66.70%
1X2 accuracy · 18 predictions (3 months)
Playoff stage
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo | Champions League | Champions League (Qualification) | Conference League |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 38 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 73–41 | +32 | 82 |
V
V
V
V
V
|
— | — | — | — |
| 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67–34 | +33 | 80 |
S
V
P
V
V
|
— | — | — | — |
| 3 | Rangers | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 76–43 | +33 | 72 |
V
S
S
S
S
|
— | — | — | — |
| 4 | Motherwell | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 59–36 | +23 | 61 |
V
S
P
S
V
|
— | — | — | — |
| 5 | Hibernian | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 58–44 | +14 | 57 |
S
V
V
S
S
|
— | — | — | — |
| 6 | Falkirk | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 50–62 | -12 | 49 |
S
S
S
V
S
|
— | — | — | — |
Vincitore del titolo
Champions League
Champions League (Qualification)
Conference League
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Relegation | Playout / Spareggio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 49–60 | -11 | 45 |
P
P
S
S
V
|
— | — |
| 2 | Dundee | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42–61 | -19 | 42 |
V
S
V
V
S
|
— | — |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 40–55 | -15 | 40 |
S
S
V
P
V
|
— | — |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 50–68 | -18 | 40 |
V
V
V
V
S
|
— | — |
| 5 | ST Mirren | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30–55 | -25 | 34 |
V
P
P
V
S
|
— | — |
| 6 | Livingston | 38 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 40–75 | -35 | 21 |
S
P
S
P
V
|
— | — |
Relegation
Playout / Spareggio
Regular season
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58–28 | +30 | 70 |
V
P
V
S
V
|
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66–31 | +35 | 69 |
V
V
V
V
P
|
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59–35 | +24 | 67 |
V
V
S
V
V
|
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52–29 | +23 | 54 |
S
S
P
S
S
|
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51–37 | +14 | 51 |
S
V
P
P
P
|
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45–48 | -3 | 46 |
S
V
S
P
V
|
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45–54 | -9 | 40 |
V
S
V
P
V
|
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33–48 | -15 | 33 |
V
S
S
P
S
|
| 9 | Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34–53 | -19 | 33 |
P
S
S
P
V
|
| 10 | ST Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27–48 | -21 | 30 |
S
V
V
S
S
|
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37–65 | -28 | 28 |
P
S
V
V
S
|
| 12 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35–66 | -31 | 16 |
S
P
S
P
P
|
Promotion
Relegation Playoff
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
17
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Motherwell
2
16
B. Nygren
Celtic
3
16
L. Shankland
Heart Of Midlothian
4
15
Youssef Chermiti
Rangers
5
14
D. Maeda
Celtic
6
14
Cláudio Braga
Heart Of Midlothian
7
9
Z. Sapsford
Dundee Utd
8
9
K. Nisbet
Aberdeen
9
8
M. Emmanuel
Motherwell
10
8
K. Bowie
Hibernian
👟 Assists
1
9
C. Miller
Falkirk
2
8
K. Tierney
Celtic
3
8
C. Slattery
Motherwell
4
7
E. Just
Motherwell
5
7
N. Raskin
Rangers
6
7
G. Kiltie
Kilmarnock
7
7
A. Kyziridis
Heart Of Midlothian
8
6
D. Maeda
Celtic
9
6
W. Ferry
Dundee Utd
10
6
C. Congreve
Dundee
🟨 Yellow cards
1
13
A. Gogić
ST Mirren
2
13
B. Spencer
Falkirk
3
12
L. Scales
Celtic
4
12
R. Deas
Kilmarnock
5
10
D. Tait
Falkirk
6
10
I. Iovu
Dundee Utd
7
9
C. Halkett
Heart Of Midlothian
8
9
K. Phillips
ST Mirren
9
9
C. McGregor
Celtic
10
9
E. Hamilton
Dundee
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 6 | 55.00% | 66.7% | +11.70% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 18 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rangers
|
61 | 50.80 | +10.20 |
|
| 2 |
Hibernian
|
44 | 36.90 | +7.10 |
|
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
45 | 39.55 | +5.45 |
|
| 4 |
Celtic
|
55 | 49.62 | +5.38 |
|
| 5 |
Falkirk
|
41 | 36.91 | +4.09 |
|
| 6 |
Kilmarnock
|
39 | 35.56 | +3.44 |
|
| 7 |
Motherwell
|
42 | 39.58 | +2.42 |
|
| 8 |
Livingston
|
32 | 30.04 | +1.96 |
|
| 9 |
Dundee
|
33 | 31.08 | +1.92 |
|
| 10 |
Aberdeen
|
28 | 28.01 | -0.01 |
|
| 11 |
Dundee Utd
|
29 | 31.83 | -2.83 |
|
| 12 |
ST Mirren
|
16 | 23.71 | -7.71 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Scottish Premiership?
For Scottish Premiership, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Scottish Premiership?
Accuracy for Scottish Premiership is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Scottish Premiership using per-league historical data.
How are Scottish Premiership season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.