3	85.00%	66.7%	-18.30%

Based on 15 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for A Lyga?

For A Lyga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for A Lyga?

Accuracy for A Lyga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for A Lyga using per-league historical data.

How are A Lyga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.