I Liga

Polonia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

Matchday 8 of 34 24%

League Table

18 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	ŁKS Łódź — Champion	8	4	3	1	13–7	+6	15	V P P V V
2	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Promotion	8	4	3	1	13–8	+5	15	S V P P P
3	Miedz Legnica — Promotion Playoff	8	4	2	2	12–6	+6	14	S P V V V
4	Nieciecza — Promotion Playoff	8	4	1	3	13–12	+1	13	V V P S S
5	Chrobry Głogów — Promotion Playoff	8	3	3	2	11–6	+5	12	P P V S P
6	Warta Poznań — Promotion Playoff	8	4	0	4	14–11	+3	12	V S S V S
7	Polonia Warszawa	8	3	2	3	13–12	+1	11	P S S V S
8	Arka Gdynia	8	3	2	3	10–9	+1	11	S P P S V
9	Ruch Chorzów	8	3	2	3	9–11	-2	11	P V S V V
10	Stal Rzeszów	8	3	2	3	7–13	-6	11	V V V S P
11	Lechia Gdansk	8	3	1	4	10–14	-4	10	V S V V S
12	Pogoń Siedlce	7	2	3	2	7–6	+1	9	P V S V P
13	Odra Opole	8	2	3	3	7–8	-1	9	S P P P V
14	Stal Mielec	8	2	3	3	13–16	-3	9	S P S S V
15	Unia Skierniewice	8	3	0	5	9–14	-5	9	V S S V S
16	Polonia Bytom — Relegation	8	1	5	2	14–17	-3	8	P P P P S
17	Podbeskidzie — Relegation	8	0	7	1	11–13	-2	7	P P S P P
18	Puszcza Niepołomice — Relegation	7	2	0	5	6–9	-3	6	S V S S V
1	ŁKS Łódź — Champion	4	3	0	1	9–4	+5	9	V S V V
2	Arka Gdynia — Promotion	4	2	2	0	9–2	+7	8	V V P P
3	Miedz Legnica — Promotion Playoff	5	2	2	1	6–4	+2	8	P S V V P
4	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Promotion Playoff	4	2	2	0	5–3	+2	8	V P P V
5	Pogoń Siedlce — Promotion Playoff	4	2	1	1	5–3	+2	7	P S V V
6	Ruch Chorzów — Promotion Playoff	4	2	1	1	7–6	+1	7	S V V P
7	Stal Mielec	5	1	3	1	11–9	+2	6	P P V P S
8	Polonia Bytom	4	1	3	0	8–7	+1	6	V P P P
9	Puszcza Niepołomice	5	2	0	3	6–5	+1	6	S V S V S
10	Nieciecza	4	2	0	2	6–6	+0	6	V S S V
11	Unia Skierniewice	5	2	0	3	6–8	-2	6	S V S S V
12	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	0	2	3–7	-4	6	S S V V
13	Polonia Warszawa	4	1	2	1	8–8	+0	5	V P S P
14	Chrobry Głogów	5	1	2	2	3–3	+0	5	S P S V P
15	Odra Opole	4	1	1	2	3–3	+0	4	S V P S
16	Warta Poznań — Relegation	1	1	0	0	3–0	+3	3	V
17	Stal Rzeszów — Relegation	3	1	0	2	3–7	-4	3	S S V
18	Podbeskidzie — Relegation	2	0	2	0	3–3	+0	2	P P
1	Warta Poznań — Champion	7	3	0	4	11–11	+0	9	V S V S S
2	Stal Rzeszów — Promotion	5	2	2	1	4–6	-2	8	S P P V V
3	Chrobry Głogów — Promotion Playoff	3	2	1	0	8–3	+5	7	V V P
4	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Promotion Playoff	4	2	1	1	8–5	+3	7	V V P S
5	Nieciecza — Promotion Playoff	4	2	1	1	7–6	+1	7	V S P V
6	Miedz Legnica — Promotion Playoff	3	2	0	1	6–2	+4	6	V V S
7	Polonia Warszawa	4	2	0	2	5–4	+1	6	V S V S
8	ŁKS Łódź	4	1	3	0	4–3	+1	6	P P P V
9	Odra Opole	4	1	2	1	4–5	-1	5	V S P P
10	Podbeskidzie	6	0	5	1	8–10	-2	5	P P S P P
11	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	7–7	+0	4	P S V S
12	Ruch Chorzów	4	1	1	2	2–5	-3	4	S P V S
13	Unia Skierniewice	3	1	0	2	3–6	-3	3	S V S
14	Stal Mielec	3	1	0	2	2–7	-5	3	V S S
15	Arka Gdynia	4	1	0	3	1–7	-6	3	V S S S
16	Pogoń Siedlce — Relegation	3	0	2	1	2–3	-1	2	P S P
17	Polonia Bytom — Relegation	4	0	2	2	6–10	-4	2	S S P P
18	Puszcza Niepołomice — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–4	-4	0	S S

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
ŁKS Łódź	60 (31–86) pos. ~2.9°	C13 · T13 ELO 1495	▼1%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	56 (33–83) pos. ~4.2°	C13 · T13 ELO 1497	▲1%
Miedz Legnica	59 (34–80) pos. ~3.4°	C13 · T13 ELO 1492	▼2%
Nieciecza	50 (29–75) pos. ~7.4°	C13 · T13 ELO 1496	▲2%
Chrobry Głogów	56 (30–80) pos. ~4.6°	C13 · T13 ELO 1491	▼0%
Warta Poznań	53 (27–76) pos. ~5.6°	C14 · T12 ELO 1494	▲1%
Polonia Warszawa	48 (24–70) pos. ~8.8°	C13 · T13 ELO 1500	▲0%
Arka Gdynia	47 (26–72) pos. ~9.1°	C13 · T13 ELO 1497	▲0%
Ruch Chorzów	45 (23–70) pos. ~10.3°	C13 · T13 ELO 1495	▲0%
Stal Rzeszów	39 (15–62) pos. ~13.9°	C13 · T13 ELO 1500	▼1%
Lechia Gdansk	42 (16–66) pos. ~12.4°	C13 · T13 ELO 1495	▼4%
Pogoń Siedlce	45 (20–68) pos. ~10.6°	C13 · T14 ELO 1497	▼1%
Odra Opole	43 (20–66) pos. ~11.6°	C13 · T13 ELO 1497	▼1%
Stal Mielec	40 (16–62) pos. ~13.3°	C13 · T13 ELO 1501	▲19%
Unia Skierniewice	38 (17–68) pos. ~14.2°	C12 · T14 ELO 1499	▼2%
Polonia Bytom	41 (19–67) pos. ~12.5°	C13 · T13 ELO 1496	▲0%
Podbeskidzie	42 (21–68) pos. ~12.0°	C15 · T11 ELO 1496	▼1%
Puszcza Niepołomice	38 (15–66) pos. ~14.1°	C12 · T15 ELO 1496	▼1%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Recent results

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	7	55.00%	85.7%	+30.70%
60–70%%	10	65.00%	60.0%	-5.00%
70–100%%	4	85.00%	75.0%	-10.00%

Based on 21 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for I Liga?

For I Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for I Liga?

Accuracy for I Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for I Liga using per-league historical data.

How are I Liga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.