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Polonia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

70.60%

1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 2 of 34 6%

League Table

18 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	ŁKS Łódź — Champion	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4	V P
2	Chrobry Głogów — Promotion	1	1	0	0	5–1	+4	3	V
3	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	3–0	+3	3	V
4	Nieciecza — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
5	Stal Mielec — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
6	Arka Gdynia — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
7	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
8	Polonia Bytom	2	1	0	1	5–5	+0	3	S V
9	Miedz Legnica	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
10	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
11	Podbeskidzie	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
12	Warta Poznań	1	0	0	1	3–4	-1	0	S
13	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
14	Puszcza Niepołomice	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
15	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
16	Ruch Chorzów — Relegation	1	0	0	1	0–2	-2	0	S
17	Lechia Gdansk — Relegation	1	0	0	1	0–3	-3	0	S
18	Stal Rzeszów — Relegation	1	0	0	1	1–5	-4	0	S
1	Nieciecza — Champion	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
2	Polonia Bytom — Promotion	1	1	0	0	4–3	+1	3	V
3	ŁKS Łódź — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
4	Pogoń Siedlce — Promotion Playoff	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
5	Miedz Legnica — Promotion Playoff	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
6	Unia Skierniewice — Promotion Playoff	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
7	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
8	Puszcza Niepołomice	1	0	0	1	0–1	-1	0	S
9	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	0–3	-3	0	S
10	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	1–5	-4	0	S
1	Chrobry Głogów — Champion	1	1	0	0	5–1	+4	3	V
2	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Promotion	1	1	0	0	3–0	+3	3	V
3	Stal Mielec — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
4	Arka Gdynia — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
5	Polonia Warszawa — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	1–0	+1	3	V
6	ŁKS Łódź — Promotion Playoff	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
7	Podbeskidzie	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
8	Warta Poznań	1	0	0	1	3–4	-1	0	S
9	Polonia Bytom	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
10	Ruch Chorzów	1	0	0	1	0–2	-2	0	S

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	ŁKS Łódź	52 (23–81) pos. ~7.0°	C16 · T16 ELO 1488	▲1%
2	Chrobry Głogów	56 (19–85) pos. ~4.7°	C17 · T16 ELO 1489	▼1%
3	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	50 (25–82) pos. ~8.1°	C17 · T16 ELO 1493	▲0%
4	Nieciecza	52 (25–81) pos. ~6.7°	C16 · T17 ELO 1491	▲0%
5	Stal Mielec	52 (24–80) pos. ~6.9°	C18 · T15 ELO 1489	▲0%
6	Arka Gdynia	50 (22–78) pos. ~8.3°	C17 · T16 ELO 1493	▼0%
7	Polonia Warszawa	53 (27–79) pos. ~6.4°	C17 · T16 ELO 1487	▲0%
8	Polonia Bytom	50 (24–78) pos. ~7.8°	C16 · T16 ELO 1488	▼0%
9	Miedz Legnica	47 (22–73) pos. ~9.5°	C16 · T17 ELO 1488	▲0%
10	Pogoń Siedlce	43 (14–73) pos. ~11.9°	C16 · T17 ELO 1492	▲0%
11	Podbeskidzie	48 (18–77) pos. ~9.1°	C17 · T16 ELO 1488	▼0%
12	Warta Poznań	46 (15–73) pos. ~10.4°	C17 · T15 ELO 1491	▼5%
13	Unia Skierniewice	44 (15–75) pos. ~11.6°	C16 · T17 ELO 1489	▼0%
14	Puszcza Niepołomice	47 (19–76) pos. ~9.8°	C16 · T17 ELO 1487	▼0%
15	Odra Opole	43 (14–76) pos. ~11.9°	C16 · T17 ELO 1493	▲0%
16	Ruch Chorzów	46 (14–77) pos. ~10.1°	C17 · T16 ELO 1489	▼0%
17	Lechia Gdansk	36 (12–69) pos. ~15.6°	C15 · T17 ELO 1494	▲7%
18	Stal Rzeszów	36 (12–63) pos. ~15.3°	C15 · T18 ELO 1493	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Recent results

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	7	55.00%	85.7%	+30.70%
60–70%%	10	65.00%	60.0%	-5.00%
70–100%%	4	85.00%	75.0%	-10.00%

Based on 21 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for I Liga?

For I Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for I Liga?

Accuracy for I Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for I Liga using per-league historical data.

How are I Liga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.