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Bundesliga

Germania · Season 2025/26

2025/26 2024/25

65.60%

1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

🏆

Champion 2025

Bayern München

Mathematically confirmed champion · 89 pts

Bracket

Final

VfL Wolfsburg 0 · 1

SC Paderborn 07 0 · 2

League Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122–36	+86	89	V V P V V
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70–34	+36	73	V V S V S
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66–47	+19	65	S V S V V
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71–49	+22	62	P V P P S
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65–52	+13	61	S V P V V
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68–47	+21	59	P S V V S
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51–57	-6	47	V S P S V
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61–65	-4	44	P S S P S
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45–61	-16	43	S V V P V
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44–53	-9	40	V S V S P
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44–58	-14	39	V V P S S
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42–53	-11	38	V S V P P
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40–54	-14	38	P V V S S
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49–63	-14	32	S S P S P
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37–60	-23	32	S S S P V
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45–69	-24	29	S P V S P
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41–72	-31	26	S V P V S
18	FC St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29–60	-31	26	S S S S P

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

H. Kane

Bayern München

D. Undav

VfB Stuttgart

S. Guirassy

Borussia Dortmund

P. Schick

Bayer Leverkusen

M. Olise

Bayern München

L. Díaz

Bayern München

A. Kramarić

1899 Hoffenheim

C. Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

H. Tabaković

Borussia Mönchengladbach

S. El Mala

1. FC Köln

👟 Assists

M. Olise

Bayern München

J. Ryerson

Borussia Dortmund

L. Díaz

Bayern München

J. Leweling

VfB Stuttgart

A. Ilić

Union Berlin

B. Touré

1899 Hoffenheim

K. Laimer

Bayern München

C. Eriksen

VfL Wolfsburg

F. Chaïbi

Eintracht Frankfurt

C. Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

🟨 Yellow cards

E. Martel

1. FC Köln

N. Remberg

Hamburger SV

D. Kohr

FSV Mainz 05

C. Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

A. Hajdari

1899 Hoffenheim

N. Capaldo

Hamburger SV

M. Friedl

Werder Bremen

K. Laimer

Bayern München

Bernardo

1899 Hoffenheim

J. Quansah

Bayer Leverkusen

Model calibration for this league

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	11	55.00%	54.5%	-0.50%
60–70%%	7	65.00%	71.4%	+6.40%
70–100%%	14	85.00%	71.4%	-13.60%

Based on 32 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve

#	Team	Goals	xG	Δ
1	Bayern München	122	99.62	+22.38
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	61	45.19	+15.81
3	1899 Hoffenheim	65	54.15	+10.85
4	VfB Stuttgart	71	60.15	+10.85
5	Borussia Dortmund	70	63.42	+6.58
6	Bayer Leverkusen	68	63.83	+4.17
7	SC Freiburg	51	48.82	+2.18
8	Borussia Mönchengladbach	42	41.84	+0.16
9	FC Augsburg	45	44.94	+0.06
10	RB Leipzig	66	66.07	-0.07
11	Hamburger SV	40	40.71	-0.71
12	Union Berlin	44	44.99	-0.99
13	FC St. Pauli	29	30.14	-1.14
14	1. FC Köln	49	51.10	-2.10
15	VfL Wolfsburg	45	47.27	-2.27
16	Werder Bremen	37	40.83	-3.83
17	1. FC Heidenheim	41	47.02	-6.02
18	FSV Mainz 05	44	52.58	-8.58

Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Bundesliga?

For Bundesliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Bundesliga?

Accuracy for Bundesliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Bundesliga using per-league historical data.

How are Bundesliga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.