Matchday 8 of 36
22%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
74 (49–98)
pos. ~1.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1504
|
▲2% | ||
|
62 (35–85)
pos. ~4.9°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1503
|
▼1% | ||
|
60 (34–85)
pos. ~5.4°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1497
|
▼0% | ||
|
65 (38–90)
pos. ~3.7°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1492
|
▼0% | ||
|
57 (33–83)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
|
63 (38–90)
pos. ~4.4°
|
C15 · T13
ELO 1505
|
· | ||
|
58 (30–84)
pos. ~6.5°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1494
|
· | ||
|
45 (22–70)
pos. ~12.4°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
|
44 (22–73)
pos. ~12.9°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1505
|
· | ||
|
42 (21–65)
pos. ~13.7°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1505
|
· | ||
|
50 (25–75)
pos. ~9.7°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1507
|
· | ||
|
50 (26–81)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1503
|
· | ||
|
39 (18–70)
pos. ~15.2°
|
C14 · T13
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
50 (26–77)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1491
|
· | ||
|
49 (21–75)
pos. ~10.5°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
|
40 (17–66)
pos. ~14.5°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1509
|
· | ||
|
42 (17–71)
pos. ~14.0°
|
C15 · T13
ELO 1504
|
· | ||
|
39 (14–62)
pos. ~15.3°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
24 (5–48)
pos. ~18.8°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1508
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 8 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 5 | 65.00% | 40.0% | -25.00% |
| 70–100%% | 11 | 85.00% | 54.5% | -30.50% |
Based on 24 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Regionalliga - Bayern?
For Regionalliga - Bayern, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Regionalliga - Bayern?
Accuracy for Regionalliga - Bayern is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Regionalliga - Bayern using per-league historical data.
How are Regionalliga - Bayern season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.