Matchday 7 of 18
39%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
75 (48–96)
pos. ~1.3°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1486
|
▲0% | ||
|
67 (42–95)
pos. ~2.0°
|
C14 · T16
ELO 1484
|
▼0% | ||
|
51 (25–79)
pos. ~4.8°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1493
|
▲0% | ||
|
49 (26–83)
pos. ~5.4°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1491
|
▲0% | ||
|
50 (29–76)
pos. ~5.0°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
|
49 (23–74)
pos. ~5.4°
|
C16 · T14
ELO 1504
|
▼0% | ||
|
45 (23–71)
pos. ~6.3°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1496
|
▼0% | ||
|
44 (20–72)
pos. ~6.7°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1496
|
· | ||
|
36 (16–61)
pos. ~8.6°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1499
|
▼0% | ||
|
30 (8–56)
pos. ~9.5°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1502
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60–70%% | 7 | 65.00% | 28.6% | -36.40% |
| 70–100%% | 6 | 85.00% | 66.7% | -18.30% |
Based on 14 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Premier Liga BiH?
For Premier Liga BiH, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Premier Liga BiH?
Accuracy for Premier Liga BiH is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Premier Liga BiH using per-league historical data.
How are Premier Liga BiH season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.