League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
73 (48–94)
pos. ~1.2°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1494
|
▼1% | ||
|
57 (34–79)
pos. ~3.3°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1494
|
▼0% | ||
|
60 (37–84)
pos. ~2.8°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1498
|
▲1% | ||
|
49 (25–74)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1495
|
▲0% | ||
|
51 (26–75)
pos. ~4.8°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1494
|
▲1% | ||
|
44 (21–69)
pos. ~6.9°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1499
|
▼0% | ||
|
45 (21–69)
pos. ~6.4°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1493
|
· | ||
|
44 (18–75)
pos. ~6.7°
|
C15 · T13
ELO 1491
|
▼0% | ||
|
34 (11–60)
pos. ~9.6°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1502
|
▼1% | ||
|
33 (13–61)
pos. ~9.8°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1502
|
▼0% | ||
|
30 (9–54)
pos. ~10.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1497
|
▼0% | ||
|
30 (6–55)
pos. ~10.7°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1505
|
▲2% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 6 | 55.00% | 66.7% | +11.70% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 18 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ST Mirren
|
6 | 5.10 | +0.90 | |
| 2 |
Dundee
|
5 | 4.33 | +0.67 | |
| 3 |
Motherwell
|
5 | 5.01 | -0.01 | |
| 4 |
Hibernian
|
5 | 6.02 | -1.02 | |
| 5 |
Aberdeen
|
2 | 3.43 | -1.43 | |
| 6 |
Dundee Utd
|
1 | 2.91 | -1.91 | |
| 7 |
Rangers
|
3 | 5.13 | -2.13 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Scottish Premiership?
For Scottish Premiership, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Scottish Premiership?
Accuracy for Scottish Premiership is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Scottish Premiership using per-league historical data.
How are Scottish Premiership season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.