50.00%
1X2 accuracy · 16 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 1 of 36
3%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
57 (25–85)
pos. ~6.1°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
| 2 |
55 (29–82)
pos. ~7.1°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1501
|
▲1% | ||
| 3 |
53 (23–81)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1502
|
▲1% | ||
| 4 |
62 (33–88)
pos. ~3.9°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1494
|
· | ||
| 5 |
58 (32–84)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1494
|
▼1% | ||
| 6 |
60 (34–90)
pos. ~4.9°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1495
|
▼0% | ||
| 7 |
52 (24–81)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1500
|
▼1% | ||
| 8 |
54 (23–85)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1500
|
▲0% | ||
| 9 |
46 (18–76)
pos. ~12.5°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
| 10 |
49 (19–74)
pos. ~10.8°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
| 11 |
50 (22–78)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C18 · T18
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
| 12 |
46 (18–77)
pos. ~12.4°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
| 13 |
45 (19–79)
pos. ~12.6°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
| 14 |
46 (19–73)
pos. ~12.5°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
| 15 |
55 (29–83)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1492
|
· | ||
| 16 |
43 (18–78)
pos. ~13.8°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1503
|
· | ||
| 17 |
44 (18–79)
pos. ~13.3°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
| 18 |
33 (8–60)
pos. ~17.8°
|
C18 · T17
ELO 1508
|
· | ||
| 19 |
42 (17–76)
pos. ~14.6°
|
C17 · T18
ELO 1502
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 8 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 5 | 65.00% | 40.0% | -25.00% |
| 70–100%% | 11 | 85.00% | 54.5% | -30.50% |
Based on 24 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Regionalliga - Bayern?
For Regionalliga - Bayern, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Regionalliga - Bayern?
Accuracy for Regionalliga - Bayern is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Regionalliga - Bayern using per-league historical data.
How are Regionalliga - Bayern season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.