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League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
76 (48–117)
pos. ~5.0°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1482
|
· | ||
| 2 |
66 (35–104)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1489
|
▲0% | ||
| 3 |
68 (38–105)
pos. ~9.5°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1487
|
▲0% | ||
| 4 |
60 (29–98)
pos. ~15.0°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1492
|
▲0% | ||
| 5 |
64 (31–96)
pos. ~12.0°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1489
|
▼0% | ||
| 6 |
58 (28–94)
pos. ~16.3°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1493
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
51 (23–82)
pos. ~20.1°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1497
|
▲0% | ||
| 8 |
68 (34–100)
pos. ~9.7°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1487
|
▲0% | ||
| 9 |
61 (27–96)
pos. ~13.8°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1491
|
▼0% | ||
| 10 |
65 (33–97)
pos. ~11.7°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1489
|
▼0% | ||
| 11 |
55 (24–90)
pos. ~18.2°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1495
|
▼1% | ||
| 12 |
60 (26–95)
pos. ~14.5°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1492
|
· | ||
| 13 |
59 (29–94)
pos. ~15.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1492
|
▲0% | ||
| 14 |
71 (38–106)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1485
|
▼0% | ||
| 15 |
69 (37–104)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1487
|
▲0% | ||
| 16 |
70 (39–101)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1486
|
▼0% | ||
| 17 |
56 (25–88)
pos. ~17.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1494
|
▼0% | ||
| 18 |
59 (29–96)
pos. ~15.2°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1492
|
▲0% | ||
| 19 |
58 (24–96)
pos. ~16.1°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1493
|
▼0% | ||
| 20 |
60 (32–95)
pos. ~14.6°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1492
|
▲0% | ||
| 21 |
80 (44–113)
pos. ~3.5°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1480
|
▼1% | ||
| 22 |
59 (28–94)
pos. ~15.6°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1493
|
▼0% | ||
| 23 |
64 (34–97)
pos. ~12.4°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1490
|
▼0% | ||
| 24 |
70 (37–106)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C23 · T23
ELO 1486
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 21 | 55.00% | 57.1% | +2.10% |
| 60–70%% | 12 | 65.00% | 75.0% | +10.00% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 60.0% | -25.00% |
Based on 38 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for League Two?
For League Two, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for League Two?
Accuracy for League Two is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for League Two using per-league historical data.
How are League Two season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.