Matchday 2 of 30
7%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
49 (17–75)
pos. ~4.6°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1541
|
▼3% | ||
| 2 |
42 (16–67)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1540
|
▼0% | ||
| 3 |
43 (16–70)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1539
|
▼1% | ||
| 4 |
49 (24–74)
pos. ~4.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1533
|
▲17% | ||
| 5 |
45 (17–70)
pos. ~6.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1537
|
▼1% | ||
| 6 |
39 (15–63)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1539
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
46 (19–71)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1538
|
▼2% | ||
| 8 |
43 (17–72)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1535
|
▼1% | ||
| 9 |
37 (14–66)
pos. ~11.3°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1545
|
▲0% | ||
| 10 |
48 (23–72)
pos. ~4.8°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1532
|
▼4% | ||
| 11 |
44 (19–73)
pos. ~6.9°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1532
|
▼2% | ||
| 12 |
38 (16–65)
pos. ~10.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1543
|
▲1% | ||
| 13 |
36 (12–62)
pos. ~11.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1542
|
▼2% | ||
| 14 |
36 (15–60)
pos. ~11.8°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1537
|
▲0% | ||
| 15 |
38 (15–63)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1534
|
▲15% | ||
| 16 |
32 (10–61)
pos. ~13.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1540
|
▼1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 5 | 55.00% | 60.0% | +5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 62.5% | -2.50% |
Based on 13 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga 1?
For Liga 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga 1?
Accuracy for Liga 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga 1 using per-league historical data.
How are Liga 1 season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.