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Super Liga

Super Liga

Moldova  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 12 of 14 86%

League Table

8 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Zimbru — Champion 12 8 2 2 27–11 +16 26
V V V V V
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 12 7 4 1 25–10 +15 25
V P S V P
3 Petrocub 12 6 3 3 23–13 +10 21
V P V S S
4 Dacia-Buiucani 12 5 2 5 16–16 +0 17
V S P P V
5 Politehnica UTM 12 4 3 5 18–18 +0 15
S V P S V
6 Milsami Orhei 12 3 5 4 11–16 -5 14
S V P V S
7 Sireți 12 0 7 5 7–17 -10 7
S S P P P
8 CSF Bălți 12 1 2 9 9–35 -26 5
S S S S S
1 Petrocub — Champion 6 5 0 1 17–6 +11 15
V S V V V
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 6 4 2 0 14–4 +10 14
V P V V P
3 Zimbru 6 4 1 1 13–7 +6 13
P S V V V
4 Dacia-Buiucani 6 3 1 2 9–10 -1 10
S S V P V
5 Politehnica UTM 6 2 3 1 9–4 +5 9
S P V P V
6 Milsami Orhei 6 2 2 2 5–5 +0 8
S V P V S
7 Sireți 6 0 4 2 3–6 -3 4
P P P P S
8 CSF Bălți 6 1 1 4 7–17 -10 4
P S S S S
1 Zimbru — Champion 6 4 1 1 14–4 +10 13
S V V V V
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 6 3 2 1 11–6 +5 11
V V P S V
3 Dacia-Buiucani 6 2 1 3 7–6 +1 7
V V S P S
4 Petrocub 6 1 3 2 6–7 -1 6
P V S S P
5 Politehnica UTM 6 2 0 4 9–14 -5 6
V V S S S
6 Milsami Orhei 6 1 3 2 6–11 -5 6
P P S P V
7 Sireți 6 0 3 3 4–11 -7 3
S P P P S
8 CSF Bălți 6 0 1 5 2–18 -16 1
S P S S S
Champion

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Zimbru
45 (32–53)
pos. ~1.5°
C4 · T5
ELO 1484
▼1%
Sheriff Tiraspol
43 (30–52)
pos. ~1.7°
C5 · T4
ELO 1472
▲1%
Petrocub
37 (23–48)
pos. ~2.9°
C5 · T4
ELO 1499
▲0%
Dacia-Buiucani
28 (17–41)
pos. ~4.8°
C4 · T5
ELO 1520
·
Politehnica UTM
26 (15–40)
pos. ~5.1°
C4 · T5
ELO 1503
·
Milsami Orhei
26 (16–39)
pos. ~5.2°
C5 · T4
ELO 1492
·
Sireți
18 (7–31)
pos. ~6.9°
C4 · T5
ELO 1486
·
CSF Bălți
9 (5–21)
pos. ~8.0°
C5 · T4
ELO 1510
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 5 55.00% 60.0% +5.00%
60–70%% 5 65.00% 80.0% +15.00%
70–100%% 6 85.00% 100.0% +15.00%
Based on 16 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Super Liga?
For Super Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Super Liga?
Accuracy for Super Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Super Liga using per-league historical data.
How are Super Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.