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Cymru Premier

Galles · Season 2026

2026 2025

53.80%

1X2 accuracy · 13 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 8 of 30 27%

League Table

16 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	The New Saints — Playoff	8	7	1	0	19–3	+16	22	V V V V V
2	Barry Town — Playoff	8	7	0	1	21–9	+12	21	V S V V V
3	Caernarfon Town — Playoff	8	6	0	2	23–9	+14	18	V V S V V
4	Penybont — Playoff	8	5	3	0	12–5	+7	18	V V P P V
5	GAP Connah S Quay FC — Playoff	8	5	1	2	19–7	+12	16	S P V V V
6	Llandudno — Playoff	8	5	0	3	16–11	+5	15	S V S V S
7	Cardiff MET	8	4	2	2	19–10	+9	14	P P V V S
8	Colwyn Bay	8	4	1	3	10–12	-2	13	V S V S V
9	Airbus UK	8	4	0	4	13–11	+2	12	S V V S S
10	Cambrian & Clydach	8	3	3	2	12–11	+1	12	V P P S V
11	Haverfordwest County AFC — Relegation Playoff	8	2	1	5	6–14	-8	7	V P V S S
12	Briton Ferry — Relegation Playoff	8	2	1	5	6–15	-9	7	S S S S V
13	Flint Town United — Relegation Playoff	8	0	2	6	7–15	-8	2	P S S P S
14	Trefelin — Relegation Playoff	8	0	2	6	3–19	-16	2	S P S P S
15	Ammanford AFC — Relegation Playoff	8	0	2	6	4–21	-17	2	S S S P S
16	Holywell — Relegation Playoff	8	0	1	7	11–29	-18	1	S P S S S
1	The New Saints — Playoff	11	10	0	1	23–6	+17	30	V V V V V
2	Barry Town — Playoff	11	8	1	2	21–9	+12	25	P V V V V
3	Colwyn Bay — Playoff	11	6	2	3	16–11	+5	20	P V V V V
4	Haverfordwest County AFC — Playoff	11	6	0	5	19–15	+4	18	S S S V V
5	GAP Connah S Quay FC — Playoff	10	4	4	2	20–10	+10	16	P S V V P
6	Penybont — Playoff	11	3	6	2	8–7	+1	15	V P V P V
7	Caernarfon Town	10	4	1	5	18–17	+1	13	V S V S V
8	Briton Ferry	8	4	1	3	11–12	-1	13	P V V S S
9	Llandudno	4	4	0	0	10–3	+7	12	V V V V
10	Cardiff MET	9	3	3	3	16–16	+0	12	P V S V P
11	Cambrian & Clydach — Relegation Playoff	4	2	2	0	6–4	+2	8	P V P V
12	Airbus UK — Relegation Playoff	4	2	0	2	8–6	+2	6	S V V S
13	Bala Town — Relegation Playoff	5	1	2	2	6–7	-1	5	S P P V S
14	Flint Town United — Relegation Playoff	10	0	4	6	7–16	-9	4	S S S S P
15	Holywell — Relegation Playoff	4	0	1	3	6–12	-6	1	S S S P
16	Trefelin — Relegation Playoff	4	0	1	3	1–8	-7	1	S S P S
17	Ammanford AFC	4	0	1	3	2–14	-12	1	P S S S
18	llanelli AFC	6	0	0	6	1–13	-12	0	S S S S S
1	The New Saints — Playoff	9	8	1	0	21–4	+17	25	V P V V V
2	Caernarfon Town — Playoff	9	5	2	2	19–9	+10	17	V V V V V
3	Briton Ferry — Playoff	11	5	2	4	12–12	+0	17	P S V S S
4	Barry Town — Playoff	10	5	1	4	17–13	+4	16	V V V V S
5	GAP Connah S Quay FC — Playoff	10	4	3	3	17–13	+4	15	S V V V S
6	Flint Town United — Playoff	10	4	3	3	16–15	+1	15	P S S P S
7	Haverfordwest County AFC	10	4	2	4	8–9	-1	14	P S S S P
8	Penybont	11	4	2	5	11–17	-6	14	P V V P V
9	Cardiff MET	10	3	4	3	14–10	+4	13	S V S V P
10	Colwyn Bay	10	2	3	5	7–16	-9	9	P P S S S
11	Bala Town — Relegation Playoff	7	2	1	4	13–10	+3	7	S S P S V
12	Airbus UK — Relegation Playoff	4	2	0	2	5–5	+0	6	V S S V
13	llanelli AFC — Relegation Playoff	6	1	2	3	5–16	-11	5	S P P V S
14	Cambrian & Clydach — Relegation Playoff	4	1	1	2	6–7	-1	4	S V S P
15	Llandudno — Relegation Playoff	4	1	0	3	6–8	-2	3	V S S S
16	Ammanford AFC — Relegation Playoff	4	0	1	3	2–7	-5	1	S S P S
17	Trefelin	4	0	1	3	2–11	-9	1	S S S P
18	Holywell	4	0	0	4	5–17	-12	0	S S S S

Playoff Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Playoff Relegation Playoff

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
The New Saints	70 (40–86) pos. ~1.4°	C11 · T11 ELO 1510	·
Barry Town	63 (42–85) pos. ~2.6°	C11 · T11 ELO 1511	▲0%
Caernarfon Town	60 (38–79) pos. ~3.6°	C11 · T11 ELO 1519	▲1%
Penybont	55 (33–75) pos. ~5.1°	C11 · T11 ELO 1516	▲2%
GAP Connah S Quay FC	56 (30–77) pos. ~4.5°	C11 · T11 ELO 1519	▼1%
Llandudno	49 (26–70) pos. ~7.0°	C11 · T11 ELO 1520	▼4%
Cardiff MET	51 (29–72) pos. ~6.1°	C11 · T11 ELO 1517	▲0%
Colwyn Bay	43 (20–66) pos. ~8.7°	C11 · T11 ELO 1512	▲0%
Airbus UK	45 (25–66) pos. ~8.2°	C11 · T11 ELO 1515	▼1%
Cambrian & Clydach	45 (22–67) pos. ~8.2°	C11 · T11 ELO 1518	▲2%
Haverfordwest County AFC	30 (11–51) pos. ~11.9°	C10 · T12 ELO 1513	▲1%
Briton Ferry	29 (13–54) pos. ~12.0°	C12 · T10 ELO 1517	▲1%
Flint Town United	26 (4–47) pos. ~12.9°	C11 · T11 ELO 1517	▲0%
Trefelin	19 (4–38) pos. ~14.7°	C11 · T11 ELO 1520	▲0%
Ammanford AFC	19 (3–40) pos. ~14.7°	C11 · T11 ELO 1517	·
Holywell	19 (3–47) pos. ~14.6°	C11 · T11 ELO 1513	▲0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Haverfordwest County AFC

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	9	55.00%	44.4%	-10.60%
60–70%%	4	65.00%	50.0%	-15.00%

Based on 15 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Cymru Premier?

For Cymru Premier, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Cymru Premier?

Accuracy for Cymru Premier is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Cymru Premier using per-league historical data.

How are Cymru Premier season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.