73.70%
1X2 accuracy · 19 predictions (3 months)
League Table
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23–14 | +9 | 31 |
S
P
V
P
V
|
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24–16 | +8 | 29 |
V
V
S
P
V
|
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26–16 | +10 | 28 |
V
V
V
V
V
|
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23–16 | +7 | 27 |
V
P
S
P
S
|
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23–22 | +1 | 24 |
V
S
V
S
P
|
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22–16 | +6 | 23 |
V
P
V
P
S
|
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26–21 | +5 | 22 |
V
S
S
V
S
|
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13–11 | +2 | 21 |
S
P
V
P
V
|
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20–18 | +2 | 20 |
S
V
P
S
V
|
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16–21 | -5 | 20 |
V
S
V
S
S
|
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17–21 | -4 | 18 |
S
S
V
P
P
|
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16–19 | -3 | 17 |
S
V
S
S
P
|
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14–20 | -6 | 17 |
S
V
S
V
S
|
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17–22 | -5 | 15 |
V
V
P
P
V
|
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12–23 | -11 | 10 |
S
S
S
V
S
|
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8–24 | -16 | 10 |
S
S
S
P
P
|
Promotion
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35–20 | +15 | 39 |
V
V
P
V
V
|
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25–15 | +10 | 37 |
P
P
P
V
S
|
| 3 | Penarol | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28–18 | +10 | 36 |
V
S
V
V
V
|
| 4 | Albion FC | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29–20 | +9 | 32 |
V
S
S
P
V
|
| 5 | Club Nacional | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31–26 | +5 | 31 |
V
S
V
V
V
|
| 6 | Central Espanol | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27–25 | +2 | 31 |
P
V
S
V
V
|
| 7 | Atletico Torque | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29–24 | +5 | 29 |
S
V
V
S
V
|
| 8 | Wanderers | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22–24 | -2 | 26 |
P
V
P
P
V
|
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22–20 | +2 | 25 |
P
V
P
S
S
|
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21–20 | +1 | 24 |
P
V
V
S
S
|
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15–16 | -1 | 23 |
P
P
S
S
S
|
| 12 | Boston River | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19–26 | -7 | 21 |
P
S
S
V
S
|
| 13 | Danubio | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19–26 | -7 | 19 |
P
S
S
S
S
|
| 14 | Juventud | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22–29 | -7 | 18 |
S
S
V
V
V
|
| 15 | Progreso | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16–30 | -14 | 13 |
S
V
S
S
S
|
| 16 | Cerro | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10–31 | -21 | 13 |
S
S
V
S
S
|
Promotion
Primera: Torneo Intermedio - A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5–2 | +3 | 9 |
V
S
V
V
|
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5–1 | +4 | 7 |
P
V
V
S
|
| 3 | Central Espanol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4–3 | +1 | 7 |
P
V
S
V
|
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2–1 | +1 | 6 |
P
P
P
V
|
| 5 | Liverpool Montevideo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2–2 | +0 | 5 |
P
V
P
S
|
| 6 | Boston River | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5–6 | -1 | 4 |
P
S
S
V
|
| 7 | Cerro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2–7 | -5 | 3 |
S
S
V
S
|
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–5 | -3 | 2 |
P
P
S
S
|
Promotion
Primera: Torneo Intermedio - B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11–4 | +7 | 10 |
V
V
P
V
|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5–5 | +0 | 9 |
V
S
V
V
|
| 3 | Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6–3 | +3 | 6 |
P
V
P
P
|
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7–8 | -1 | 6 |
S
V
V
S
|
| 5 | Albion FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3–4 | -1 | 4 |
V
S
S
P
|
| 6 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5–7 | -2 | 3 |
S
S
V
|
| 7 | Progreso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4–7 | -3 | 3 |
S
V
S
S
|
| 8 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2–5 | -3 | 1 |
P
S
S
|
Promotion
Recent results
June 07, 2026
June 06, 2026
June 02, 2026
May 31, 2026
May 30, 2026
May 24, 2026
May 23, 2026
May 17, 2026
May 16, 2026
May 12, 2026
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 11 | 55.00% | 72.7% | +17.70% |
| 60–70%% | 6 | 65.00% | 83.3% | +18.30% |
Based on 19 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Primera División?
For Primera División, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Primera División?
Accuracy for Primera División is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Primera División using per-league historical data.
How are Primera División season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.