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Veikkausliiga

Veikkausliiga

Finlandia  · Season 2026
63.20%
1X2 accuracy · 19 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 17 of 22 77%

League Table

12 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 KuPS — Playoff 17 10 6 1 32–16 +16 36
V V V V V
2 Inter Turku — Playoff 17 8 7 2 24–14 +10 31
S P V P P
3 HJK Helsinki — Playoff 17 8 4 5 28–20 +8 28
V V S S V
4 Gnistan — Playoff 17 8 4 5 27–21 +6 28
V V V S P
5 VPS — Playoff 17 7 6 4 24–16 +8 27
S S V V P
6 AC Oulu — Playoff 17 8 3 6 21–21 +0 27
P S S P S
7 Lahti — Relegation Playoff 17 6 4 7 20–16 +4 22
S V V V P
8 Turku PS — Relegation Playoff 17 6 4 7 20–20 +0 22
S S V S V
9 Ilves — Relegation Playoff 17 6 4 7 29–30 -1 22
V V S P S
10 FF Jaro — Relegation Playoff 17 3 6 8 17–33 -16 15
V P V S P
11 SJK — Relegation Playoff 17 3 5 9 19–27 -8 14
S S S V P
12 Mariehamn — Relegation Playoff 17 0 5 12 9–36 -27 5
P S S S S
1 KuPS — Playoff 9 6 3 0 18–9 +9 21
V V P V V
2 Turku PS — Playoff 9 6 1 2 15–9 +6 19
V S V V S
3 VPS — Playoff 8 5 3 0 17–6 +11 18
V P V V V
4 HJK Helsinki — Playoff 9 5 2 2 13–11 +2 17
V P S V V
5 Ilves — Playoff 8 5 1 2 14–8 +6 16
V V V P V
6 Gnistan — Playoff 8 5 1 2 17–13 +4 16
V V V P V
7 Inter Turku — Relegation Playoff 9 4 4 1 10–6 +4 16
V V P P S
8 AC Oulu — Relegation Playoff 7 5 1 1 9–5 +4 16
V V V P S
9 Lahti — Relegation Playoff 9 4 3 2 14–8 +6 15
V S P V V
10 FF Jaro — Relegation Playoff 9 3 4 2 13–12 +1 13
S P V P V
11 SJK — Relegation Playoff 8 2 2 4 10–11 -1 8
S S S V S
12 Mariehamn — Relegation Playoff 9 0 4 5 5–17 -12 4
S S S S P
1 KuPS — Playoff 8 4 3 1 14–7 +7 15
P P V V V
2 Inter Turku — Playoff 8 4 3 1 14–8 +6 15
V P P V P
3 Gnistan — Playoff 9 3 3 3 10–8 +2 12
V P S V V
4 HJK Helsinki — Playoff 8 3 2 3 15–9 +6 11
S S V V S
5 AC Oulu — Playoff 10 3 2 5 12–16 -4 11
V P S S P
6 VPS — Playoff 9 2 3 4 7–10 -3 9
S V P S S
7 Lahti — Relegation Playoff 8 2 1 5 6–8 -2 7
S S P V S
8 Ilves — Relegation Playoff 9 1 3 5 15–22 -7 6
P S S S V
9 SJK — Relegation Playoff 9 1 3 5 9–16 -7 6
V P P S S
10 Turku PS — Relegation Playoff 8 0 3 5 5–11 -6 3
S S P S S
11 FF Jaro — Relegation Playoff 8 0 2 6 4–21 -17 2
S S S S S
12 Mariehamn — Relegation Playoff 8 0 1 7 4–19 -15 1
S S S S S
Playoff Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Playoff Relegation Playoff
# Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
1 KuPS
46 (37–51)
pos. ~1.1°
C2 · T3
ELO 1494
·
2 Inter Turku
39 (31–46)
pos. ~3.1°
C2 · T3
ELO 1514
▼1%
3 HJK Helsinki
37 (28–43)
pos. ~3.8°
C2 · T3
ELO 1491
▲7%
4 Gnistan
36 (28–43)
pos. ~4.2°
C3 · T2
ELO 1534
▲12%
5 VPS
36 (27–42)
pos. ~4.2°
C3 · T2
ELO 1515
▼3%
6 AC Oulu
33 (27–42)
pos. ~5.8°
C4 · T1
