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A Lyga

Lituania · Season 2026

60.90%

1X2 accuracy · 23 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 28 of 18 156%

🏆

Champion 2026

Suduva Marijampole

Mathematically confirmed champion · 49 pts

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Suduva Marijampole — Champion	27	13	10	4	38–24	+14	49	P S V V V
2	Kauno Žalgiris — Conference League	26	13	9	4	52–17	+35	48	V V V P P
3	TransINVEST Vilnius — Conference League	27	12	6	9	40–35	+5	42	V S V P S
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	26	12	5	9	38–29	+9	41	P V S V S
5	Banga	27	10	8	9	30–28	+2	38	S S P P V
6	Džiugas Telšiai	27	10	8	9	36–38	-2	38	S P S S V
7	Panevėžys	28	9	5	14	29–43	-14	32	S V V V S
8	Hegelmann Litauen	28	4	13	11	30–47	-17	25	P S P P S
9	Šiauliai — Relegation Playoff	28	3	8	17	24–56	-32	17	P S S S V
10	FK Trakai — Relegation	0	0	0	0	0–0	+0	0	S S S S S
1	Kauno Žalgiris — Champion	16	9	4	3	38–9	+29	31	V V P V V
2	Suduva Marijampole — Conference League	14	8	6	0	23–6	+17	30	V P V V P
3	FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Conference League	14	8	1	5	27–20	+7	25	V V S V V
4	Džiugas Telšiai	15	7	3	5	21–17	+4	24	P P V S P
5	TransINVEST Vilnius	14	6	3	5	18–15	+3	21	S V S V S
6	Panevėžys	14	5	5	4	16–14	+2	20	S P P V S
7	Banga	14	5	4	5	20–18	+2	19	V S P S S
8	Hegelmann Litauen	15	2	9	4	18–21	-3	15	P S S P S
9	Šiauliai — Relegation Playoff	15	4	2	9	14–30	-16	14	S S V S P
10	FK Trakai — Relegation	7	0	2	5	2–17	-15	2	P P S S S
1	TransINVEST Vilnius — Champion	15	8	3	4	30–20	+10	27	P S V P V
2	Banga — Conference League	15	7	4	4	19–10	+9	25	V S V V P
3	Suduva Marijampole — Conference League	15	7	4	4	23–18	+5	25	V V V V S
4	Kauno Žalgiris	12	6	5	1	20–9	+11	23	P V P P V
5	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	14	5	5	4	14–11	+3	20	P V V S P
6	Džiugas Telšiai	14	5	5	4	18–21	-3	20	S P V S S
7	Panevėžys	15	5	0	10	15–30	-15	15	V S S V V
8	Hegelmann Litauen	14	2	5	7	12–26	-14	11	S V S P P
9	Šiauliai — Relegation Playoff	15	0	7	8	13–27	-14	7	S S S S S
10	FK Trakai — Relegation	9	0	1	8	3–25	-22	1	P S S S S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Suduva Marijampole	60 (50–67) pos. ~1.7°	C3 · T3 ELO 1491	▲3%
Kauno Žalgiris	62 (49–66) pos. ~1.4°	C1 · T5 ELO 1500	▼3%
TransINVEST Vilnius	49 (42–57) pos. ~3.8°	C3 · T2 ELO 1506	·
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	51 (41–62) pos. ~3.5°	C4 · T3 ELO 1515	·
Banga	44 (38–53) pos. ~5.5°	C3 · T2 ELO 1499	·
Džiugas Telšiai	43 (38–53) pos. ~5.7°	C2 · T3 ELO 1505	·
Panevėžys	41 (32–47) pos. ~6.5°	C3 · T2 ELO 1470	·
Hegelmann Litauen	28 (25–38) pos. ~8.0°	C2 · T3 ELO 1520	·
Šiauliai	21 (17–32) pos. ~9.0°	C3 · T2 ELO 1495	▼0%
FK Trakai	7 (0–15) pos. ~10.0°	C3 · T2 ELO 1488	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	11	55.00%	63.6%	+8.60%
60–70%%	19	65.00%	57.9%	-7.10%
70–100%%	8	85.00%	75.0%	-10.00%

Based on 38 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for A Lyga?

For A Lyga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for A Lyga?

Accuracy for A Lyga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for A Lyga using per-league historical data.

How are A Lyga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.