Championship
· Regular Season - 44
April 21, 2026 22:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Southampton, result Pareggio
C. Larin
(ast. R. Manning)
29'
R. Stewart
(ast. T. Fellows)
74'
(og)
5'
R. Manning
63'
(ast. T. Horvat)
S. Bell
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.80
Actual xG
0.74
4
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
(og)
R. Manning⚽
S. Charles
28'
⚽C. Larin
· ast. R. Manning
29'
K. Matsuki
/ T. Fellows
57'
C. Archer
/ L. Scienza
57'
F. Downes
62'
63'
ast. T. Horvat ·
S. Bell⚽
F. Azaz
/ C. Jander
71'
J. Bree
/ R. Stewart
71'
72'
M. Sykes
/
S. Bell
⚽R. Stewart
· ast. T. Fellows
74'
76'
C. Pring
C. Larin
80'
81'
R. Dickie
/
T. Horvat
F. Downes
/ C. Bragg
87'
90'+1
S. Morsy
90'+8
R. Dickie
Pre-match prediction
73.07%
Southampton
16.87%
X ←
10.06%
Bristol
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.49
1.80
-0.69
0.76
0.74
-0.02
Southampton dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
Daniel Peretz
G
Daniel Peretz
G
3
Ryan Manning
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Ryan Manning
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
15
Nathan Wood
D
Nathan Wood
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
71'
D
James Bree
71'
D
24
Shea Charles
M
Shea Charles
M
4
Flynn Downes
87'
M
Flynn Downes
87'
M
10
Finn Azaz
71'
M
Finn Azaz
71'
M
19
Cameron Archer
57'
M
Cameron Archer
57'
M
27
Kuryu Matsuki
57'
M
Kuryu Matsuki
57'
M
9
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
48
Cameron Bragg
12'
M
Cameron Bragg
12'
M
20
Caspar Jander
19'
M
Caspar Jander
19'
M
25
George Long
G
George Long
G
13
Leo Scienza
33'
M
Leo Scienza
33'
M
11
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
19'
F
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
19'
F
23
Samuel Edozie
M
Samuel Edozie
M
18
Tom Fellows
1 👟
33'
M
Tom Fellows
1 👟
33'
M
34
Welington
D
Welington
D
23
Radek Vitek
G
Radek Vitek
G
3
Cameron Pring
D
Cameron Pring
D
21
Neto Borges
D
Neto Borges
D
38
Noah Eile
D
Noah Eile
D
2
Ross McCrorie
D
Ross McCrorie
D
40
Sam Morsy
M
Sam Morsy
M
12
Jason Knight
M
Jason Knight
M
10
Scott Twine
M
Scott Twine
M
14
Tomi Horvat
1 👟
81'
M
Tomi Horvat
1 👟
81'
M
20
Sam Bell
1 ⚽
72'
M
Sam Bell
1 ⚽
72'
M
11
Delano Burgzorg
F
Delano Burgzorg
F
Bench
18
Emil Riis Jacobsen
F
Emil Riis Jacobsen
F
44
George Earthy
M
George Earthy
M
19
George Tanner
D
George Tanner
D
32
Lewis Thomas
G
Lewis Thomas
G
17
Mark Sykes
18'
M
Mark Sykes
18'
M
48
Ranel Young
F
Ranel Young
F
16
Robert Dickie
9'
D
Robert Dickie
9'
D
24
Seb Naylor
D
Seb Naylor
D
30
Sinclair Armstrong
F
Sinclair Armstrong
F
Best on the pitch
Caspar Jander
M · Southampton
7.90
· 15 pass
Radek Vitek
G · Bristol
7.90
· 51 pass
Daniel Peretz
G · Southampton
7.30
· 33 pass
Tom Fellows
M · Southampton
7.30
1 👟
· 7 pass
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.30
· 80 pass
Sam Bell
M · Bristol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Manning | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | — | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Wood | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 93 | 84% | — | — | — |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Flynn Downes | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Finn Azaz | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | M | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kuryu Matsuki | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 19 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Scienza | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 19 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Fellows | M | 33 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radek Vitek | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Cameron Pring | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Neto Borges | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Eile | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Ross McCrorie | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Sam Morsy | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 58% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jason Knight | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Scott Twine | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Tomi Horvat | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Bell | M | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Delano Burgzorg | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Robert Dickie | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |