57.10%
1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 30
0%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
38 (8–62)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1486
|
▲0% | ||
| 2 |
38 (12–65)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1485
|
· | ||
| 3 |
37 (11–61)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1488
|
▲0% | ||
| 4 |
39 (12–63)
pos. ~7.9°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1483
|
▲1% | ||
| 5 |
38 (11–64)
pos. ~8.6°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1486
|
▼0% | ||
| 6 |
38 (9–65)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1486
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
39 (12–65)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1483
|
▼0% | ||
| 8 |
40 (16–67)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1482
|
▲0% | ||
| 9 |
40 (14–66)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1482
|
▲0% | ||
| 10 |
40 (13–69)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1482
|
▲0% | ||
| 11 |
38 (15–63)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1485
|
▼0% | ||
| 12 |
39 (16–62)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1483
|
· | ||
| 13 |
39 (14–65)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1483
|
▼0% | ||
| 14 |
38 (12–70)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1487
|
▼0% | ||
| 15 |
41 (12–66)
pos. ~6.9°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1481
|
▼0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 7 | 55.00% | 57.1% | +2.10% |
| 60–70%% | 9 | 65.00% | 55.6% | -9.40% |
| 70–100%% | 9 | 85.00% | 66.7% | -18.30% |
Based on 25 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Second NL?
For Second NL, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Second NL?
Accuracy for Second NL is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Second NL using per-league historical data.
How are Second NL season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.