League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
63 (35–90)
pos. ~3.4°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1547
|
▼1% | ||
|
66 (38–94)
pos. ~2.7°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1543
|
▲0% | ||
|
57 (30–82)
pos. ~5.4°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1546
|
▲0% | ||
|
66 (37–94)
pos. ~2.5°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1535
|
▼1% | ||
|
54 (28–81)
pos. ~6.7°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1553
|
▲0% | ||
|
52 (25–76)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1543
|
▲0% | ||
|
52 (21–83)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1547
|
▼1% | ||
|
48 (23–75)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1552
|
▲0% | ||
|
43 (16–71)
pos. ~11.5°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1552
|
▲0% | ||
|
43 (15–70)
pos. ~11.6°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1550
|
· | ||
|
47 (20–78)
pos. ~9.7°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1544
|
▲0% | ||
|
39 (14–67)
pos. ~13.3°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1550
|
▼1% | ||
|
45 (16–74)
pos. ~10.9°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1543
|
▲0% | ||
|
49 (24–78)
pos. ~8.8°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1540
|
▲0% | ||
|
40 (14–73)
pos. ~13.1°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1543
|
▼0% | ||
|
35 (11–61)
pos. ~15.1°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1552
|
▲1% | ||
|
33 (9–62)
pos. ~15.7°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1549
|
▲0% | ||
|
28 (6–58)
pos. ~16.9°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1549
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 11 | 55.00% | 54.5% | -0.50% |
| 60–70%% | 7 | 65.00% | 71.4% | +6.40% |
| 70–100%% | 14 | 85.00% | 71.4% | -13.60% |
Based on 32 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Bundesliga?
For Bundesliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Bundesliga?
Accuracy for Bundesliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Bundesliga using per-league historical data.
How are Bundesliga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.