League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
35 (10–61)
pos. ~4.4°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1518
|
▲11% | ||
| 2 |
35 (13–55)
pos. ~4.6°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1519
|
▼8% | ||
| 3 |
35 (15–56)
pos. ~4.4°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1523
|
▲8% | ||
| 4 |
36 (11–59)
pos. ~4.1°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1513
|
▲11% | ||
| 5 |
30 (10–55)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1528
|
▲4% | ||
| 6 |
26 (6–48)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1536
|
▲4% | ||
| 7 |
27 (7–50)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1536
|
▲3% | ||
| 8 |
23 (4–48)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1533
|
▲14% | ||
| 9 |
32 (12–55)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1511
|
▼7% | ||
| 10 |
29 (6–52)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1526
|
▲1% | ||
| 11 |
33 (8–55)
pos. ~5.6°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1516
|
▼3% | ||
| 12 |
28 (8–49)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1522
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 8 | 55.00% | 75.0% | +20.00% |
| 60–70%% | 7 | 65.00% | 71.4% | +6.40% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 66.7% | -18.30% |
Based on 18 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Super League?
For Super League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Super League?
Accuracy for Super League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Super League using per-league historical data.
How are Super League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.