Veikkausliiga
Finlandia
· Season 2026
57.70%
1X2 accuracy · 26 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 22 of 22
100%
Playoff stage + end of season projections
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS — Vincitore del titolo | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 39–24 | +15 | 45 |
P
P
S
S
V
|
51.14% |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 30–18 | +12 | 42 |
S
V
P
V
P
|
26.11% |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38–28 | +10 | 41 |
P
V
V
S
V
|
16.45% |
| 4 | Gnistan | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39–31 | +8 | 40 |
V
P
P
V
V
|
6.13% |
| 5 | VPS | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30–22 | +8 | 36 |
V
S
V
S
V
|
<1% |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26–28 | -2 | 34 |
S
S
P
V
S
|
<1% |
Vincitore del titolo
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
15 Sep 2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahti — Vincitore del titolo | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29–23 | +6 | 35 |
S
V
V
V
S
|
69.34% |
| 2 | Turku PS | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28–24 | +4 | 32 |
S
P
P
P
V
|
24.29% |
| 3 | Ilves | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 39–38 | +1 | 31 |
V
V
S
S
S
|
6.37% |
| 4 | SJK | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26–34 | -8 | 21 |
P
P
P
S
S
|
— |
| 5 | Mariehamn | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19–45 | -26 | 17 |
V
S
V
V
V
|
— |
| 6 | FF Jaro | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19–47 | -28 | 16 |
P
S
S
S
S
|
— |
Vincitore del titolo
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
15 Sep 2026
Regular season
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Schedule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS — Playoff | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38–23 | +15 | 43 |
S
S
V
P
V
|
C4
·
T4
ELO 1526
|
| 2 | Inter Turku — Playoff | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29–16 | +13 | 42 |
V
P
V
P
V
|
C4
·
T4
ELO 1516
|
| 3 | HJK Helsinki — Playoff | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36–27 | +9 | 37 |
V
S
V
V
S
|
C4
·
T4
ELO 1514
|
| 4 | Gnistan — Playoff | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36–29 | +7 | 36 |
P
V
V
P
S
|
C4
·
T4
ELO 1543
|
| 5 | AC Oulu — Playoff | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25–25 | +0 | 34 |
P
V
S
S
V
|
C4
·
T4
ELO 1558
|
| 6 | VPS — Playoff | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29–22 | +7 | 33 |
S
V
S
V
S
|
C4
·
T4
ELO 1543
|
| 7 | Lahti — Relegation Playoff | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26–19 | +7 | 32 |
V
V
S
P
V
|
C2
·
T1
ELO 1463
|
| 8 | Turku PS — Relegation Playoff | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28–23 | +5 | 31 |
P
P
V
P
V
|
C2
·
T1
ELO 1476
|
| 9 | Ilves — Relegation Playoff | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34–37 | -3 | 25 |
S
S
S
V
S
|
C1
·
T2
ELO 1467
|
| 10 | SJK — Relegation Playoff | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25–33 | -8 | 19 |
P
S
S
P
V
|
C2
·
T1
ELO 1481
|
| 11 | FF Jaro — Relegation Playoff | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18–44 | -26 | 15 |
S
S
S
S
S
|
C1
·
T2
ELO 1478
|
| 12 | Mariehamn — Relegation Playoff | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17–43 | -26 | 14 |
V
V
V
S
S
|
C1
·
T2
ELO 1465
|
Playoff
Relegation Playoff
Upcoming matches
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
6
T. Hytönen
Ilves
2
5
J. Moreno
KuPS
3
5
L. Smyth
VPS
4
5
H. Sjögrell
FF Jaro
5
4
M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
6
4
J. Kanga
Ilves
7
3
T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
8
3
Martim Ferreira
Lahti
9
3
A. Akinyemi
Gnistan
10
3
A. Muzaci
Turku PS
👟 Assists
1
5
J. Kilo
Ilves
2
3
J. Kanga
Ilves
3
3
F. Østigård Ness
FF Jaro
4
3
Tòfol Montiel
Lahti
5
3
E. Turkki
Turku PS
6
2
T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
7
2
P. Pennanen
KuPS
8
2
J. Körkkö
AC Oulu
9
2
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
10
2
Y. Cassubie
Lahti
🟨 Yellow cards
1
8
Kelvin Pires
SJK
2
8
R. Yapi
Lahti
3
8
E. Patut
Mariehamn
4
8
A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
5
7
Tòfol Montiel
Lahti
6
7
M. Kirilov
HJK Helsinki
7
6
J. Pirinen
AC Oulu
8
6
Y. Cassubie
Lahti
9
6
R. Sans
Lahti
10
6
E. Arko-Mensah
Gnistan
🟥 Red cards
1
1
M. Ogungbaro
FF Jaro
2
1
B. Armah
KuPS
3
1
V. Tikkanen
HJK Helsinki
4
1
I. Kangasniemi
Inter Turku
5
1
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
VPS
6
1
B. Magassa
KuPS
7
1
J. Lietsa
AC Oulu
8
1
R. Paunio
SJK
9
1
M. Haukioja
VPS
10
1
K. Visser
Turku PS
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 10 | 55.00% | 30.0% | -25.00% |
| 60–70%% | 10 | 65.00% | 60.0% | -5.00% |
| 70–100%% | 6 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 26 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ilves
|
8 | 5.28 | +2.72 |
|
| 2 |
Inter Turku
|
5 | 4.68 | +0.32 |
|
| 3 |
Mariehamn
|
3 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
|
| 4 |
FF Jaro
|
4 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
|
| 5 |
Lahti
|
4 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
|
| 6 |
VPS
|
3 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Veikkausliiga?
For Veikkausliiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Veikkausliiga?
Accuracy for Veikkausliiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Veikkausliiga using per-league historical data.
How are Veikkausliiga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.