Matchday 9 of 30
30%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
62 (39–80)
pos. ~1.4°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1514
|
· | ||
|
54 (31–74)
pos. ~3.2°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1510
|
▼0% | ||
|
55 (34–76)
pos. ~2.7°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1510
|
▲0% | ||
|
43 (22–65)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
|
46 (24–69)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1527
|
▲0% | ||
|
41 (22–62)
pos. ~8.6°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1523
|
▼1% | ||
|
40 (19–62)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1526
|
▲4% | ||
|
41 (21–66)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C10 · T12
ELO 1517
|
▼17% | ||
|
42 (17–62)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1525
|
▼1% | ||
|
37 (18–62)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1526
|
▲1% | ||
|
38 (17–61)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1519
|
▼1% | ||
|
40 (17–62)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C12 · T10
ELO 1521
|
▼1% | ||
|
35 (16–55)
pos. ~11.6°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1514
|
▲20% | ||
|
38 (17–59)
pos. ~10.3°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1521
|
▼2% | ||
|
29 (11–52)
pos. ~13.9°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1513
|
▼1% | ||
|
17 (1–36)
pos. ~15.9°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1528
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 5 | 55.00% | 60.0% | +5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 62.5% | -2.50% |
Based on 13 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga 1?
For Liga 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga 1?
Accuracy for Liga 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga 1 using per-league historical data.
How are Liga 1 season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.