ELO 1525
▲14%
7 Lahti
29 (22–37)
pos. ~7.8°
C2 · T3
ELO 1525
▲10%
8 Turku PS
28 (22–37)
pos. ~8.3°
C2 · T3
ELO 1513
▲7%
9 Ilves
30 (22–37)
pos. ~7.1°
C3 · T2
ELO 1483
▼17%
10 FF Jaro
20 (15–30)
pos. ~10.5°
C2 · T3
ELO 1482
·
11 SJK
21 (14–29)
pos. ~10.4°
C3 · T2
ELO 1482
·
12 Mariehamn
7 (5–18)
pos. ~12.0°
C2 · T3
ELO 1511
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 J. Moreno
J. Moreno
KuPS
5
2 L. Smyth
L. Smyth
VPS
5
3 H. Sjögrell
H. Sjögrell
FF Jaro
5
4 T. Hytönen
T. Hytönen
Ilves
4
5 J. Kanga
J. Kanga
Ilves
4
6 T. Pukki
T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
3
7 A. Akinyemi
A. Akinyemi
Gnistan
3
8 A. Muzaci
A. Muzaci
Turku PS
3
9 M. Borchers
M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
3
10 B. Armah
B. Armah
KuPS
3
👟 Assists
1 J. Kilo
J. Kilo
Ilves
5
2 J. Kanga
J. Kanga
Ilves
3
3 T. Pukki
T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
2
4 J. Körkkö
J. Körkkö
AC Oulu
2
5 R. Karjalainen
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
2
6 J. Turfkruier
J. Turfkruier
VPS
2
7 Tòfol Montiel
Tòfol Montiel
Lahti
2
8 Y. Cassubie
Y. Cassubie
Lahti
2
9 D. Ezeh
D. Ezeh
HJK Helsinki
2
10 L. Lingman
L. Lingman
HJK Helsinki
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1 E. Patut
E. Patut
Mariehamn
6
2 R. Yapi
R. Yapi
Lahti
6
3 Eetu Turkki
Eetu Turkki
Turku PS
6
4 O. Haggstrom
O. Haggstrom
Turku PS
5
5 J. Pirinen
J. Pirinen
AC Oulu
5
6 A. Vidjeskog
A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
5
7 Kelvin Pires
Kelvin Pires
SJK
5
8 J. Hämäläinen
J. Hämäläinen
Inter Turku
5
9 J. Paananen
J. Paananen
AC Oulu
4
10 V. Gasc
V. Gasc
KuPS
4
🟥 Red cards
1 M. Ogungbaro
M. Ogungbaro
FF Jaro
1
2 B. Armah
B. Armah
KuPS
1
3 V. Tikkanen
V. Tikkanen
HJK Helsinki
1
4 M. Haukioja
M. Haukioja
VPS
1
5 B. Magassa
B. Magassa
KuPS
1
6 J. Lietsa
J. Lietsa
AC Oulu
1
7 R. Paunio
R. Paunio
SJK
1
8 Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
VPS
1
9 Goudouss Bamba
Goudouss Bamba
Ilves
1

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 6 55.00% 33.3% -21.70%
60–70%% 9 65.00% 66.7% +1.70%
70–100%% 4 85.00% 100.0% +15.00%
Based on 19 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
# Team Goals xG Δ
1 Ilves Ilves 8 5.28 +2.72
2 Inter Turku Inter Turku 5 4.68 +0.32
3 Mariehamn Mariehamn 3 3.93 -0.93
4 FF Jaro FF Jaro 4 4.97 -0.97
5 Lahti Lahti 4 5.24 -1.24
6 VPS VPS 3 4.36 -1.36
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Veikkausliiga?
For Veikkausliiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Veikkausliiga?
Accuracy for Veikkausliiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Veikkausliiga using per-league historical data.
How are Veikkausliiga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.