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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germania  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26 2024/25
50.00%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 34 0%

League Table

18 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Bayern München — Champion 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
2 Borussia Dortmund — Champions League 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
3 RB Leipzig — Champions League 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
4 VfB Stuttgart — Champions League 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
5 1899 Hoffenheim — Europa League 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
6 Bayer Leverkusen — Conference League 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
7 SC Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
9 FC Augsburg 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
10 FSV Mainz 05 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
11 Union Berlin 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
13 Hamburger SV 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
14 1. FC Köln 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
15 Werder Bremen 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
16 FC Schalke 04 — Relegation Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
17 SV Elversberg — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
18 SC Paderborn 07 — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026
Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation
# Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
1 Bayern München
62 (32–90)
pos. ~2.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1535
▲1%
2 Borussia Dortmund
52 (24–82)
pos. ~6.8°
C17 · T17
ELO 1546
▼0%
3 RB Leipzig
49 (23–84)
pos. ~8.0°
C17 · T17
ELO 1548
▲1%
4 VfB Stuttgart
51 (22–80)
pos. ~6.9°
C17 · T17
ELO 1546
▼1%
5 1899 Hoffenheim
48 (23–76)
pos. ~8.8°
C17 · T17
ELO 1550
·
6 Bayer Leverkusen
50 (25–79)
pos. ~7.5°
C17 · T17
ELO 1547
▼1%
7 SC Freiburg
47 (18–78)
pos. ~9.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1551
▲0%
8 Eintracht Frankfurt
41 (15–69)
pos. ~12.7°
C17 · T17
ELO 1557
▲1%
9 FC Augsburg
44 (20–77)
pos. ~11.2°
C17 · T17
ELO 1554
▼0%
10 FSV Mainz 05
47 (15–75)
pos. ~9.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1551
▲0%
11 Union Berlin
42 (14–75)
pos. ~12.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1556
▼0%
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach
44 (16–72)
pos. ~11.3°
C17 · T17
ELO 1554
▼0%
13 Hamburger SV
43 (17–70)
pos. ~11.8°
C17 · T17
ELO 1555
▲1%
14 1. FC Köln
40 (16–66)
pos. ~13.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1558
▼0%
15 Werder Bremen
40 (16–67)
pos. ~13.7°
C17 · T17
ELO 1559
▼1%
16 FC Schalke 04
49 (21–81)
pos. ~7.9°
C17 · T17
ELO 1548
▼0%
17 SV Elversberg
48 (21–74)
pos. ~8.9°
C17 · T17
ELO 1550
▼0%
18 SC Paderborn 07
48 (22–77)
pos. ~8.7°
C17 · T17
ELO 1550
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 11 55.00% 54.5% -0.50%
60–70%% 7 65.00% 71.4% +6.40%
70–100%% 14 85.00% 71.4% -13.60%
Based on 32 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Bundesliga?
For Bundesliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Bundesliga?
Accuracy for Bundesliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Bundesliga using per-league historical data.
How are Bundesliga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.