A Lyga

Lituania · Season 2026

61.10%

1X2 accuracy · 18 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 22 of 18 122%

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Kauno Žalgiris — Champion	20	9	7	4	38–15	+23	34	V V P V S
2	FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Conference League	21	10	4	7	33–24	+9	34	V V V P S
3	Suduva Marijampole — Conference League	20	8	9	3	26–17	+9	33	V P V V V
4	Džiugas Telšiai	21	9	6	6	29–23	+6	33	S V P P S
5	TransINVEST Vilnius	21	9	5	7	30–28	+2	32	V S S P V
6	Banga	20	8	6	6	22–15	+7	30	S V V V V
7	Hegelmann Litauen	22	4	10	8	25–37	-12	22	S V S P S
8	Panevėžys	20	5	4	11	18–37	-19	19	S P S V S
9	Šiauliai — Relegation Playoff	21	2	7	12	18–43	-25	13	S S S S S
10	FK Trakai — Relegation	0	0	0	0	0–0	+0	0	S S S S S
1	Suduva Marijampole — Champion	12	7	5	0	21–6	+15	26	V P V P V
2	Džiugas Telšiai — Conference League	13	7	2	4	19–13	+6	23	V S P P V
3	Kauno Žalgiris — Conference League	12	6	3	3	25–7	+18	21	P S S V V
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	11	6	1	4	22–17	+5	19	V S V V V
5	Banga	10	5	3	2	19–9	+10	18	P P P V V
6	TransINVEST Vilnius	11	5	3	3	14–11	+3	18	V V S S V
7	Panevėžys	11	4	4	3	13–12	+1	16	V S V S P
8	Hegelmann Litauen	12	2	8	2	15–15	+0	14	P P P P S
9	Šiauliai — Relegation Playoff	10	3	1	6	8–21	-13	10	V V S S S
10	FK Trakai — Relegation	7	0	2	5	2–17	-15	2	P P S S S
1	TransINVEST Vilnius — Champion	12	6	2	4	24–17	+7	20	S V V P S
2	Kauno Žalgiris — Conference League	10	5	4	1	19–9	+10	19	P S P V P
3	FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Conference League	12	5	4	3	14–9	+5	19	V S P V V
4	Banga	12	5	3	4	12–6	+6	18	S P V V S
5	Džiugas Telšiai	10	4	4	2	13–10	+3	16	V S P P S
6	Suduva Marijampole	10	3	4	3	13–11	+2	13	P P V V V
7	Hegelmann Litauen	11	2	3	6	10–22	-12	9	S S P S V
8	Šiauliai	13	0	7	6	13–23	-10	7	P S S S S
9	Panevėžys — Relegation Playoff	10	2	0	8	7–26	-19	6	S S S S S
10	FK Trakai — Relegation	9	0	1	8	3–25	-22	1	P S S S S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Kauno Žalgiris	58 (39–73) pos. ~2.5°	C6 · T7 ELO 1499	▼4%
2	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	56 (40–71) pos. ~3.1°	C7 · T6 ELO 1500	▲11%
3	Suduva Marijampole	59 (40–75) pos. ~2.3°	C6 · T8 ELO 1501	▼5%
4	Džiugas Telšiai	53 (37–69) pos. ~4.1°	C5 · T7 ELO 1491	▼1%
5	TransINVEST Vilnius	50 (35–65) pos. ~5.1°	C6 · T6 ELO 1496	·
6	Banga	53 (38–67) pos. ~4.0°	C7 · T6 ELO 1494	▼1%
7	Hegelmann Litauen	33 (22–50) pos. ~7.2°	C6 · T6 ELO 1502	·
8	Panevėžys	29 (19–45) pos. ~7.9°	C6 · T7 ELO 1503	▲0%
9	Šiauliai	21 (13–37) pos. ~9.0°	C8 · T4 ELO 1506	▼1%
10	FK Trakai	14 (0–30) pos. ~9.9°	C6 · T6 ELO 1511	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	6	55.00%	66.7%	+11.70%
60–70%%	9	65.00%	66.7%	+1.70%
70–100%%	4	85.00%	50.0%	-35.00%

Based on 19 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for A Lyga?

For A Lyga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for A Lyga?

Accuracy for A Lyga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for A Lyga using per-league historical data.

How are A Lyga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.