Veikkausliiga
Finlandia
· Season 2026
63.20%
1X2 accuracy · 19 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 17 of 22
77%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Playoff
Relegation Playoff
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
46 (37–51)
pos. ~1.1°
|
C2 · T3
ELO 1494
|
· | ||
| 2 |
39 (31–46)
pos. ~3.1°
|
C2 · T3
ELO 1514
|
▼1% | ||
| 3 |
37 (28–43)
pos. ~3.8°
|
C2 · T3
ELO 1491
|
▲7% | ||
| 4 |
36 (28–43)
pos. ~4.2°
|
C3 · T2
ELO 1534
|
▲12% | ||
| 5 |
36 (27–42)
pos. ~4.2°
|
C3 · T2
ELO 1515
|
▼3% | ||
| 6 |
33 (27–42)
pos. ~5.8°
|
C4 · T1
ELO 1525
|
▲14% | ||
| 7 |
29 (22–37)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C2 · T3
ELO 1525
|
▲10% | ||
| 8 |
28 (22–37)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C2 · T3
ELO 1513
|
▲7% | ||
| 9 |
30 (22–37)
pos. ~7.1°
|
C3 · T2
ELO 1483
|
▼17% | ||
| 10 |
20 (15–30)
pos. ~10.5°
|
C2 · T3
ELO 1482
|
· | ||
| 11 |
21 (14–29)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C3 · T2
ELO 1482
|
· | ||
| 12 |
7 (5–18)
pos. ~12.0°
|
C2 · T3
ELO 1511
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 6 | 55.00% | 33.3% | -21.70% |
| 60–70%% | 9 | 65.00% | 66.7% | +1.70% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 19 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ilves
|
8 | 5.28 | +2.72 | |
| 2 |
Inter Turku
|
5 | 4.68 | +0.32 | |
| 3 |
Mariehamn
|
3 | 3.93 | -0.93 | |
| 4 |
FF Jaro
|
4 | 4.97 | -0.97 | |
| 5 |
Lahti
|
4 | 5.24 | -1.24 | |
| 6 |
VPS
|
3 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Veikkausliiga?
For Veikkausliiga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Veikkausliiga?
Accuracy for Veikkausliiga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Veikkausliiga using per-league historical data.
How are Veikkausliiga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Ilves
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Lahti
VPS